IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a> is in a trading halt “<em>pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers which constitutes inside information</em>.”</li>
<li>It is likely that Boyu, the largest shareholder, is seeking to privatise Jinke. The privatisation of PRC-incorporated entities is usually done through a merger by absorption.</li>
<li>I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>



Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) is in a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers which constitutes inside information.”
It is likely that Boyu, the largest shareholder, is seeking to privatise Jinke. The privatisation of PRC-incorporated entities is usually done through a merger by absorption.
I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45% premium to the last close.


Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-property-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5841:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)</a> vote on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-industrial-co-ltd-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2329:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)</a>’ HK$0.29 offer is on 28 August. However, shares trade wide ahead of the vote.</li>
<li>Several readers have enquired about the unusually high spread ahead of the vote of a seemingly clean deal. The conversations raised several concerns. </li>
<li>The concerns are unwarranted, and this remains a clean deal. At the last close and for the 30 September payment, the gross/annualised spread was 5.5%/68.9%. </li>
</ul>


The Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK) vote on Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)’ HK$0.29 offer is on 28 August. However, shares trade wide ahead of the vote.
Several readers have enquired about the unusually high spread ahead of the vote of a seemingly clean deal. The conversations raised several concerns. 
The concerns are unwarranted, and this remains a clean deal. At the last close and for the 30 September payment, the gross/annualised spread was 5.5%/68.9%. 


Huafa Property Services (982 HK): What’s Going on as Shares Trades Very Wide Ahead of the Vote?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-property-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5841:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-industrial-co-ltd-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2329:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)</a>’s HK$0.29 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 28 August. </li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. The offer price is final.</li>
<li>No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and calm retail boards suggest low vote risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 9.4%/52.5%. </li>
</ul>



Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)’s IFA opines that Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)’s HK$0.29 privatisation offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 28 August. 
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. The offer price is final.
No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and calm retail boards suggest low vote risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 9.4%/52.5%. 


Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 28 August Vote

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-property-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5841:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK)</a> announced a privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huafa-industrial-co-ltd-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2329:1" rel="noopener">Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH)</a> at HK$0.29 per share, a 30.6% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. No shareholder holds a blocking stake.</li>
<li>The offer, which has been declared final, is attractive compared to historical share prices and peer multiples. This is a done deal, with payment likely in November.  </li>
</ul>



Huafa Property Services Group (982 HK) announced a privatisation offer from Huafa Industrial Co., Ltd. Zhuhai (600325 CH) at HK$0.29 per share, a 30.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (&lt;10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. No shareholder holds a blocking stake.
The offer, which has been declared final, is attractive compared to historical share prices and peer multiples. This is a done deal, with payment likely in November.  


Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Scheme Offer at HK$0.29

Analyst

Steve

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>According to public news, China is considering asking local governments to purchase significant amount of unsold homes in the country. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-paint-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7387:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP)</a> is a good proxy for exposure to China property with downside protection.</li>
<li>China made up 40% of Nippon Paint's operating profit (1Q24 numbers).  Nippon Paint is the absolute leader in decorative paint in China, with 25% market share in 2023 (TUC).</li>
</ul>


According to public news, China is considering asking local governments to purchase significant amount of unsold homes in the country. 

Nippon Paint Holdings (4612 JP) is a good proxy for exposure to China property with downside protection.
China made up 40% of Nippon Paint's operating profit (1Q24 numbers).  Nippon Paint is the absolute leader in decorative paint in China, with 25% market share in 2023 (TUC).


Nippon Paint (4612 JP):  Strong 1Q24; Overlooked Proxy For China Property

China

Ever Sunshine Services Group Limited is a China-based investment holding company that provides property management services for residential and non-residential properties. The company also offers community value-added services and value-added services to non-property owners, such as consultancy, cleaning, security, and maintenance. It is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2018.

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Ever Sunshine Services (1995 HK)

Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK): Boyu to Launch a Privatisation Offer?

I use several methods to triangulate the likely offer price, which suggests a price range of HK$10.00-16.86, with an average of HK$12.47, a 45%...

Arun George

Huafa Property Services (982 HK): What’s Going on as Shares Trades Very Wide Ahead of the Vote?

Several readers have enquired about the unusually high spread ahead of the vote on a seemingly clean deal. The conversations raised several...

Arun George

Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 28 August Vote

No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and calm retail boards suggest low vote risk. At the last close, the...

Arun George

Huafa Property Services (982 HK): Scheme Offer at HK$0.29

The offer, which has been declared final, is attractive compared to historical share prices and peer multiples. This is a done deal, with payment...

Arun George

Nippon Paint (4612 JP): Strong 1Q24; Overlooked Proxy For China Property

China made up 40% of Nippon Paint's operating profit (1Q24 numbers). Nippon Paint is the absolute leader in decorative paint in China, with 25%...

Steve

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