Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Group II cargo-loadings from Taiwan gather pace in final week of February, with shipments mostly bound for China.</li><li>Pick-up in activity mirrors similar trend in Singapore, where exports surged in the past week after the Lunar New Year slowdown.</li><li>Large cargo loads from South Korea in late-January before heading to US Gulf coast, set to arrive this week.</li></ul>

Group II cargo-loadings from Taiwan gather pace in final week of February, with shipments mostly bound for China.Pick-up in activity mirrors similar trend in Singapore, where exports surged in the past week after the Lunar New Year slowdown.Large cargo loads from South Korea in late-January before heading to US Gulf coast, set to arrive this week.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 27 February

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Watch refiners, shippers, and heavies for upside vs weakness for airlines and companies with shipping exposure to EU.</li>
<li>This rotation could be short lived given the very one-sided outcome of the conflict so far, so expect volatility.</li>
<li>Precious metals and oil are already starting to pare early gains this morning which may be indicative of the longevity of some of these moves.</li>
</ul>


Watch refiners, shippers, and heavies for upside vs weakness for airlines and companies with shipping exposure to EU.
This rotation could be short lived given the very one-sided outcome of the conflict so far, so expect volatility.
Precious metals and oil are already starting to pare early gains this morning which may be indicative of the longevity of some of these moves.


Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set for Short-Term Rotation Away from Tech After Attacks on Iran

<ul><li>Several Group II cargoes load from Taiwan in past week before heading to southeast Asia.</li><li>Total Group II shipments so far this month amount to little more than half the volume during the same period in January.</li><li>Dip in cargo loadings mirrors similar dynamic in Singapore in recent weeks, coincides with Lunar New Year holidays.</li></ul>

Several Group II cargoes load from Taiwan in past week before heading to southeast Asia.Total Group II shipments so far this month amount to little more than half the volume during the same period in January.Dip in cargo loadings mirrors similar dynamic in Singapore in recent weeks, coincides with Lunar New Year holidays.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 20 February

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6780-6824 on SPX and $141.50 on ACWI-US continue to hold.</li>
<li>We are not fighting the bullish trend with all the MSCI global indexes (MSCI ACWI, EAFE, ACWI ex-US, and EM) hitting multi-year highs, but we are monitoring potential concerns--notably...</li>
<li>...global defensives Staples (KXI-US), Utilities (JXI-US), RealEstate (RWO-US) at 5+ month RS highs, U.S. dollar (DXY) holding above $96.40, crude oil prices bottoming, gasoline (UGA) breaking out from 3.5+year downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6780-6824 on SPX and $141.50 on ACWI-US continue to hold.
We are not fighting the bullish trend with all the MSCI global indexes (MSCI ACWI, EAFE, ACWI ex-US, and EM) hitting multi-year highs, but we are monitoring potential concerns--notably...
...global defensives Staples (KXI-US), Utilities (JXI-US), RealEstate (RWO-US) at 5+ month RS highs, U.S. dollar (DXY) holding above $96.40, crude oil prices bottoming, gasoline (UGA) breaking out from 3.5+year downtrend.


Defensives Leading; Concerns Persist. Actionable Themes: Staples, Utilities, Energy, Transports

<ul><li>November supply rose month on month in every major market except the Middle East, where refinery-maintenance curtailed output.</li><li>Output posted the largest increase in the Americas, driven largely by the completion of plant-maintenance in the US.</li><li>Asia’s base oils output rose year on year for a fourth straight month, with gains extending into December.</li></ul>

November supply rose month on month in every major market except the Middle East, where refinery-maintenance curtailed output.Output posted the largest increase in the Americas, driven largely by the completion of plant-maintenance in the US.Asia’s base oils output rose year on year for a fourth straight month, with gains extending into December.

Global Base Oils Supply Rises in November Before Seasonal Slowdown

Japan

ENEOS Holdings, Inc. operates refining and marketing businesses. The Company refines and distributes petroleum and petroleum chemical products. ENEOS Holdings also provides non ferrous metals, electronic materials, and other products.

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ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP)

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 27 February

Group II cargo-loadings from Taiwan gather pace in final week of February, with shipments mostly bound for China. Pick-up in activity mirrors...

Base Oil News

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Set for Short-Term Rotation Away from Tech After Attacks on Iran

Expect a fairly sharp rotation away from tech and AI into defense and defensives names in Japan today. JP defense names are all trading close to...

Andrew Jackson

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 20 February

Several Group II cargoes load from Taiwan in past week before heading to southeast Asia. Total Group II shipments so far this month amount to...

Base Oil News

Defensives Leading; Concerns Persist. Actionable Themes: Staples, Utilities, Energy, Transports

Defensives Leading; Concerns Persist. Actionable Themes: Staples, Utilities, Energy, and Transports. Remain Overweight Emerging Markets $EEM,...

Vermilion Research

Global Base Oils Supply Rises in November Before Seasonal Slowdown

November supply rose month on month in every major market except the Middle East, where refinery-maintenance curtailed output. Output posted the...

Base Oil News

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