Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to a global index in August will be announced pre-market open Thursday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 August.</li>
<li>The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 1, 2 and 3 months but near-term performance has been far from awesome due to the momentum unwind.</li>
</ul>


The changes to a global index in August will be announced pre-market open Thursday and will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 August.
The big market moves since the last rebalance result in many changes with the final number dependent on the day picked to compute market cap and free float market cap.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 1, 2 and 3 months but near-term performance has been far from awesome due to the momentum unwind.


Global Index: Potential Changes in August for Asia Pac

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Sub-8nm foundry license mix surged from 47.6% to 79% in 1Q26, a real-time read on advanced-node platform demand across TSMC, Samsung, and the leading-edge foundry stack.</li>
<li>
A Tier-1 US foundry engagement (likely Intel Foundry or TSMC Arizona in our view) could be confirmed 2Q26, a leading indicator of which US fab attracts external fabless customers first.</li>
<li>
First 3nm royalties landed in 4Q25; sub-16nm royalty +~700% YoY in 1Q26, confirming the AI accelerator supply chain's transition to leading-edge nodes is now live.</li>
</ul>



Sub-8nm foundry license mix surged from 47.6% to 79% in 1Q26, a real-time read on advanced-node platform demand across TSMC, Samsung, and the leading-edge foundry stack.

A Tier-1 US foundry engagement (likely Intel Foundry or TSMC Arizona in our view) could be confirmed 2Q26, a leading indicator of which US fab attracts external fabless customers first.

First 3nm royalties landed in 4Q25; sub-16nm royalty +~700% YoY in 1Q26, confirming the AI accelerator supply chain's transition to leading-edge nodes is now live.


TechChain Insights Q&A: Inside TSMC, Intel and SMIC's Advanced-Node Pipeline - M31 (6643 TT)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.</li>
<li>The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.
The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases


Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Innolux, King Slide Works, Formosa Plastics, TSMC, Nanya Technology, Phison Electronics, Winbond Electronics, Yang Ming Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Innolux, King Slide Works, Formosa Plastics, TSMC, Nanya Technology, Phison Electronics, Winbond Electronics, Yang Ming Marine.


MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Aug): Innolux, King Slide Works, Formosa Plastics, TSMC

Asm International Nv / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are resuming their uptrends following several weeks of consolidation above major base supports (classic bull market behavior). Our outlook for global equities remains bullish.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 has held above critical support at 4400-4415, and now displays a bull flag breakout following over a month of consolidation -- add exposure</li>
<li>We highlight many buy opportunities within global Technology, Services, and Communications</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are resuming their uptrends following several weeks of consolidation above major base supports (classic bull market behavior). Our outlook for global equities remains bullish.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 has held above critical support at 4400-4415, and now displays a bull flag breakout following over a month of consolidation -- add exposure
We highlight many buy opportunities within global Technology, Services, and Communications


EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

Taiwan

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

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Ememory Technology (3529 TT)

Global Index: Potential Changes in August for Asia Pac

The global index changes were announced using D1 as the cutoff. 99% hit rate across Asia Pacific, so no surprises. Big price changes in the stocks...

Brian Freitas

TechChain Insights Q&A: Inside TSMC, Intel and SMIC's Advanced-Node Pipeline - M31 (6643 TT)

Advanced-node platform demand on the rise, with sub-8nm licenses dominating 1Q26. Tier-1 US foundry engagement could be confirmed 2Q26, signaling...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Aug): Innolux, King Slide Works, Formosa Plastics, TSMC

We analyzed MS-Taiwan's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Innolux (3481 TT), King Slide Works (2059 TT), Formosa Plastics...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

EURO $STOXX 50, MSCI $ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Actionable Themes: Global Technology, Services, and Communications $ASML $ASMIY...

Vermilion Research

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