Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On November 22, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> received emergency regulatory approval for Xocova  in Japan for COVID-19. It is Japan’s first homegrown oral antiviral for SARS-CoV-2 infection.</li>
<li>On November 24, Shionogi has filed for manufacturing and sales approval of S-268019, a recombinant protein-based preventive vaccine, for use in priming and booster (third) doses, against COVID-19.</li>
<li>Although Shionogi continues to expect ¥110 billion revenue from COVID-19-related products in FY23, the company has raised overall revenue guidance to ¥410 billion from ¥400 billion.</li>
</ul>


On November 22, Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) received emergency regulatory approval for Xocova  in Japan for COVID-19. It is Japan’s first homegrown oral antiviral for SARS-CoV-2 infection.
On November 24, Shionogi has filed for manufacturing and sales approval of S-268019, a recombinant protein-based preventive vaccine, for use in priming and booster (third) doses, against COVID-19.
Although Shionogi continues to expect ¥110 billion revenue from COVID-19-related products in FY23, the company has raised overall revenue guidance to ¥410 billion from ¥400 billion.


Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Oral COVID-19 Drug Got Approval; Files Approval for COVID-19 Vaccine

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eisai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21001:1" rel="noopener">Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP)</a> has announced positive clinical trial results for its Alzheimer’s disease (AD) drug candidate, lecanemab. Lecanemab succeeded in slowing cognitive decline by 27%.</li>
<li>Importantly, the study shows that removal of aggregated amyloid beta in the brain is associated with a slowing of disease in patients, thereby opening innovation pathway for new treatment options.</li>
<li>Eisai aims to file for traditional approval in the U.S. and to submit marketing authorization applications in Japan and Europe by the end of FY23.</li>
</ul>



Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP) has announced positive clinical trial results for its Alzheimer’s disease (AD) drug candidate, lecanemab. Lecanemab succeeded in slowing cognitive decline by 27%.
Importantly, the study shows that removal of aggregated amyloid beta in the brain is associated with a slowing of disease in patients, thereby opening innovation pathway for new treatment options.
Eisai aims to file for traditional approval in the U.S. and to submit marketing authorization applications in Japan and Europe by the end of FY23.


Eisai Co (4523 JP): Positive Trial Result For Alzheimer’s Disease Drug- A Step Closer to Approval

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biocytogen-pharmaceuticals-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34533:1" rel="noopener">Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals (Beijing) (BCP HK)</a> is a biopharmaceutical and pre-clinical research services company with two core products (YH003 and YH001) and 10 other pipeline candidates.</li>
<li>The company currently does not have any commercialised products and earns revenue through offering pre-clinical research services and antibody development.</li>
<li>Biocytogen’s business model comes with inherent risks such as absence of approved drugs. Hence, we would recommend staying on the side line.</li>
</ul>



Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals (Beijing) (BCP HK) is a biopharmaceutical and pre-clinical research services company with two core products (YH003 and YH001) and 10 other pipeline candidates.
The company currently does not have any commercialised products and earns revenue through offering pre-clinical research services and antibody development.
Biocytogen’s business model comes with inherent risks such as absence of approved drugs. Hence, we would recommend staying on the side line.


Biocytogen Pharma IPO: Large Drug Pipeline but Negatives Outweighs the Positives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaken-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18819:1" rel="noopener">Kaken Pharmaceutical (4521 JP)</a> is reporting declining revenue from its three largest selling products, due to NHI price revision. These products together contribute more than 60% of total revenue.</li>
<li>The company’s newly launched products are growing at a rapid pace. However, the fastest growing product Ecclock contribute just 2% of total revenue.</li>
<li>Kaken guided for just 1% y/y revenue growth and 12% y/y decline in operating profit in FY23. Due to pipeline expansion, R&amp;D expenses are likely to remain elevated.</li>
</ul>



Kaken Pharmaceutical (4521 JP) is reporting declining revenue from its three largest selling products, due to NHI price revision. These products together contribute more than 60% of total revenue.
The company’s newly launched products are growing at a rapid pace. However, the fastest growing product Ecclock contribute just 2% of total revenue.
Kaken guided for just 1% y/y revenue growth and 12% y/y decline in operating profit in FY23. Due to pipeline expansion, R&amp;D expenses are likely to remain elevated.


Kaken Pharmaceutical (4521 JP): Falling Revenue of Top-Selling Drugs Limit Near-Term Growth Prospect

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

<ul>
<li>Eisai, which had more than 30% of foreign shareholdings, had retained anti-takeover measures while incorporating the opinions of foreign shareholders, and has background of seeking reconciliation through enhancing its governance.</li>
<li>While foreign shareholders had voted against Mr. Naito, president who retained anti-takeover provision, most Japanese shareholders had voted in favor, showing "support" him at the shareholders' meeting.</li>
<li>It's likely that Eisai will retain "contingency" anti-takeover, but if the founding family will use it to retain its position, this isn't consistent with the goal of maximizing corporate value.</li>
</ul>


Eisai, which had more than 30% of foreign shareholdings, had retained anti-takeover measures while incorporating the opinions of foreign shareholders, and has background of seeking reconciliation through enhancing its governance.
While foreign shareholders had voted against Mr. Naito, president who retained anti-takeover provision, most Japanese shareholders had voted in favor, showing "support" him at the shareholders' meeting.
It's likely that Eisai will retain "contingency" anti-takeover, but if the founding family will use it to retain its position, this isn't consistent with the goal of maximizing corporate value.


Make Us Consider the Issues on Anti-Takeover in a Company with Reduced Stake of Founding Family

Japan

Eisai Co., Ltd. produces prescription drugs and medical equipment and sells mainly to sales agents and subsidiaries.  Through its subsidiary, Sanko Junyaku, the Company produces and sells diagnostic drugs.  Eisai also markets its products through related companies in the US, Europe, and Asia.  The Company also manufactures and sells foods, livestock feeds, chemical, and agrochemicals.

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Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP)

Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Oral COVID-19 Drug Got Approval; Files Approval for COVID-19 Vaccine

Shionogi got approval for oral COVID drug and is seeking approval for COVID-19 vaccine in Japan. The company expects ¥110 billion revenue (~27% of...

Tina Banerjee

Eisai Co (4523 JP): Positive Trial Result For Alzheimer’s Disease Drug- A Step Closer to Approval

Positive results from the confirmatory phase 3 clinical trial removes a major overhang on Eisai. The company plans to submit marketing approval for...

Tina Banerjee

Biocytogen Pharma IPO: Large Drug Pipeline but Negatives Outweighs the Positives

Biocytogen doesn't have any products approved and are in early stages of development. Some competing drugs are in advanced phases. Pre-clinical...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Kaken Pharmaceutical (4521 JP): Falling Revenue of Top-Selling Drugs Limit Near-Term Growth Prospect

Kaken’s top selling drugs are reporting declining revenue. Fast growing new product contribute just 2% of revenue and is yet to gather momentum to...

Tina Banerjee

Make Us Consider the Issues on Anti-Takeover in a Company with Reduced Stake of Founding Family

I would like to discuss the issues on the Nikkei Shimbun article entitled "Eisai's True Intent to Abolish Takeover Defense Measures."

Metrical Inc

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