Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2</a> in December.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 49 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
There are a number of stocks that will have passive flow from global index trackers over the next few weeks, while some are potential changes to the KOSPI2 in December.


KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 8th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Aug 8th. The aggregated short interest was USD10.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>NPS allocates ~6% of its 76T won consignment book to mid/small-cap, with ~3.6T effectively benchmarked to the KOSPI Mid Cap Index via its hybrid BM.</li>
<li>Publicly raised funds add ~1.1T won across 358 products benchmarked to KOSPI Mid Cap, bringing total estimated exposure (incl. NPS) to ~4.7T won.</li>
<li>Including other pensions and off-radar private funds, total KOSPI Mid Cap exposure rounds out to ~5T won — the base case local street uses for passive impact modeling.</li>
</ul>


NPS allocates ~6% of its 76T won consignment book to mid/small-cap, with ~3.6T effectively benchmarked to the KOSPI Mid Cap Index via its hybrid BM.
Publicly raised funds add ~1.1T won across 358 products benchmarked to KOSPI Mid Cap, bringing total estimated exposure (incl. NPS) to ~4.7T won.
Including other pensions and off-radar private funds, total KOSPI Mid Cap exposure rounds out to ~5T won — the base case local street uses for passive impact modeling.


Basis for the 5 Trillion Won Moving Money Estimate for KOSPI Size Index Migration Event

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>Nearing halfway in the review period, we forecast 53 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Two potential downward migrations could be deleted from a global index in August. The new listing that is a potential LargeCap add could be added to a globalindex in September.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
Nearing halfway in the review period, we forecast 53 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 1 to SmallCap.
Two potential downward migrations could be deleted from a global index in August. The new listing that is a potential LargeCap add could be added to a globalindex in September.


KOSPI Size Indices: Overlaps Between Active & Passive Flows

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jun 13th. The aggregated holding was USD583.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,005mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, Hanwha Aerospace, Hyundai Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jun 13th. The aggregated holding was USD583.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,005mln. We tabulates the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, Hanwha Aerospace, Hyundai Motor.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 13th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, Hanwha Aerospace

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EcoPro Materials (450080 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Passive Flows for Many Active Changes

There could be 49 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Silicon2, NAVER, LG Chem, KakaoBank, POSCO FUTURE M.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Basis for the 5 Trillion Won Moving Money Estimate for KOSPI Size Index Migration Event

This post breaks down the 5 trillion won moving money estimate — the core assumption behind how the street models passive impact from the KOSPI...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Size Indices: Overlaps Between Active & Passive Flows

There could be 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices in Sep. Among new listings, there could be 1 LargeCap add and 3 MidCap adds. There are 2...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 13th): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI, Hanwha Aerospace

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Samsung SDI,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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