Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>We study 27 A+H listing connect inclusion in two groups: 23 with delayed Connect inclusion (26 to 28 days after listing) and 4 with same-day inclusion.</li>
<li>The delayed group shows H underperformance versus A around inclusion (61% win rate, median +3.5% over 5D). All four same-day stocks posted positive hedged returns on day 0.</li>
<li>Actionable trades ahead: DELTON (1989 HK) pending listing on 20 March, and ESTUN (2715 HK) pending Connect inclusion.</li>
</ul>


We study 27 A+H listing connect inclusion in two groups: 23 with delayed Connect inclusion (26 to 28 days after listing) and 4 with same-day inclusion.
The delayed group shows H underperformance versus A around inclusion (61% win rate, median +3.5% over 5D). All four same-day stocks posted positive hedged returns on day 0.
Actionable trades ahead: DELTON (1989 HK) pending listing on 20 March, and ESTUN (2715 HK) pending Connect inclusion.


A+H Listing: The Connect Inclusion Stat and the Trade

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 178 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 70.2% as of Mar 13th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.2ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, real estate, communication services and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power International.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 178 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 70.2% as of Mar 13th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.2ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, real estate, communication services and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power International.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 13th): CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power International

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.</li>
<li>In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in July 2025.</li>
<li>Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions. </li>
</ul>


With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings.
In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in July 2025.
Overall, A/H listings since 2025 have reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions. 


Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As of end February, there have been 23 new listings on the Main Board of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. There will be more in March.</li>
<li>Of the 23 new listings, we forecast 7 inclusions to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) in June. 6 of those stocks will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>As a stock with Weighted Voting Rights (WVR), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minimax-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46185:1" rel="noopener">MiniMax Group (100 HK)</a> will need to wait till early August to be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


As of end February, there have been 23 new listings on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK). There will be more in March.
Of the 23 new listings, we forecast 7 inclusions to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) in June. 6 of those stocks will then be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
As a stock with Weighted Voting Rights (WVR), MiniMax Group (100 HK) will need to wait till early August to be added to Southbound Stock Connect.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Semiconductor & Software Stocks Dominate Potential Adds in June

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 66.6% as of Feb 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 176 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 66.6% as of Feb 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 27th): YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International

China

Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co. Ltd. is a Chinese beverage company specializing in the research, development, production, and sale of a diverse range of healthy drinks. Its product portfolio includes energy drinks (e.g., Eastroc Super Drink), electrolyte drinks (e.g., Eastroc Water Boost), various tea-based beverages, coffee drinks, plant-based protein drinks, fruit and vegetable juices, and cocktails. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong, China, and was founded in 1987.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Eastroc Beverage (9980 HK)

A+H Listing: The Connect Inclusion Stat and the Trade

A+H Connect inclusion study across 27 IPOs finds H underperformance at stabilization expiry. Two trades live: DELTON (20 Mar listing) and ESTUN...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 13th): CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power International

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for CNOOC, BYD, Great Wall Motor, Crrc, CATL, Huaneng Power...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: A/H Premiums and 27 Deals Performance-Better Returns, Some Premium & Coverage Correlation

With over 27 A/H listings since the start of 2025, we look back at some of the trends from the recent listings including returns, premiums and...

Sumeet Singh

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Semiconductor & Software Stocks Dominate Potential Adds in June

Of the 23 stocks that have listed on the HKEX this year, 7 could be added to the HSCI at the close on 5 June, and 6 of those will be added to...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 27th): YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for YOFC, Anhui Conch Cement, ZTE, Huaneng Power International.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)