European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Siemens Energy plans to bring back the wind business (Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy) to profitability by fixing quality issues in onshore and driving ramp-up in offshore. Break-even is expected in 2006.</li>
<li>The restructuring process continues after four years of losses, €2 billion net loss is expected for FY 2024. The top Spanish financials institution have turned off the credit tap recently.</li>
<li>The visibility on the end of wind losses remains very limited with execution risk, so I would apply 0.9x P/BV and be short the stock, TP €9.76.</li>
</ul>


Siemens Energy plans to bring back the wind business (Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy) to profitability by fixing quality issues in onshore and driving ramp-up in offshore. Break-even is expected in 2006.
The restructuring process continues after four years of losses, €2 billion net loss is expected for FY 2024. The top Spanish financials institution have turned off the credit tap recently.
The visibility on the end of wind losses remains very limited with execution risk, so I would apply 0.9x P/BV and be short the stock, TP €9.76.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boss-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4823:1" rel="noopener">Boss Energy (BOE AU)</a> is looking to raise up to A$205m (US$135m) through its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund an acquisition and replenish working capital. </li>
<li>The deal will be a large one to digest, at 19.7 days of three month ADV and 14% dilution.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Boss Energy (BOE AU) is looking to raise up to A$205m (US$135m) through its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund an acquisition and replenish working capital. 
The deal will be a large one to digest, at 19.7 days of three month ADV and 14% dilution.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Boss Energy Placement - Heavy Dilution and Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged

Leader Energy Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/leader-energy-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39938:1" rel="noopener">Leader Energy Holdings (1814173D MK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$215m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. </li>
<li>Leader Energy Holdings (LE) is an independent power producer (IPP) primarily engaged in the development, ownership, O&amp;M of power assets and projects.</li>
<li>LE’s revenue has grown on the back of higher power generation as well as coal price increases over the track record period, which drove profitability up. </li>
</ul>



Leader Energy Holdings (1814173D MK) is looking to raise up to US$215m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. 
Leader Energy Holdings (LE) is an independent power producer (IPP) primarily engaged in the development, ownership, O&amp;M of power assets and projects.
LE’s revenue has grown on the back of higher power generation as well as coal price increases over the track record period, which drove profitability up. 


Leader Energy Holdings Pre-IPO - Still Too Early for an ESG Angle

Barito Renewables Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40150:1" rel="noopener">Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ)</a> is looking to raise around US$228m in its Indonesian IPO. </li>
<li>Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm. </li>
<li>Its revenue has been primarily driven by electricity and steam sales to PLN as PGE’s exclusive contractor and its profitability has been on the rise over the track record period.</li>
</ul>



Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) is looking to raise around US$228m in its Indonesian IPO. 
Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm. 
Its revenue has been primarily driven by electricity and steam sales to PLN as PGE’s exclusive contractor and its profitability has been on the rise over the track record period.


Barito Renewables IPO - Power Producer with Stable Cash Flows

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.</li>
<li>Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.</li>
<li>As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective</li>
</ul>


It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.
Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.
As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective


Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Germany

Siemens Energy AG operates as a renewable energy company. The Company offers power generation and transmission, technical consultancy, and operation and maintenance services. Siemens Energy serves customers worldwide.

Siemens Energy AG (ENR GR)

Siemens Gamesa Still Poses High Risks

Siemens Energy aims to make its wind business profitable by addressing quality issues and increasing offshore operations. Gamesa is still facing...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Boss Energy Placement - Heavy Dilution and Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged

Boss Energy (BOE AU) is looking to raise up to A$205m (US$135m) through its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund an acquisition and...

Ethan Aw

Leader Energy Holdings Pre-IPO - Still Too Early for an ESG Angle

Leader Energy Holdings (1814173D MK) is looking to raise up to US$215m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. LE’s revenue has grown on the back of higher...

Ethan Aw

Barito Renewables IPO - Power Producer with Stable Cash Flows

Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) is looking to raise around US$228m in its Indonesian IPO. It is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and...

Ethan Aw

Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Remain overweight Europe/UK and non-US equities; we are buyers on pullbacks as long as the FTSE 100 is above 7700, the STOXX Europe 50 is above...

Vermilion Research

Siemens Gamesa Still Poses High Risks

​Siemens Energy aims to make its wind business profitable by addressing quality issues and increasing offshore operations. Gamesa is still facing...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Boss Energy Placement - Heavy Dilution and Doesn’t Appear Well Flagged

Boss Energy (BOE AU) is looking to raise up to A$205m (US$135m) through its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund an acquisition and...

Ethan Aw

Leader Energy Holdings Pre-IPO - Still Too Early for an ESG Angle

Leader Energy Holdings (1814173D MK) is looking to raise up to US$215m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO. LE’s revenue has grown on the back of higher...

Ethan Aw

Barito Renewables IPO - Power Producer with Stable Cash Flows

Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) is looking to raise around US$228m in its Indonesian IPO. It is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and...

Ethan Aw

Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Remain overweight Europe/UK and non-US equities; we are buyers on pullbacks as long as the FTSE 100 is above 7700, the STOXX Europe 50 is above...

Vermilion Research

Siemens Energy aims to make its wind business profitable by addressing quality issues and increasing offshore operations. Gamesa is still facing...