Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>On Wednesday <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-administration-drafting-ban-chinese-data-center-devices-sources-say-2026-08-04/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">REUTERS reported the Trump administration is drafting a ban on U.S. imports of new models of Chinese data center components</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6986:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH)</a> fell 7.27% on Wednesday, as export-dependent optical module makers could be severaly impacted by the ban. Some see this purely as a negotiation tactic from Trump.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zhongji-innolight-tactical-outlook-fade-relief-rally-as-downside-risk-persists" target="_blank" rel="noopener">We recently pointed out downside risk for Zhongji Innolight</a>, so let's have a look to fresh, updated support and profit target models to evaluate the stock's possible range.</li>
</ul>


On Wednesday REUTERS reported the Trump administration is drafting a ban on U.S. imports of new models of Chinese data center components. 

Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH) fell 7.27% on Wednesday, as export-dependent optical module makers could be severaly impacted by the ban. Some see this purely as a negotiation tactic from Trump.

We recently pointed out downside risk for Zhongji Innolight, so let's have a look to fresh, updated support and profit target models to evaluate the stock's possible range.


Zhongji Innolight Tactical UPDATE After Planned US Import Ban

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Capital Markets

Zhongji InnoLight / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Zhongji Innolight has placed its dual-listed H shares at HK$980 per share, approximately a 10% discount to its A shares.  The listing will be the largest in HK since Alibaba.</li>
<li>Zhongji Innolight is the world's largest manufacturer of optical transceiver modules, holding 21.2–23.1% global market share in datacom optical modules as of 2025.</li>
<li>The company supports global cloud and AI computing infrastructure with strong hyperscaler qualification relationships with Google, Amazon, Meta, and Nvidia, its largest customers.</li>
</ul>


Zhongji Innolight has placed its dual-listed H shares at HK$980 per share, approximately a 10% discount to its A shares.  The listing will be the largest in HK since Alibaba.
Zhongji Innolight is the world's largest manufacturer of optical transceiver modules, holding 21.2–23.1% global market share in datacom optical modules as of 2025.
The company supports global cloud and AI computing infrastructure with strong hyperscaler qualification relationships with Google, Amazon, Meta, and Nvidia, its largest customers.


HK IPO WATCH: Zhongji Innolight - Global Dominance for AI Buildout

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, INDUSTRIAL BANK, Longi Green, SERES, ZIJIN MINING, PING AN INSURANCE, GIGADEVICE SEMICONDUCTOR.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, INDUSTRIAL BANK, Longi Green, SERES, ZIJIN MINING, PING AN INSURANCE, GIGADEVICE SEMICONDUCTOR.


CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, INDUSTRIAL BANK

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green, SERES, ZIJIN MINING, PING AN INSURANCE, GIGADEVICE SEMICONDUCTOR.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green, SERES, ZIJIN MINING, PING AN INSURANCE, GIGADEVICE SEMICONDUCTOR.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD350,312m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE, BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY TECHNOLOGY, CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, Mindray, GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD350,312m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE, BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY TECHNOLOGY, CHINA MINSHENG BANKING, Mindray, GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 31st): ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE, BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY TECHNOLOGY

China

Eoptolink Technology Inc., Ltd.  designs and manufactures communication components.  The Company sells a variety of optical transceiver modules.  Eoptolink Technology sells products around the world.

Price Gauge
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Eoptolink Technology (300502 CH)

Zhongji Innolight Tactical UPDATE After Planned US Import Ban

The Trump administration is drafting a ban on Chinese data center components that would impact Zhongji Innolight stock, raising downside risk...

Nico Rosti

HK IPO WATCH: Zhongji Innolight - Global Dominance for AI Buildout

The Trump administration is drafting a ban targeting new models of Chinese-made optical transceivers for data centers. Driven by the FCC, the...

David Mudd

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, INDUSTRIAL BANK

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT (300308 CH), GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE (601238 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT (300308 CH), EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY (300502 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zhongji Innolight Tactical UPDATE After Planned US Import Ban

The ​Trump administration is drafting a ban on Chinese data center components that would impact Zhongji Innolight stock, raising downside risk...

Nico Rosti

HK IPO WATCH: Zhongji Innolight - Global Dominance for AI Buildout

The Trump administration is drafting a ban targeting new models of Chinese-made optical transceivers for data centers. Driven by the FCC, the...

David Mudd

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, INDUSTRIAL BANK

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT (300308 CH), GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE (601238 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jul): ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT, EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY, TONGWEI, Longi Green

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT (300308 CH), EOPTOLINK TECHNOLOGY (300502 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Jul 31st): ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE, BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY TECHNOLOGY

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted ANHUI JIANGHUAI AUTOMOBILE (600418 CH), BLUEPARK NEW ENERGY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Trump administration is drafting a ban on Chinese data center components that would impact Zhongji Innolight stock, raising downside risk...