Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 56th GST Council Meeting is currently underway in New Delhi, having commenced on September 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM and will continue until September 4, 2025.</li>
<li>These are supposed to be "next-generation GST reforms" with a promise of implementing reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers.</li>
<li>Negative FII Participation, Negative Price Action, Rich Multiples coupled with Negative Earnings Revisions argue for a bearish positioning going into the "G" Day - Day of GST Reform Announcements.</li>
</ul>


The 56th GST Council Meeting is currently underway in New Delhi, having commenced on September 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM and will continue until September 4, 2025.
These are supposed to be "next-generation GST reforms" with a promise of implementing reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers.
Negative FII Participation, Negative Price Action, Rich Multiples coupled with Negative Earnings Revisions argue for a bearish positioning going into the "G" Day - Day of GST Reform Announcements.


A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.</li>
<li>Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.</li>
<li>Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.</li>
</ul>


The global auto industry faces significant tariff exposure. Option implied volatility offers a forward-looking assessment of risk.
Chinese car makers started to increase in implied volatility more than the other markets at the beginning of February. They now show the highest risk.
Recent implied volatility trends, asymmetric pricing (skew), and the term structure all seem to indicate that the Indian auto sector is the least exposed to international trade relations.


EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>VAHAN data till May 2026 shows a sharp decline from the January peak across the 2W segment, with May volumes weak for most OEMs.</li>
<li>The trend shows clear divergence: TVS and Bajaj are holding share, Royal Enfield is losing rank, Ola Electric is recovering, and luxury 2Ws are weakening.</li>
<li>EV 2W penetration is only 2.89%, but 45.5% growth from January to April shows faster base-building. The 3xAther-Ola gap is the key EV signal.</li>
</ul>


VAHAN data till May 2026 shows a sharp decline from the January peak across the 2W segment, with May volumes weak for most OEMs.
The trend shows clear divergence: TVS and Bajaj are holding share, Royal Enfield is losing rank, Ola Electric is recovering, and luxury 2Ws are weakening.
EV 2W penetration is only 2.89%, but 45.5% growth from January to April shows faster base-building. The 3xAther-Ola gap is the key EV signal.


Auto Tracker: VAHAN Dashboard Points to a Softer Cycle in India

<ul>
<li>Indian two-wheeler OEMs have lined up roughly 11,000 crore of capex across ICE, EV, scooters, exports and premium capacity.</li>
<li>This is a demand-confidence signal after FY26 domestic two-wheeler sales rose 10.7% to 2.17 crore units.</li>
<li>The capex cycle favors disciplined scale, localization and mix improvement, but utilization and pricing power will decide returns.</li>
</ul>


Indian two-wheeler OEMs have lined up roughly 11,000 crore of capex across ICE, EV, scooters, exports and premium capacity.
This is a demand-confidence signal after FY26 domestic two-wheeler sales rose 10.7% to 2.17 crore units.
The capex cycle favors disciplined scale, localization and mix improvement, but utilization and pricing power will decide returns.


India’s 2W Industry Expansion: ₹11,000 Crore Capex- Who Is Doing What?

<ul>
<li>India’s auto sector ended FY26 strongly, with growth across segments: PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.</li>
<li>
Tractors outperformed PVs, driven by strong rural demand supported by GST cuts, healthy reservoir levels, and favorable seasonal factors like the Navratri period.</li>
<li>While 2W EVs grew 45% YoY, market share shifted toward established players. CV growth slowed meaningfully from February, indicating early signs of demand normalization.</li>
</ul>


India’s auto sector ended FY26 strongly, with growth across segments: PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Tractors outperformed PVs, driven by strong rural demand supported by GST cuts, healthy reservoir levels, and favorable seasonal factors like the Navratri period.
While 2W EVs grew 45% YoY, market share shifted toward established players. CV growth slowed meaningfully from February, indicating early signs of demand normalization.


Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

India

Eicher Motors Limited is an Indian multinational automotive company that manufactures motorcycles and commercial vehicles. It is the parent company of Royal Enfield, a manufacturer of middleweight motorcycles, and operates a joint venture with Volvo Group for Eicher branded trucks and buses. The company is headquartered in New Delhi, India, and was founded in 1948.

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Eicher Motors (EIM IN)

A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...

Pranav Bhavsar

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Auto Tracker: VAHAN Dashboard Points to a Softer Cycle in India

VAHAN data reveals declining 2W segment volumes in May 2026, with TVS and Bajaj holding share while Royal Enfield loses rank. EV 2W penetration at...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India’s 2W Industry Expansion: ₹11,000 Crore Capex- Who Is Doing What?

Indian two-wheeler OEMs are investing heavily in capex across various segments to meet growing demand, with a focus on scale, localization, and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A Trader's Guide To "G" Day | Positioning For "Next-Generation GST Reforms"

​The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...

Pranav Bhavsar

EQD | Volatile Roads: Unveiling Risk in the Asian Auto Industry Through the Options Market

​Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

Gaudenz Schneider

Auto Tracker: VAHAN Dashboard Points to a Softer Cycle in India

​VAHAN data reveals declining 2W segment volumes in May 2026, with TVS and Bajaj holding share while Royal Enfield loses rank. EV 2W penetration at...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India’s 2W Industry Expansion: ₹11,000 Crore Capex- Who Is Doing What?

​Indian two-wheeler OEMs are investing heavily in capex across various segments to meet growing demand, with a focus on scale, localization, and...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Thematic Report on India Auto Sector: GST Cuts Drive Volume Growth Across Segments

​India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.

Sudarshan Bhandari

The 56th GST Council Meeting in New Delhi aims to bring next-generation reforms as a "Diwali gift" for consumers, but market indicators suggest a...

Global auto industry faces tariff risk. The option market assigns the highest risk to Chinese car makers. The Indian auto sector appears least...

VAHAN data reveals declining 2W segment volumes in May 2026, with TVS and Bajaj holding share while Royal Enfield loses rank. EV 2W penetration at...

Indian two-wheeler OEMs are investing heavily in capex across various segments to meet growing demand, with a focus on scale, localization, and...

India's auto sector saw strong growth in FY26, with PVs up 17%, two-wheelers 15%, tractors 23%, and commercial vehicles 12% in March 2026.