Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Elan Guides For Strong Revenue Growth Ahead and High Margins to Continue</li>
<li>AI PCs Only Expected to Drive Significant Volume by 2025E; Major AI Opportunity for Touch Sensors</li>
<li>Elan Can Benefit From Rising Consensus Forecasts But is Pricey -- We Wouldn't Chase the Rally But Also Don't Want to Short It</li>
</ul>


Elan Guides For Strong Revenue Growth Ahead and High Margins to Continue
AI PCs Only Expected to Drive Significant Volume by 2025E; Major AI Opportunity for Touch Sensors
Elan Can Benefit From Rising Consensus Forecasts But is Pricey -- We Wouldn't Chase the Rally But Also Don't Want to Short It


Elan Microelectronics: 50% YoY Growth Feasible for 2024E; Now a Pricey Consensus Long

<ul>
<li>Intel's upcoming Meteor Lake family of chips will include a new specific component specifically for running AI processes locally on PCs.</li>
<li>Meteor Lake will enable mass market adoption of AI PCs by providing a platform for developers to create more advanced AI PC applications than are currently possible.</li>
<li>Meteor Lake's launch could start by end-October. Intel's Innovation conference September 19-20th will likely add visibility. Intel's potential supports a Long thesis for Taiwan's PC supply chain.</li>
</ul>


Intel's upcoming Meteor Lake family of chips will include a new specific component specifically for running AI processes locally on PCs.
Meteor Lake will enable mass market adoption of AI PCs by providing a platform for developers to create more advanced AI PC applications than are currently possible.
Meteor Lake's launch could start by end-October. Intel's Innovation conference September 19-20th will likely add visibility. Intel's potential supports a Long thesis for Taiwan's PC supply chain.


Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elan-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19789:1" rel="noopener">Elan Microelectronics (2458 TT)</a> will be removed from the FTSE Taiwan Mid Cap 100 Index on September 16th. As a result, it could see 12+ days of volume of selling.</li>
<li>We had a call with management. Guidance and product performance implies the company has relative strength vs. its end-market demand weakness.</li>
<li>The stock has already underperformed notebook-related peers by a wide margin, hence a further underperformance caused by passive selling could open up a rebound opportunity,</li>
</ul>



Elan Microelectronics (2458 TT) will be removed from the FTSE Taiwan Mid Cap 100 Index on September 16th. As a result, it could see 12+ days of volume of selling.
We had a call with management. Guidance and product performance implies the company has relative strength vs. its end-market demand weakness.
The stock has already underperformed notebook-related peers by a wide margin, hence a further underperformance caused by passive selling could open up a rebound opportunity,


Elan Microelectronics Event: Index Removal Selling Could Exacerbate Price Divergence

<ul>
<li>Elan is positioned to win from a coming PC upgrade cycle, which has been indicated by companies such as Micron, Microsoft, Intel, and Asustek among others.</li>
<li>Elan is one of the institutionally most-underheld shares in our universe based on our analysis. Windows 11 adoption has been rising and will accelerate with a PC upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>We've updated our Elan model, we continue to rate the shares Outperform and have a NT$142 target price. Moreover, the stock's past all time remains 65% above current share price.</li>
</ul>


Elan is positioned to win from a coming PC upgrade cycle, which has been indicated by companies such as Micron, Microsoft, Intel, and Asustek among others.
Elan is one of the institutionally most-underheld shares in our universe based on our analysis. Windows 11 adoption has been rising and will accelerate with a PC upgrade cycle.
We've updated our Elan model, we continue to rate the shares Outperform and have a NT$142 target price. Moreover, the stock's past all time remains 65% above current share price.


Elan Microelectronics: Positioned to Win from PC Upgrade Cycle; Massively Underheld by Institutions

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Tech Plays Have Soared Since TSMC's Strong Outlook, and SK Hynix Reported a Return to Op Profit</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron</li>
<li>Key Upcoming Events -- Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, UMC Results Ahead</li>
</ul>


Taiwan Tech Plays Have Soared Since TSMC's Strong Outlook, and SK Hynix Reported a Return to Op Profit
Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron
Key Upcoming Events -- Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, UMC Results Ahead


Taiwan Tech Weekly: SK Hynix Boosts Optimism for Memory; Intel, Mediatek, Microsoft, UMC Key Events

Taiwan

Elan Microelectronics Corp. designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs).  The Company's product lines include telecom line, consumer electronic line, microcontroller line, personal computer (PC) peripheral line, and memory line.

Elan Microelectronics (2458 TT)

Elan Microelectronics: 50% YoY Growth Feasible for 2024E; Now a Pricey Consensus Long

Elan has guided for strong revenue growth and high margins, with potential in AI PCs and touch sensors, but may be overpriced for short-term gains.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

Intel's Meteor Lake chip family will enable mass adoption of AI PCs and the company could become widely admired by the market again. This also...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Elan Microelectronics Event: Index Removal Selling Could Exacerbate Price Divergence

We had a call with management. Guidance and product performance implies the company has relative strength vs. its end-market demand weakness.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Elan Microelectronics: Positioned to Win from PC Upgrade Cycle; Massively Underheld by Institutions

Elan is one of the institutionally most-underheld shares in our universe based on our analysis. Windows 11 adoption and touch usage for PCs has...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: SK Hynix Boosts Optimism for Memory; Intel, Mediatek, Microsoft, UMC Key Events

A strong outlook from TSMC and SK Hynix's return to op profit have boosted Taiwan tech; Why Microsoft's Copilot will accelerate demand for DRAM;...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Elan Microelectronics: 50% YoY Growth Feasible for 2024E; Now a Pricey Consensus Long

​Elan has guided for strong revenue growth and high margins, with potential in AI PCs and touch sensors, but may be overpriced for short-term gains.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Intel's Meteor Lake Chips Could Make It 'Cool' Again; Will Enable Mass Market Adoption of AI PCs

Intel's Meteor Lake chip family will enable mass adoption of AI PCs and the company could become widely admired by the market again. This also...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Elan Microelectronics Event: Index Removal Selling Could Exacerbate Price Divergence

We had a call with management. Guidance and product performance implies the company has relative strength vs. its end-market demand weakness.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Elan Microelectronics: Positioned to Win from PC Upgrade Cycle; Massively Underheld by Institutions

Elan is one of the institutionally most-underheld shares in our universe based on our analysis. Windows 11 adoption and touch usage for PCs has...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: SK Hynix Boosts Optimism for Memory; Intel, Mediatek, Microsoft, UMC Key Events

​A strong outlook from TSMC and SK Hynix's return to op profit have boosted Taiwan tech; Why Microsoft's Copilot will accelerate demand for DRAM;...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Elan has guided for strong revenue growth and high margins, with potential in AI PCs and touch sensors, but may be overpriced for short-term gains.

A strong outlook from TSMC and SK Hynix's return to op profit have boosted Taiwan tech; Why Microsoft's Copilot will accelerate demand for DRAM;...