Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With Trump becoming the next President of the United States, we explain why the rechargeable battery sector in Korea is likely to get further battered in the coming months. </li>
<li>Trump administration could eliminate or significantly slash the $7,500 consumer tax credit for electric vehicle (EV) purchases, which is one of the key provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).</li>
<li>We expect the sell-side to further cut their earnings estimates on the key key names in the Korean rechargeable battery sector in the coming months.</li>
</ul>


With Trump becoming the next President of the United States, we explain why the rechargeable battery sector in Korea is likely to get further battered in the coming months. 
Trump administration could eliminate or significantly slash the $7,500 consumer tax credit for electric vehicle (EV) purchases, which is one of the key provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).
We expect the sell-side to further cut their earnings estimates on the key key names in the Korean rechargeable battery sector in the coming months.


Negative Trump Trade: Korean Rechargeable Battery Sector

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 8th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in KT&amp;G, HPSP, Hanwha Systems, Samsung HI.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 8th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in KT&amp;G, HPSP, Hanwha Systems, Samsung HI.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 8th): KT&G, HPSP, Hanwha Systems, Samsung HI

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Systems, HPSP, CSWIND.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD4.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hanwha Systems, HPSP, CSWIND.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 1st): Hanwha Systems, HPSP, CSWIND

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD507.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,513mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD507.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,513mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Solactive has announced the constituent changes for the Global Lithium Index. There are 3 adds and 3 deletes with implementation at the close on 31 October.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 13.8% and will result in a one-way trade of US$174m. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The index is not very widely tracked and there could be big moves in some stocks over the next few days - especially where there is multiple days ADV.</li>
</ul>


Solactive has announced the constituent changes for the Global Lithium Index. There are 3 adds and 3 deletes with implementation at the close on 31 October.
Estimated one-way turnover is 13.8% and will result in a one-way trade of US$174m. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The index is not very widely tracked and there could be big moves in some stocks over the next few days - especially where there is multiple days ADV.


Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: 28% Turnover & US$350m Trade

South Korea

Ecopro BM Co.,Ltd develops and manufactures advanced materials. The Company produces and sells high-nickel cathode materials and other products. Ecopro BM markets its products throughout Korea.

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Ecopro BM (247540 KS)

Negative Trump Trade: Korean Rechargeable Battery Sector

With Trump becoming the next President of the United States, we explain why the rechargeable battery sector in Korea is likely to get further...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 8th): KT&G, HPSP, Hanwha Systems, Samsung HI

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in KT&G, HPSP, Hanwha Systems, Samsung HI.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 1st): Hanwha Systems, HPSP, CSWIND

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hanwha Systems, HPSP, CSWIND.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Apr, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Solactive Global Lithium Index Rebalance: 28% Turnover & US$350m Trade

There are 3 adds/3 deletes for the Solactive Global Lithium Index resulting in an estimated one-way turnover of 13.8% and in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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