Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While the earnings season continues, this will be the final dedicated earnings edition.</li>
<li>For reference, the previous earnings editions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/week-8-namaste-india-earnings-edition-part-i" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:115688" rel="noopener">[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/week-9-namaste-india-earnings-edition-part-ii" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:116224" rel="noopener">[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II</a> </li>
<li>At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings (~ 50) tracked so far and we would be happy to engage in discussions on any of them.</li>
</ul>


While the earnings season continues, this will be the final dedicated earnings edition.
For reference, the previous earnings editions are [Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I &amp; [Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II 
At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings (~ 50) tracked so far and we would be happy to engage in discussions on any of them.


[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Escorts Kubota Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,059 Cr (up 9% YoY but down 12.6%QoQ) in Q2FY24, a slight miss on our estimates by 2% on lower-than-expected growth in the RED segment.</li><li>The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 261 Cr (up 75% YoY but down 21% QoQ) and missed our estimates by 4%. EBITDA Margins (up ~476bps YoY but down 140bps QoQ) missed our estimates by 32bps, mainly on account of higher personnel expenses.</li><li>The company reported Adjusted PAT of ~Rs 223 Cr (up 47% YoY but down 23% QoQ), missing our estimates by 8%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,059 Cr (up 9% YoY but down 12.6%QoQ) in Q2FY24, a slight miss on our estimates by 2% on lower-than-expected growth in the RED segment.The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 261 Cr (up 75% YoY but down 21% QoQ) and missed our estimates by 4%. EBITDA Margins (up ~476bps YoY but down 140bps QoQ) missed our estimates by 32bps, mainly on account of higher personnel expenses.The company reported Adjusted PAT of ~Rs 223 Cr (up 47% YoY but down 23% QoQ), missing our estimates by 8%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Operational Efficiencies To Drive Bottomline; Maintain BUY

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 17%/41%/50% YoY in Q2FY24.</li><li>This will be led by YoY growth in 1) The PV segment (up ~5% YoY in domestic sales), 7% growth in CV domestic sales, 59% growth in domestic 3W sales being partly offset by a 2% marginal drop in overall 2W sales volumes (domestic + exports),</li><li>2) Higher average selling price (ASP) on a YoY basis, led by price hikes taken by OEMs and improved product mix,</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 17%/41%/50% YoY in Q2FY24.This will be led by YoY growth in 1) The PV segment (up ~5% YoY in domestic sales), 7% growth in CV domestic sales, 59% growth in domestic 3W sales being partly offset by a 2% marginal drop in overall 2W sales volumes (domestic + exports),2) Higher average selling price (ASP) on a YoY basis, led by price hikes taken by OEMs and improved product mix,Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.</li><li>Domestic 2W sales grew by 13% MoM (up 2% YoY, excluding HMSI) as OEMs filled the channel inventory ahead of the festive season.</li><li>2W exports showed early signs of strength (needs monitoring) with industry (excl HMSI) growing 4%/1% on a YoY/QoQ basis. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.Domestic 2W sales grew by 13% MoM (up 2% YoY, excluding HMSI) as OEMs filled the channel inventory ahead of the festive season.2W exports showed early signs of strength (needs monitoring) with industry (excl HMSI) growing 4%/1% on a YoY/QoQ basis. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>Positive retail flows, HNI &amp; AIF inflows, along with global market trends, suggest that the uptrend for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> may continue.</li>
<li>Bullish stocks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-brands" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35289:1" rel="noopener">Metro Brands (METROBRA IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-wellness-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4353:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN)</a>, while the sentiment for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/whirlpool-of-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7270:1" rel="noopener">Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN)</a> is Bearish.</li>
<li>Highlighted global stocks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix (EBIX US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smith-a-o-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18645:1" rel="noopener">Smith (A.O.) (AOS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> </li>
</ul>


Positive retail flows, HNI &amp; AIF inflows, along with global market trends, suggest that the uptrend for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) may continue.
Bullish stocks include Metro Brands (METROBRA IN) and Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN), while the sentiment for Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) is Bearish.
Highlighted global stocks include Ebix (EBIX US) , Smith (A.O.) (AOS US) and Apple (AAPL US) 


[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

India

Escorts Kubota Limited is among India's leading engineering conglomerates, operating in the high growth sectors of Agri Machinery, Material Handling, Construction Equipment and Railway Equipment. The Group has earned the trust of over 5 million customers by way of product and process innovations over seven decades.

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Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN)

[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Pranav Bhavsar

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Operational Efficiencies To Drive Bottomline; Maintain BUY

Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,059 Cr (up 9% YoY but down 12.6%QoQ) in Q2FY24, a slight miss on our estimates by 2% on lower...

Axis Direct

Auto Q2FY24 Results Preview

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 17%/41%/50% YoY in Q2FY24. This will be led by YoY growth in 1)...

Axis Direct

Auto Monthly Volume Sep 2023

Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.

Axis Direct

[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

The NIFTY Index could continue its uptrend. Bullish names include Metro, and Zydus Wellness, Global names to watch are Ebix, Smith (A.O.), and Apple.

Pranav Bhavsar

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[Week 10] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Final Part

​This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...

Pranav Bhavsar

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Operational Efficiencies To Drive Bottomline; Maintain BUY

Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,059 Cr (up 9% YoY but down 12.6%QoQ) in Q2FY24, a slight miss on our estimates by 2% on lower...

Axis Direct

Auto Q2FY24 Results Preview

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 17%/41%/50% YoY in Q2FY24. This will be led by YoY growth in 1)...

Axis Direct

Auto Monthly Volume Sep 2023

Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.

Axis Direct

[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

The NIFTY Index could continue its uptrend. Bullish names include Metro, and Zydus Wellness, Global names to watch are Ebix, Smith (A.O.), and Apple.

Pranav Bhavsar

This Insight is the final dedicated earnings edition, providing a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far. At the end we also provide...