Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The MSCI ACWI and S&amp;P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a bullish trend change. Combine this with improving market internals and we are becoming incrementally more bullish. For the MSCI ACWI, one of the more concerning breadth indicators has been the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving average. This indicator recently hit a higher high (see below, left), a positive development that confirms the market’s recent advance. In today's report we highlight opportunities within global Energy and Technology companies, two of our overweights.

The MSCI ACWI and S&amp;P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a bullish trend change. Combine this with improving market internals and we are becoming incrementally more bullish. For the MSCI ACWI, one of the more concerning breadth indicators has been the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving average. This indicator recently hit a higher high (see below, left), a positive development that confirms the market’s recent advance. In today's report we highlight opportunities within global Energy and Technology companies, two of our overweights. 

Global Energy Shares Breaking Out; Technology Remains Attractive

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&amp;P 500. Given this bounce, we have become incrementally more bullish. In today’s report we highlight the bullish implications of the recent move higher for the broad market as well as attractive and actionable groups within the Energy Sector: EN-02 Oil &amp; Gas, Global, Large-Cap, EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, and EN-10 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic Small-Cap.

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&amp;P 500. Given this bounce, we have become incrementally more bullish. In today’s report we highlight the bullish implications of the recent move higher for the broad market as well as attractive and actionable groups within the Energy Sector: EN-02 Oil &amp; Gas, Global, Large-Cap, EN-08 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic, Large-Cap, and EN-10 Oil and Gas E&amp;P, Domestic Small-Cap.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy Stocks

We believe the secular mobile payments theme has room to run, and we expect related stocks to continue outperforming... see pages 2-4 for actionable stocks. We reiterate our overweight metals and mining.. see pages 5 and 9-12 for actionable stocks. Though lagging across many global markets, Utilities are particularly attractive in Europe and Japan... see pages 6 and 13-17 for actionable stocks.

We believe the secular mobile payments theme has room to run, and we expect related stocks to continue outperforming... see pages 2-4 for actionable stocks. We reiterate our overweight metals and mining.. see pages 5 and 9-12 for actionable stocks. Though lagging across many global markets, Utilities are particularly attractive in Europe and Japan... see pages 6 and 13-17 for actionable stocks.

Global Strategy: Opportunities Within Mobile Payments, Metals & Mining, and Utilities

We continue to view the market as healthy in terms of breadth, although rotations are occurring at the margin which warrant minor tweaks to our overall theme of continued consolidation and heightened volatility. Also within our May Equity Strategy, we highlight opportunities within the Technology (Overweight), Financial (Overweight), and Energy (Market weight) Sectors.

We continue to view the market as healthy in terms of breadth, although rotations are occurring at the margin which warrant minor tweaks to our overall theme of continued consolidation and heightened volatility. Also within our May Equity Strategy, we highlight opportunities within the Technology (Overweight), Financial (Overweight), and Energy (Market weight) Sectors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities, Downgrading Manufacturing

Global Cross-Asset Energy Analyst, VAC Investments

Aaditya Chintalapati, CFA

Global Cross-Asset Energy Analyst

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Following close to 70 years of energy industry isolation, Mexico’s first licensing round opened to International Oil Companies in 2014 saw tremendous industry interest, further boosted by early play-opening success at the Zama exploration well (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/25251" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25251:1">Premier Oil PLC (PMO LN)</a>, Talos Energy and Sierra Oil &amp; Gas Partners) this year. We believe Mexico is well-placed for renewed exploration activity and industry interest in the near-term and remains one of the last major under-explored hydrocarbon provinces in the world. Below, we take a comprehensive look at the region’s geology, companies of interest and upcoming resource catalysts. We highlight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/25251" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25251:1">Premier Oil PLC (PMO LN)</a> as the key equity pick to play the theme.

Following close to 70 years of energy industry isolation, Mexico’s first licensing round opened to International Oil Companies in 2014 saw tremendous industry interest, further boosted by early play-opening success at the Zama exploration well (Premier Oil PLC (PMO LN), Talos Energy and Sierra Oil &amp; Gas Partners) this year. We believe Mexico is well-placed for renewed exploration activity and industry interest in the near-term and remains one of the last major under-explored hydrocarbon provinces in the world. Below, we take a comprehensive look at the region’s geology, companies of interest and upcoming resource catalysts. We highlight Premier Oil PLC (PMO LN) as the key equity pick to play the theme.

Italy

Eni SpA explores for and produces hydrocarbons in Italy, Africa, the North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, Kazakhstan, and Australia. The Company both produces natural gas and imports it for sale in Italy and elsewhere in Europe. Eni transports natural gas in pipelines. The Company generates and trades electricity, refines oil, and operates gasoline service stations.

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Eni SpA (ENI IM)

Global Energy Shares Breaking Out; Technology Remains Attractive

The MSCI ACWI and S&P 500 have both achieved a higher high relative to mid-April prices, which we see as a potential early indication of a...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Energy Stocks

The recent successful test of support at the 200-day moving average has paved the way for a meaningful bounce higher on the S&P 500. Given this...

Vermilion Research

Global Strategy: Opportunities Within Mobile Payments, Metals & Mining, and Utilities

We believe the secular mobile payments theme has room to run, and we expect related stocks to continue outperforming... see pages 2-4 for...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Upgrading Utilities, Downgrading Manufacturing

We continue to view the market as healthy in terms of breadth, although rotations are occurring at the margin which warrant minor tweaks to our...

Vermilion Research

Global E&Ps: Mexico In Focus

Following close to 70 years of energy industry isolation, Mexico’s first licensing round opened to International Oil Companies in 2014 saw...

Aaditya Chintalapati, CFA

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Market Cap (USDm)

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