Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

REAL-Economics.com

Macroeconomics

-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion of Saudi capital will help to partially redress that, although Saudi Arabia is only the 7th largest oil-refining country, and ARAMCO has moderate amounts of technological expertise (mainly from its ownership of S-Oil in Korea). -Malaysia and (especially) Indonesia have been wary of "Arabised" or Wahhabi Islam, and see Saudi offers to widen Arabic…

-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion of Saudi capital will help to partially redress that, although Saudi Arabia is only the 7th largest oil-refining country, and ARAMCO has moderate amounts of technological expertise (mainly from its ownership of S-Oil in Korea). -Malaysia and (especially) Indonesia have been wary of "Arabised" or Wahhabi Islam, and see Saudi offers to widen Arabic…

King Salman Bearing Gifts: Implications for ASEAN, Oil-Refining and Religion

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

This week we feature an interview with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/35" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:35">Manu Bhaskaran</a> and his team at Centennial Asia, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/48" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:48">Jason Tan</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/49" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:49">Asees Bajaj</a> to canvass their views on South East Asia, with Indonesia a clear leader in their estimation. The volume of output of Insight Providers across ASEAN has picked up significantly this week, so buckle up and enjoy the ride.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/48" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:48">Jason Tan</a> sees the economic gloom in Singapore starting to clear, with a pick up in bank loan growth, though employment prospects still look bleak in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-the-gloom-is-clearing-but-slowly" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:8596">The</a>…

This week we feature an interview with Manu Bhaskaran and his team at Centennial Asia, including Jason Tan and Asees Bajaj to canvass their views on South East Asia, with Indonesia a clear leader in their estimation. The volume of output of Insight Providers across ASEAN has picked up significantly this week, so buckle up and enjoy the ride.Jason Tan sees the economic gloom in Singapore starting to clear, with a pick up in bank loan growth, though employment prospects still look bleak in The…

The Week that Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Politics, Pain and Soap Operas

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

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§  The SGX Maritime &amp; Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in tandem with the recovery of crude oil prices, which may be an indication that the sector could be bottoming out.
 
§  Despite the rally, the 18 constituents within the SGX MOE Index are trading at an average current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7x, with 10 of them trading below their book values.
 
§  Consensus estimates are expecting oil prices to stabilise and…
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§  The SGX Maritime &amp; Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in tandem with the recovery of crude oil prices, which may be an indication that the sector could be bottoming out.
 
§  Despite the rally, the 18 constituents within the SGX MOE Index are trading at an average current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7x, with 10 of them trading below their book values.
 
§  Consensus estimates are expecting oil prices to stabilise and…



SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

In this review, we highlight the importance for investors to: 1) not 'jump the gun' and sell on companies that are in decline; and 2) think logically about the macro picture, since those may have an impact on whether companies can recover or would lose relevance in the marketplace altogether.From our observations, the companies in Thailand that do turn around tend to follow one or more of these four measures, namely: 1) operations: a complete transformation rather than minor patch-ups (eg. KARMART, IVL); 2) competitive strategy: changing the frame of reference (PIZZA...now part of MINT); 3) debt restructuring (BLAND, TPI); and 4) marketing: re-branding (eg. DTAC, BTS). Whether you are stuck with certain investments or thinking about investing in potential turnaround plays, observing these four traits or steps could be helpful.

In this review, we highlight the importance for investors to: 1) not 'jump the gun' and sell on companies that are in decline; and 2) think logically about the macro picture, since those may have an impact on whether companies can recover or would lose relevance in the marketplace altogether.From our observations, the companies in Thailand that do turn around tend to follow one or more of these four measures, namely: 1) operations: a complete transformation rather than minor patch-ups (eg. KARMART, IVL); 2) competitive strategy: changing the frame of reference (PIZZA...now part of MINT); 3) debt restructuring (BLAND, TPI); and 4) marketing: re-branding (eg. DTAC, BTS). Whether you are stuck with certain investments or thinking about investing in potential turnaround plays, observing these four traits or steps could be helpful.

Turnarounds: Finding A Phoenix In the Land of the Dead

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 17th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Gulf Energy Development, SCB X, Delta Electronics, Thai Oil, Delta Electronics, Scb X, Gulf Energy Development, Thai Oil.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 17th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Gulf Energy Development, SCB X, Delta Electronics, Thai Oil, Delta Electronics, Scb X, Gulf Energy Development, Thai Oil.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 17th): Intouch, Gulf Energy Development, SCB X

Thailand

Energy Absolute is a leading Thai company engaged in the manufacture and distribution of crude palm oil, biodiesel, and glycerol products. The company also operates renewable power plants (solar and wind), manufactures and distributes lithium-ion batteries and electric vehicles (e.g., buses, cars, ferries), and provides electric vehicle charging station services. It was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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Energy Absolute (EA TB)

King Salman Bearing Gifts: Implications for ASEAN, Oil-Refining and Religion

-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion...

Prasenjit K. Basu

The Week that Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Politics, Pain and Soap Operas

This week we feature an interview with Manu Bhaskaran and his team at Centennial Asia, including Jason Tan and Asees Bajaj to canvass their views...

Angus Mackintosh

SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

§ The SGX Maritime & Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Turnarounds: Finding A Phoenix In the Land of the Dead

In this review, we highlight the importance for investors to: 1) not 'jump the gun' and sell on companies that are in decline; and 2) think...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 17th): Intouch, Gulf Energy Development, SCB X

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), Gulf Energy Development...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)