IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>’s 3Q22 results beat both revenue and adjusted EBITDA consensus estimates. Chindata raised its full-year guidance for the second time this year.</li>
<li>Chindata continues to attract rumours of takeover interest, most recently from China Merchants. Its track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and beaten-down rating make it a target. </li>
<li>A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.8x, in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>’s multiple implied by its founder’s offer (at US$8.20), would imply Chindata’s price of US$8 per ADS.  </li>
</ul>



Chindata Group (CD US)’s 3Q22 results beat both revenue and adjusted EBITDA consensus estimates. Chindata raised its full-year guidance for the second time this year.
Chindata continues to attract rumours of takeover interest, most recently from China Merchants. Its track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and beaten-down rating make it a target. 
A forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.8x, in line with 21Vianet Group (VNET US)’s multiple implied by its founder’s offer (at US$8.20), would imply Chindata’s price of US$8 per ADS.  


2023 High Conviction: Chindata's Track Record & Rating Makes It a Takeover Target

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Equity Bottom-Up

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) (9432 JP)

<ul>
<li>NTT's global data center business has 6% market share with annual revenue growth of 20% that is twice the industry average</li>
<li>We have updated our model and valuation summary to reflect the transfer of NTT Ltd, which operates the GDC business, into NTT Data</li>
<li>Our valuation remains unchanged although we have lowered our target price ¥4,500 to ¥4,450 for payment of the H1 dividend.  NTT remains a top pick in our coverage</li>
</ul>


NTT's global data center business has 6% market share with annual revenue growth of 20% that is twice the industry average
We have updated our model and valuation summary to reflect the transfer of NTT Ltd, which operates the GDC business, into NTT Data
Our valuation remains unchanged although we have lowered our target price ¥4,500 to ¥4,450 for payment of the H1 dividend.  NTT remains a top pick in our coverage


NTT (Buy) - Investor Day Highlights Global Data Center Business

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a> disclosed a privatisation proposal from the founder at US$8.20 per ADS, a 2.5% premium to The Hina Group/Industrial Bank’s offer of US$8.00 (disclosed on 11 April).</li>
<li>The data centre industry continues to be a hotbed for M&amp;A. <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-27/mbk-partners-is-said-to-weigh-rival-bid-for-chinese-data-center-firm-vnet" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg reported</a> on 27 July that MBK Partners is mulling an offer for VNET. </li>
<li>The offer is unattractive, and Mr Cheng, with 28.79% of voting rights, will need the support of other substantial shareholders. This latest offer underlines the current mispricing of the shares</li>
</ul>



21Vianet Group (VNET US) disclosed a privatisation proposal from the founder at US$8.20 per ADS, a 2.5% premium to The Hina Group/Industrial Bank’s offer of US$8.00 (disclosed on 11 April).
The data centre industry continues to be a hotbed for M&amp;A. Bloomberg reported on 27 July that MBK Partners is mulling an offer for VNET. 
The offer is unattractive, and Mr Cheng, with 28.79% of voting rights, will need the support of other substantial shareholders. This latest offer underlines the current mispricing of the shares


VNET’s Opportunistic US$8.20 Bid from the Founder

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-27/mbk-partners-is-said-to-weigh-rival-bid-for-chinese-data-center-firm-vnet" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bloomberg reported</a> that MBK Partners is in talks to team up with a partner on a joint offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>. Considerations are at a preliminary stage.</li>
<li>A potential bid would compete against The Hina Group and Industrial Bank’s $8.00 per ADS offer. The Board has not provided an update on its stance on this offer.   </li>
<li>Takeover interest is unsurprisingly due to VNET’s depressed share price, unchanged FY22 guidance and ongoing data centre M&amp;A activity.     </li>
</ul>



Bloomberg reported that MBK Partners is in talks to team up with a partner on a joint offer for 21Vianet Group (VNET US). Considerations are at a preliminary stage.
A potential bid would compete against The Hina Group and Industrial Bank’s $8.00 per ADS offer. The Board has not provided an update on its stance on this offer.   
Takeover interest is unsurprisingly due to VNET’s depressed share price, unchanged FY22 guidance and ongoing data centre M&amp;A activity.     


Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

<ul>
<li>Equinix (NASDAQ:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/search?q=EQIX" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EQIX</a>) is a data center REIT with <a href="https://investor.equinix.com/static-files/d98ce7f7-580b-4bc3-89fe-faa67ff62fd3" target="_blank" rel="noopener">244 properties</a> under management across 69 metros, 30 countries, and six continents.</li>
<li>The REIT hosts more than 10,000 companies in its ecosystem, with approximately 50% of them being Fortune 500 firms. 
</li>
<li>Furthermore, the company's cloud-based exposure reaches 3,000 companies that are inextricably linked to an industry with a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 15.7%, which is well above annual GDP growth.</li>
</ul>


Equinix (NASDAQ:EQIX) is a data center REIT with 244 properties under management across 69 metros, 30 countries, and six continents.
The REIT hosts more than 10,000 companies in its ecosystem, with approximately 50% of them being Fortune 500 firms. 

Furthermore, the company's cloud-based exposure reaches 3,000 companies that are inextricably linked to an industry with a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 15.7%, which is well above annual GDP growth.


Equinix: Please Don't Fall Into This Trap

United States

Equinix Inc is a global colocation company offering data center space and power to customers. The Company centers offer direct interconnections to network providers, cloud service providers, and other customers. Equinix has extensive operations in North America, Europe, Asia, Dubai, and Brazil.

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Equinix Inc (EQIX US)

2023 High Conviction: Chindata's Track Record & Rating Makes It a Takeover Target

Chindata raised its full-year guidance for the second time this year. Its track record of beating guidance, modest leverage and beaten-down rating...

Arun George

NTT (Buy) - Investor Day Highlights Global Data Center Business

NTT’s data center business is growing 20%+/year before currency tailwinds as the NTT Data integration kicks off. We have updated our model and SOTP...

Kirk Boodry

VNET’s Opportunistic US$8.20 Bid from the Founder

The offer is unattractive. Nevertheless, with the data centre M&A activity levels remaining elevated, the current mispricing of the shares will...

Arun George

VNET Draws the Interest of MBK Partners

Takeover interest is unsurprisingly due to VNET’s depressed share price, unchanged FY22 guidance and ongoing data centre M&A activity. Buy some...

Arun George

Equinix: Please Don't Fall Into This Trap

Equinix (NASDAQ:EQIX) is a data center REIT with 244 properties under management across 69 metros, 30 countries, and six continents.

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

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