IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 19 September, Boyu completed the auction share transfer to take its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a> shareholding to 55.91% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>Pursuant to Rule 26.1 of the Takeovers Code, Boyu is required to make a mandatory unconditional general offer at HK$6.67. The offer should open by 26 September.</li>
<li>The offer price is unattractive, suggesting a low chance of breaching the public float requirements (23.4% of outstanding shares). At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 0.9%/10.0%.</li>
</ul>


On 19 September, Boyu completed the auction share transfer to take its Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) shareholding to 55.91% of outstanding shares.
Pursuant to Rule 26.1 of the Takeovers Code, Boyu is required to make a mandatory unconditional general offer at HK$6.67. The offer should open by 26 September.
The offer price is unattractive, suggesting a low chance of breaching the public float requirements (23.4% of outstanding shares). At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 0.9%/10.0%.


Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu’s Unconditional Offer Set to Open

Evergrande Property Services Group / Event-Driven

Evergrande Property Services Group (6666 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “<em>pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.</em>” </li>
<li>The trading halt likely relates to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services.</li>
<li>The sale is likely to trigger an unconditional mandatory general offer. I estimate the potential offer price to be around HK$1.08 per share, a 17.8% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers which contains inside information of the Company.” 
The trading halt likely relates to Evergrande (3333 HK) liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services.
The sale is likely to trigger an unconditional mandatory general offer. I estimate the potential offer price to be around HK$1.08 per share, a 17.8% premium to the last close.


Evergrande Services (6666 HK): Liquidation of Evergrande’s Stake to Trigger an Unconditional MGO?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “<em>pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers which constitutes inside information</em>.”</li>
<li>It is likely that Boyu, the largest shareholder, is seeking to privatise Jinke. The privatisation of PRC-incorporated entities is usually done through a merger by absorption.</li>
<li>I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers which constitutes inside information.”
It is likely that Boyu, the largest shareholder, is seeking to privatise Jinke. The privatisation of PRC-incorporated entities is usually done through a merger by absorption.
I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45% premium to the last close.


Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-property-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5841:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)</a> vote on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-industrial-co-ltd-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2329:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)</a>’ HK$0.29 offer is on 28 August. However, shares trade wide ahead of the vote.</li>
<li>Several readers have enquired about the unusually high spread ahead of the vote of a seemingly clean deal. The conversations raised several concerns. </li>
<li>The concerns are unwarranted, and this remains a clean deal. At the last close and for the 30 September payment, the gross/annualised spread was 5.5%/68.9%. </li>
</ul>


The Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK) vote on Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)’ HK$0.29 offer is on 28 August. However, shares trade wide ahead of the vote.
Several readers have enquired about the unusually high spread ahead of the vote of a seemingly clean deal. The conversations raised several concerns. 
The concerns are unwarranted, and this remains a clean deal. At the last close and for the 30 September payment, the gross/annualised spread was 5.5%/68.9%. 


Huafa Property Services (982 HK): What’s Going on as Shares Trades Very Wide Ahead of the Vote?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-property-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5841:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-industrial-co-ltd-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2329:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)</a>’s HK$0.29 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 28 August. </li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. The offer price is final.</li>
<li>No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and calm retail boards suggest low vote risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 9.4%/52.5%. </li>
</ul>



Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)’s IFA opines that Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)’s HK$0.29 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 28 August. 
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. The offer price is final.
No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and calm retail boards suggest low vote risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 9.4%/52.5%. 


Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 28 August Vote

China

Ever Sunshine Services Group Limited is a China-based investment holding company that provides property management services for residential and non-residential properties. The company also offers community value-added services and value-added services to non-property owners, such as consultancy, cleaning, security, and maintenance. It is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2018.

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Ever Sunshine Services (1995 HK)

Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu’s Unconditional Offer Set to Open

Boyu’s unconditional offer is open and closes on 17 October. The IFA opines that the HK$6.67 offer is fair and reasonable. The long-term play is...

Arun George

Evergrande Services (6666 HK): Liquidation of Evergrande’s Stake to Trigger an Unconditional MGO?

The trading halt likely relates to Evergrande liquidators’ efforts to sell Evergrande Group’s majority interest in Evergrande Services, which could...

Arun George

Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45%...

Arun George

Huafa Property Services (982 HK): What’s Going on as Shares Trades Very Wide Ahead of the Vote?

Several readers have enquired about the unusually high spread ahead of the vote on a seemingly clean deal. The conversations raised several...

Arun George

Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 28 August Vote

No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and calm retail boards suggest low vote risk. At the last close, the...

Arun George

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