Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
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If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.</li><li>Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.</li><li>If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!</li></ul>

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Favourable court ruling allows Welchau testing operations to resume – The Upper Austrian State Administrative Court has rejected objections from environmental activist groups regarding drilling and testing at Welchau.</li>
<li>The court confirmed that Environmental Clearances were issued in full compliance with applicable regulations.</li>
<li>ADX is now authorized to resume operations at the Welchau-1 site during the winter drilling window, spanning 1 October to 31 March.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Favourable court ruling allows Welchau testing operations to resume – The Upper Austrian State Administrative Court has rejected objections from environmental activist groups regarding drilling and testing at Welchau.
The court confirmed that Environmental Clearances were issued in full compliance with applicable regulations.
ADX is now authorized to resume operations at the Welchau-1 site during the winter drilling window, spanning 1 October to 31 March.


<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB).</li><li>AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net).</li><li>Both wells are outperforming expectations in terms of flow rates and pressure, which may positively impact reserves estimates.</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB).AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net).Both wells are outperforming expectations in terms of flow rates and pressure, which may positively impact reserves estimates.

<ul><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions?</li><li>– 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period.</li><li>RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%.</li></ul>

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions?– 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period.RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%.

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: New acreage in Austria increases prospect inventory with a focus on low risk, shallow gas - ADX’s acreage in Austria has been modified to include additional near-term, low-risk gas prospects, as well as high-impact, higher-risk opportunities.</li>
<li>One focus of the 2025 program is to drill shallow, low-risk, high initial production gas prospects that can be rapidly put into production.</li>
<li>ADX has more than tripled the number of these prospects within its revised acreage positions at ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II, holding 100% WI in the new prospects.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: New acreage in Austria increases prospect inventory with a focus on low risk, shallow gas - ADX’s acreage in Austria has been modified to include additional near-term, low-risk gas prospects, as well as high-impact, higher-risk opportunities.
One focus of the 2025 program is to drill shallow, low-risk, high initial production gas prospects that can be rapidly put into production.
ADX has more than tripled the number of these prospects within its revised acreage positions at ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II, holding 100% WI in the new prospects.


United Kingdom

Enquest PLC is an oil production and development company.  The Company is focused on the United Kingdom Continental Shelf.

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EnQuest PLC (ENQ LN)

Monday Delight: 06/10/25

Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help...

Contrarian Cashflows

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/09/2025

The Upper Austrian State Administrative Court has rejected objections from environmental activist groups regarding drilling and testing at Welchau.

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/07/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/05/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/07/2025

ADX has more than tripled the number of these prospects within its revised acreage positions at ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II, holding 100% WI in the new...

Auctus Advisors

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