Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The effective date for rebalancing KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 is this Friday. This is the first trading day that short selling is permitted on new stocks in these indexes.</li>
<li>From the 25th to today, immediately after the inclusion of these indexes was announced, the loan share balance of almost all stocks increased significantly.</li>
<li>Those stocks with substantial outperformance in price and relatively abundant liquidity have a high level of loan balance.</li>
</ul>


The effective date for rebalancing KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 is this Friday. This is the first trading day that short selling is permitted on new stocks in these indexes.
From the 25th to today, immediately after the inclusion of these indexes was announced, the loan share balance of almost all stocks increased significantly.
Those stocks with substantial outperformance in price and relatively abundant liquidity have a high level of loan balance.


Short Position Approach on the Index Entrants on December 10 in Korea

<ul>
<li>The KRX officially unveiled the results of the December rebalancing for KOSDAQ 150. We have <strong>a total of 15 additions and 15 deletions</strong> from the regular rebalancing.</li>
<li>The following trade-suitable stocks among the additions are <strong>Bioneer Corp, TK Chemical, AptaBio Therapeutics, Cellid, and Ecopro HN</strong>.</li>
<li>Among the deletions, these are worthy of our attention: <strong>SK Materials, Crystal Genomics, G-TreeBNT, and Icure Pharmaceutical</strong>
</li>
</ul>


The KRX officially unveiled the results of the December rebalancing for KOSDAQ 150. We have a total of 15 additions and 15 deletions from the regular rebalancing.
The following trade-suitable stocks among the additions are Bioneer Corp, TK Chemical, AptaBio Therapeutics, Cellid, and Ecopro HN.
Among the deletions, these are worthy of our attention: SK Materials, Crystal Genomics, G-TreeBNT, and Icure Pharmaceutical



15 Adds & 15 Deletes in KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: Passive Impact & Trade Approaches

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 15 inclusions and 15 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 December.</li>
<li>The inclusions were expected but there are a few surprises among the deletions as the Information Technology sector was spared at the expense of the Health Care sector.</li>
<li>Over the last couple of months, the inclusions have given up their early gains versus the deletions. With the announcement made, the inclusions could outperform over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 15 inclusions and 15 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 December.
The inclusions were expected but there are a few surprises among the deletions as the Information Technology sector was spared at the expense of the Health Care sector.
Over the last couple of months, the inclusions have given up their early gains versus the deletions. With the announcement made, the inclusions could outperform over the next few weeks.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Pullback Done; Buy Adds & Sell Deletes

<p>The KOSDAQ 150 has no Fast Entry rule for IPO stocks.</p><p>However, it has the rule to include the stocks not meeting the minimum listing period of 6 months at a regular bi-annual rebalancing if the following condition is satisfied.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>A stock is in the top 50 ordinary stocks on KOSDAQ by full market capitalization.</strong></p></div><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/240/350/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-08+at+4.43.27+AM.png?1636364839" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="240350"></figure></section><div class="content-caption">(Source: KOSDAQ 150 Methodology)</div><p>So what is the calculation period? It is simple. The KRX uses the average daily market capitalization for 15 trading days from the screening base date. The screening base date for this December regular rebalancing is October 31.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>So the 15 trading day review period is from October 8 to October 29.</strong></p></div><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/240/352/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-08+at+4.43.54+AM.png?1636364975" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="240352"></figure></section><div class="content-caption">(Source: KOSDAQ 150 Methodology)</div>

The KOSDAQ 150 has no Fast Entry rule for IPO stocks.However, it has the rule to include the stocks not meeting the minimum listing period of 6 months at a regular bi-annual rebalancing if the following condition is satisfied.A stock is in the top 50 ordinary stocks on KOSDAQ by full market capitalization.(Source: KOSDAQ 150 Methodology)So what is the calculation period? It is simple. The KRX uses the average daily market capitalization for 15 trading days from the screening base date. The screening base date for this December regular rebalancing is October 31.So the 15 trading day review period is from October 8 to October 29.(Source: KOSDAQ 150 Methodology)

KOSDAQ 150 Exceptional Addition of Large-Scale Stocks: Ecopro HN & HK Inno.N

<h2>Pro-ration results</h2>
<p>As suggested in the previous insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ecopro-tender-event-pro-ration-risk-analysis-arb-spread-widening-possibilities" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59265" rel="noopener">Ecopro Tender Event: Pro-Ration Risk Analysis &amp; Arb Spread Widening Possibilities</a>, Ecopro's final subscription rate fell short of hitting the target. The final rate was 74.41%, issuing only 5.27M new Ecopro shares. The forfeited shares are 1.81M, and these will not be issued.</p>
<section class="figure">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/239/790/original/Screen+Shot+2021-11-02+at+10.31.05+PM.png?1636073811" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="239790"></figure>
</section>
<div class="content-caption">(<a href="https://engkind.krx.co.kr/common/disclsviewer.do?method=search&amp;acptNo=20211102000129&amp;docno=&amp;formProcsCd=070&amp;language=english" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Source: KRX KIND</a>)</div>
<p>As a result, Ecopro's number of issued shares will increase by 5.27M from <span data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":18701387}' data-sheets-userformat='{"2":15041,"3":{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1},"9":2,"10":1,"12":0,"14":{"1":2,"2":0},"15":"Courier New","16":9}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[-1]C[0], "shares")'>18.7M to 24.0M, representing a capital increase rate of 28.2% at a shareholding dilution of 22.0% </span></p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="300">
<col width="300">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Swap results"}'>Swap results</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Type"}'>Type</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Exchange offer"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>Exchange offer</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Target"}'>Target</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":7087918}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>7,087,918</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":": Capital increase rate"}'>: Capital increase rate</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.37900493690655135}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[-1]C[0]/googlefinance(R[-2]C[1], "shares")'>37.90%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":": Dilution"}'>: Dilution</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.27483943440895364}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/(R[-2]C[0]+R[-2]C[1])">27.48%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="2"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Actual tendered"}'><strong>Actual tendered</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5274285}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'><strong>5,274,285</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":": Capital increase rate"}'><strong>: Capital increase rate</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.282026407987814}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-1]C[0]/R[-4]C[1]"><strong>28.20%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":": Dilution"}'><strong>: Dilution</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.21998486632616596}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula="=R[-2]C[0]/(R[-2]C[0]+R[-5]C[1])"><strong>22.00%</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: DART"}'>Source: DART</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Since October 8, when the swap price ratio was finally confirmed, the swap arb spread has risen to a little above 3%. During the 20-day arb trading period, the spread had fluctuated pretty much at a 2-3% range. During this period, the relatively tight arb spread appears to be due to active arb trading, believing that pro-ration risk shouldn't be high.</p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/239/791/original/image_84768239521636074386606.png?1636074388" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="239791"></figure>

Pro-ration results
As suggested in the previous insight Ecopro Tender Event: Pro-Ration Risk Analysis &amp; Arb Spread Widening Possibilities, Ecopro's final subscription rate fell short of hitting the target. The final rate was 74.41%, issuing only 5.27M new Ecopro shares. The forfeited shares are 1.81M, and these will not be issued.



(Source: KRX KIND)
As a result, Ecopro's number of issued shares will increase by 5.27M from 18.7M to 24.0M, representing a capital increase rate of 28.2% at a shareholding dilution of 22.0% 







Swap results


Type
Exchange offer


Target
7,087,918


: Capital increase rate
37.90%


: Dilution
27.48%





Actual tendered
5,274,285


: Capital increase rate
28.20%


: Dilution
22.00%


Source: DART



Since October 8, when the swap price ratio was finally confirmed, the swap arb spread has risen to a little above 3%. During the 20-day arb trading period, the spread had fluctuated pretty much at a 2-3% range. During this period, the relatively tight arb spread appears to be due to active arb trading, believing that pro-ration risk shouldn't be high.


Ecopro Tender: Pro-Ration Results, KOSDAQ 150 Corporate Action & Est. Passive Impact

South Korea

Ecopro HN Co. Ltd. operates as an environmental company. The Company provides environment engineering, environment consulting, and other related services. Ecopro Insight offers services throughout South Korea.

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Ecopro HN (383310 KS)

Short Position Approach on the Index Entrants on December 10 in Korea

The effective date for rebalancing KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 is this Friday, meaning that this is the first trading day that short selling is...

Sanghyun Park

15 Adds & 15 Deletes in KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: Passive Impact & Trade Approaches

The KOSDAQ 150 December rebalancing features a total of 15 additions and 15 deletions. This post details the results as well as the passive impact...

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Pullback Done; Buy Adds & Sell Deletes

There are 15 changes for the KOSDAQ150 index in December. The impact on the deletions is larger than that on the inclusions. A long adds/short...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ 150 Exceptional Addition of Large-Scale Stocks: Ecopro HN & HK Inno.N

This post examines the possibilities of Ecopro HN and HK inno.N's inclusion in the KOSDAQ 150 through the special entry rule in the upcoming...

Sanghyun Park

Ecopro Tender: Pro-Ration Results, KOSDAQ 150 Corporate Action & Est. Passive Impact

This post details the pro-ration results of the Ecopro tender event. In addition, it explains the corporate actions of KOSDAQ 150 and estimates the...

Sanghyun Park

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