European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At the end of PUSU deadline, EQT and Dechra have agreed a 3,875p/share offer (44% premium, 21.4x EV/Fwd EBITDA, 30.2x Fwd P/E, vs. market leader Zoetis at 20.5x and 28.9x respectively).</li>
<li>Other private equity companies may not be able to match the deal's disintermediation benefits. Considering the short-term issues, I believe investors will accept the offer.</li>
<li>My base-case DCF fair-value estimate is 3,568p/share, 7.9% below the offer price. Therefore I set my TP at 3,875p. Spread is 5.8%/8.8% (gross/annualised), I feel the risk/reward is balanced. Long.</li>
</ul>


At the end of PUSU deadline, EQT and Dechra have agreed a 3,875p/share offer (44% premium, 21.4x EV/Fwd EBITDA, 30.2x Fwd P/E, vs. market leader Zoetis at 20.5x and 28.9x respectively).
Other private equity companies may not be able to match the deal's disintermediation benefits. Considering the short-term issues, I believe investors will accept the offer.
My base-case DCF fair-value estimate is 3,568p/share, 7.9% below the offer price. Therefore I set my TP at 3,875p. Spread is 5.8%/8.8% (gross/annualised), I feel the risk/reward is balanced. Long.


EQT/​Dechra Pharmaceuticals: Recommended Offer

<ul>
<li>Dechra is in discussions with EQT and ADIA about a 4,070 cash possible offer (46.6% premium, 22.6x EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA and 32x Fwd P/E). PUSU deadline is 11 May. </li>
<li>With the deal multiple at a slight premium (on both EV/Fwd EBITDA and Fwd P/E) over Zoetis, the market leader in animal health, the offer appears to be reasonably priced.</li>
<li>My base case fair value estimate is 3,568p/share (DCF-based), 12.3% below the offer price. My TP is thus 4,070p. Gross spread is 9.1%, therefore I feel the risk/reward is balanced.</li>
</ul>


Dechra is in discussions with EQT and ADIA about a 4,070 cash possible offer (46.6% premium, 22.6x EV/NTM Fwd EBITDA and 32x Fwd P/E). PUSU deadline is 11 May. 
With the deal multiple at a slight premium (on both EV/Fwd EBITDA and Fwd P/E) over Zoetis, the market leader in animal health, the offer appears to be reasonably priced.
My base case fair value estimate is 3,568p/share (DCF-based), 12.3% below the offer price. My TP is thus 4,070p. Gross spread is 9.1%, therefore I feel the risk/reward is balanced.


EQT/Dechra Pharmaceuticals: Generous Possible Offer

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dechra-pharmaceuticals-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21908:1" rel="noopener">Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN)</a> received an offer from the Swedish private equity firm EQT regarding a possible all-cash deal, where Dechra shareholders would receive £40.70 per ordinary share in cash.</li>
<li>Right after the announcement, Dechra shares surged 33%. The shares are currently trading at £37.66, implying 10% upside potential.</li>
<li>Without EQT offer, based on current financial performance, Dechra has a bleak outlook. Currently, Dechra has average target price of £39.39, implying a spread of just ~5%.</li>
</ul>



Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN) received an offer from the Swedish private equity firm EQT regarding a possible all-cash deal, where Dechra shareholders would receive £40.70 per ordinary share in cash.
Right after the announcement, Dechra shares surged 33%. The shares are currently trading at £37.66, implying 10% upside potential.
Without EQT offer, based on current financial performance, Dechra has a bleak outlook. Currently, Dechra has average target price of £39.39, implying a spread of just ~5%.


Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN): Best Case Scenario Offers 10% Upside Potential

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Bain Capital-backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a> is on the move after Bloomberg flagged - again - interest from industry players.</li>
<li>This time, SOE-backed China Merchants Group is understood to be mulling a takeover of Chindata. Shares are up 23% since that article earlier this month.</li>
<li>Back in April, Bloomberg mentioned <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23649:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (ADR) (GDS US)</a>, PE outfit PAG, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eqt-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28922:1" rel="noopener">EQT AB (EQT SS)</a>-backed EdgeConneX were rumoured to be interested in merging with Chindata. </li>
</ul>


Bain Capital-backed Chindata Group (CD US) is on the move after Bloomberg flagged - again - interest from industry players.
This time, SOE-backed China Merchants Group is understood to be mulling a takeover of Chindata. Shares are up 23% since that article earlier this month.
Back in April, Bloomberg mentioned GDS Holdings (ADR) (GDS US), PE outfit PAG, and EQT AB (EQT SS)-backed EdgeConneX were rumoured to be interested in merging with Chindata. 


Chindata: China Merchants Potentially In The Mix

<ul>
<li>FirstGroup's Board rejected a 118p + up to 45.6p contingent payment. PUSU deadline is 23 June, and can be extended with the consent of the Panel. </li>
<li>Infrastructure funds have put their sight on UK buses due to predictable revenues and a friendlier regulatory framework. The Board of FirstGroup is aware and should seek higher value.</li>
<li>I Square could bid a more palatable 166.8p/share: 144p/share (8.2x EV/Fwd EBIT, average of StageCoach and Go-Ahead transactions), plus 22.8p/share (50% discount to the maximum contingent payout). Long.</li>
</ul>


FirstGroup's Board rejected a 118p + up to 45.6p contingent payment. PUSU deadline is 23 June, and can be extended with the consent of the Panel. 
Infrastructure funds have put their sight on UK buses due to predictable revenues and a friendlier regulatory framework. The Board of FirstGroup is aware and should seek higher value.
I Square could bid a more palatable 166.8p/share: 144p/share (8.2x EV/Fwd EBIT, average of StageCoach and Go-Ahead transactions), plus 22.8p/share (50% discount to the maximum contingent payout). Long.


I Squared/FirstGroup: Looming PUSU Deadline

Sweden

EQT AB operates as an investment firm. The Company invests in equity, ventures, infrastructure, and real estate properties. EQT serves customers worldwide.

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EQT (EQT SS)

EQT/Dechra Pharmaceuticals: Recommended Offer

In spite of negative trading updated, EQT has followed in its pursuit of Dechra and today both have agreed a fair, in my view, 3,875p/share offer...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

EQT/Dechra Pharmaceuticals: Generous Possible Offer

Dechrais in discussions with EQT and ADIA regarding a possible 4,070p/share cash offer. Gross spread is 9.1%, therefore I feel the risk/reward is...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN): Best Case Scenario Offers 10% Upside Potential

Dechra received takeover offer from private equity firm EQT for £40.70 per share all-cash deal. Current price implies ~10% spread. EQT has until 11...

Tina Banerjee

Chindata: China Merchants Potentially In The Mix

No formal sale process has occurred, therefore second-guessing if, and when, an Offer emerges will be fraught with issues. However, I'd be picking...

David Blennerhassett

I Squared/FirstGroup: Looming PUSU Deadline

Three out of four major London-listed bus operators have attracted private equity interest in recent months. Infrastructure funds seek the stable...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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EQT/​Dechra Pharmaceuticals: Recommended Offer

In spite of negative trading updated, EQT has followed in its pursuit of Dechra and today both have agreed a fair, in my view, 3,875p/share offer...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

EQT/Dechra Pharmaceuticals: Generous Possible Offer

Dechrais in discussions with EQT and ADIA regarding a possible 4,070p/share cash offer. Gross spread is 9.1%, therefore I feel the risk/reward is...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN): Best Case Scenario Offers 10% Upside Potential

Dechra received takeover offer from private equity firm EQT for £40.70 per share all-cash deal. Current price implies ~10% spread. EQT has until 11...

Tina Banerjee

Chindata: China Merchants Potentially In The Mix

No formal sale process has occurred, therefore second-guessing if, and when, an Offer emerges will be fraught with issues. However, I'd be picking...

David Blennerhassett

I Squared/FirstGroup: Looming PUSU Deadline

Three out of four major London-listed bus operators have attracted private equity interest in recent months. Infrastructure funds seek the stable...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

EQT/Dechra Pharmaceuticals: Recommended Offer