HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>
Novel Twist Steepening Analysis: Empirically validated sector rotation opportunities in the current yield curve environment with rising long-term rates and falling short-term rates.</li>
<li>
Integrated Machine Learning Framework: Advanced ML techniques identify non-linear macro-asset relationships traditional models miss, enhancing strategy robustness during regime transitions.</li>
<li>
Actionable Cross-Asset Implementation: Detailed portfolio methodologies integrating findings across asset classes with specific trade recommendations for Q2 2025.</li>
</ul>



Novel Twist Steepening Analysis: Empirically validated sector rotation opportunities in the current yield curve environment with rising long-term rates and falling short-term rates.

Integrated Machine Learning Framework: Advanced ML techniques identify non-linear macro-asset relationships traditional models miss, enhancing strategy robustness during regime transitions.

Actionable Cross-Asset Implementation: Detailed portfolio methodologies integrating findings across asset classes with specific trade recommendations for Q2 2025.


Advanced Look: Navigating the New Macro Landscape Through Quantitative Alpha Generation Strategies

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Occidental’s Q1 revenue and EPS are projected to rise 14.4% and 23.8% YoY, driven by strong Permian production and improved oil and gas price realisations.</li>
<li>Occidental’s average realised global oil price rose 1.9% QoQ, while NGL and natural gas prices surged 19% and 63.1%, respectively.</li>
<li>Occidental’s average index prices for WTI and Brent rose 1.6% and 1.2% QoQ, respectively, while natural gas prices saw a sharp 36.1% increase.</li>
</ul>


Occidental’s Q1 revenue and EPS are projected to rise 14.4% and 23.8% YoY, driven by strong Permian production and improved oil and gas price realisations.
Occidental’s average realised global oil price rose 1.9% QoQ, while NGL and natural gas prices surged 19% and 63.1%, respectively.
Occidental’s average index prices for WTI and Brent rose 1.6% and 1.2% QoQ, respectively, while natural gas prices saw a sharp 36.1% increase.


[Earnings Preview] Better Oil and Gas Prices to Lift Occidental’s Revenue Amid Persistent Headwinds

<ul>
<li>BP’s Q4 revenue and EPS are projected to decline by 7.4% YoY and 43.3%, respectively, due to lower hydrocarbon output, weaker gas marketing, and subdued trading results.</li>
<li>BP expects oil production earnings to remain flat sequentially, with refining margins adding USD 100-300 million to Q1 earnings, while oil trading performance is anticipated to remain unchanged.</li>
<li>The company expects net debt to increase by USD 4 billion from the previous quarter’s USD 23 billion, citing seasonal inventory builds and timing of payments.</li>
</ul>


BP’s Q4 revenue and EPS are projected to decline by 7.4% YoY and 43.3%, respectively, due to lower hydrocarbon output, weaker gas marketing, and subdued trading results.
BP expects oil production earnings to remain flat sequentially, with refining margins adding USD 100-300 million to Q1 earnings, while oil trading performance is anticipated to remain unchanged.
The company expects net debt to increase by USD 4 billion from the previous quarter’s USD 23 billion, citing seasonal inventory builds and timing of payments.


[Earnings Preview] BP’s Outlook Dims with Lower Hydrocarbon Output and Softer Trading Results

<ul>
<li>Schlumberger will report its Q1 earnings on 25/Apr, with revenue and EPS projected to fall sequentially and annually due to subdued oil prices and demand.</li>
<li>Schlumberger's OI PCR at 0.70, signalling neutral sentiment, with a 96% IV percentile indicating high volatility.</li>
<li>For the 25/Apr expiry, SLB’s OI shows calls concentrated at strikes 42, 43, and 45, while puts dominate at 34, 33, and 32, with lower put OI at key levels.</li>
</ul>


Schlumberger will report its Q1 earnings on 25/Apr, with revenue and EPS projected to fall sequentially and annually due to subdued oil prices and demand.
Schlumberger's OI PCR at 0.70, signalling neutral sentiment, with a 96% IV percentile indicating high volatility.
For the 25/Apr expiry, SLB’s OI shows calls concentrated at strikes 42, 43, and 45, while puts dominate at 34, 33, and 32, with lower put OI at key levels.


[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Schlumberger’s Options Data Suggests Mixed Signals Ahead of Q1

<ul>
<li>Halliburton’s Q1 revenue is set to drop 9.1% YoY, with EPS down 21.1%, driven by soft North American activity and weak oil prices.</li>
<li>Halliburton has underperformed the S&amp;P 500, XLE, and peers SLB and Baker Hughes, weighed down by its greater U.S. shale exposure and rising input costs.</li>
<li>Despite near-term headwinds, analysts retain a “Buy” rating on Halliburton, citing strong cash flows, a solid balance sheet, and strategic investments.</li>
</ul>


Halliburton’s Q1 revenue is set to drop 9.1% YoY, with EPS down 21.1%, driven by soft North American activity and weak oil prices.
Halliburton has underperformed the S&amp;P 500, XLE, and peers SLB and Baker Hughes, weighed down by its greater U.S. shale exposure and rising input costs.
Despite near-term headwinds, analysts retain a “Buy” rating on Halliburton, citing strong cash flows, a solid balance sheet, and strategic investments.


[Earnings Preview] Halliburton Pressured by North American Slowdown and Tariffs

United States

Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA.  The ETF tracks the performance of the Energy Select Sector Index.  The ETF holds large-cap U.S. energy stocks. It invests in companies that  develop & produce crude oil & natural gas, provide drilling and other energy related services. The holdings are weighted by market capitalization.

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Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE US)

Advanced Look: Navigating the New Macro Landscape Through Quantitative Alpha Generation Strategies

🔓 UNLOCKING RESEARCH: Systematic Macro Alpha Generation We are releasing our comprehensive macro investing research to SSRN! https:/...

William Mann

[Earnings Preview] Better Oil and Gas Prices to Lift Occidental’s Revenue Amid Persistent Headwinds

Occidental's Q1 revenue and EPS expected to rise significantly YoY due to strong Permian production and improved oil and gas prices.

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] BP’s Outlook Dims with Lower Hydrocarbon Output and Softer Trading Results

BP's Q4 revenue and EPS to decline due to lower output and weaker trading results, with flat oil production earnings and increased net debt...

Mint Finance

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Schlumberger’s Options Data Suggests Mixed Signals Ahead of Q1

Schlumberger's Q1 earnings expected to decline due to low oil prices, with neutral sentiment and high volatility in options market for 25/Apr expiry.

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] Halliburton Pressured by North American Slowdown and Tariffs

Halliburton's Q1 revenue and EPS are expected to decline due to soft North American activity and weak oil prices. Analysts maintain a "Buy"...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Advanced Look: Navigating the New Macro Landscape Through Quantitative Alpha Generation Strategies

🔓 UNLOCKING RESEARCH: Systematic Macro Alpha Generation We are releasing our comprehensive macro investing research to SSRN! https:/...

William Mann

[Earnings Preview] Better Oil and Gas Prices to Lift Occidental’s Revenue Amid Persistent Headwinds

​Occidental's Q1 revenue and EPS expected to rise significantly YoY due to strong Permian production and improved oil and gas prices.

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] BP’s Outlook Dims with Lower Hydrocarbon Output and Softer Trading Results

​BP's Q4 revenue and EPS to decline due to lower output and weaker trading results, with flat oil production earnings and increased net debt...

Mint Finance

[Pre Earnings Options Flash] Schlumberger’s Options Data Suggests Mixed Signals Ahead of Q1

​Schlumberger's Q1 earnings expected to decline due to low oil prices, with neutral sentiment and high volatility in options market for 25/Apr expiry.

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] Halliburton Pressured by North American Slowdown and Tariffs

​Halliburton's Q1 revenue and EPS are expected to decline due to soft North American activity and weak oil prices. Analysts maintain a "Buy"...

Mint Finance

Occidental's Q1 revenue and EPS expected to rise significantly YoY due to strong Permian production and improved oil and gas prices.

BP's Q4 revenue and EPS to decline due to lower output and weaker trading results, with flat oil production earnings and increased net debt...

Schlumberger's Q1 earnings expected to decline due to low oil prices, with neutral sentiment and high volatility in options market for 25/Apr expiry.

Halliburton's Q1 revenue and EPS are expected to decline due to soft North American activity and weak oil prices. Analysts maintain a "Buy"...