Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>China's State Administration for Market Supervision has unconditionally approved <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s privatisation. </li>
<li>Provided all other regulatory approvals are obtained, the key condition to the Scheme completing is the shareholder vote. </li>
<li>Trading wide to terms on concerns retail investors could disrupt the headcount test.</li>
</ul>


China's State Administration for Market Supervision has unconditionally approved Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s privatisation. 
Provided all other regulatory approvals are obtained, the key condition to the Scheme completing is the shareholder vote. 
Trading wide to terms on concerns retail investors could disrupt the headcount test.


Razer Inc (1337 HK): SAMR Done. Now For The Vote

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>As a forensic accountant doing equity research, I strive to publish differentiated insights that augment rather than replace the traditional research feed of institutional investors</li>
<li>Fraud risks, aggressive revenue recognition, balance sheet health, quality of earnings and accounting policy changes underpinned a significant majority of my research</li>
<li>In this Insight, I will do a breakdown of my performance in the past half a year including a recap, key statistics and top insight highlights</li>
</ul>


As a forensic accountant doing equity research, I strive to publish differentiated insights that augment rather than replace the traditional research feed of institutional investors
Fraud risks, aggressive revenue recognition, balance sheet health, quality of earnings and accounting policy changes underpinned a significant majority of my research
In this Insight, I will do a breakdown of my performance in the past half a year including a recap, key statistics and top insight highlights


2021 Year in Review - Forensic Accounting in Equity Research

Chief Economist

Diana Choyleva

Enodo Economics

Enodo Economics is an independent macroeconomic forecasting company that untangles complexity, challenges the consensus, and makes sense of the future. Our focus is on China – one of the most misunderstood economies in the world, but one of the most important to figure out.  Enodo’s chief economist, Diana Choyleva, has been analysing China for almost 20 years, while Enodo’s team boasts a combined 140 years’ experience covering China’s economy, politics and markets. 

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Cyberspace Administration of China set new rules requiring platform companies with data on more than one million users to undergo a security review before listing their shares overseas.</li>
<li>Evergrande, the world’s most indebted developer was last week ordered to demolish 39 buildings of its flagship property project on Ocean Islands, for breaching building approval procedures.</li>
<li>After a spike in Covid cases, China’s tough lockdown of the city of Xi’an has confined 13 million people to their homes and shuttered businesses.</li>
</ul>


The Cyberspace Administration of China set new rules requiring platform companies with data on more than one million users to undergo a security review before listing their shares overseas.
Evergrande, the world’s most indebted developer was last week ordered to demolish 39 buildings of its flagship property project on Ocean Islands, for breaching building approval procedures.
After a spike in Covid cases, China’s tough lockdown of the city of Xi’an has confined 13 million people to their homes and shuttered businesses.


Cybersecurity/ Evergrande/ Covid/ Environment/ Hong Kong

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/yuzhou-group-holdings-company-limited' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Yuzhou Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/agile-property-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Agile Property Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/central-china-real-estate-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Central China Real Estate</a></li><li><a href='/entities/logan-property-holdings-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Logan Property Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/times-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Times China</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Yuzhou GroupAgile Property HoldingsCentral China Real EstateLogan Property HoldingsTimes Chinaand more...

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Bad To Worse:Under mainland China’s real estate development law, the government has the right to repossess idle land sold to any developer without compensation;</li>
<li>
Demolition Man: Danzhou City is now in on the act, forcing China Evergrande Group (3333.HK) [Evergrande] to demolish 39 buildings for various violations; and</li>
<li>
Banks To Eat This As Well: Without any compensation to Evergrande, mainland Chinese banks no doubt will finally be writing down their exposure on Evergrande's now non-existent buildings.</li>
</ul>



Bad To Worse:Under mainland China’s real estate development law, the government has the right to repossess idle land sold to any developer without compensation;

Demolition Man: Danzhou City is now in on the act, forcing China Evergrande Group (3333.HK) [Evergrande] to demolish 39 buildings for various violations; and

Banks To Eat This As Well: Without any compensation to Evergrande, mainland Chinese banks no doubt will finally be writing down their exposure on Evergrande's now non-existent buildings.


China

China Evergrande Group is an integrated residential property developer. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development, investment, management, finance, internet, health, culture, and tourism markets.

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Evergrande (3333 HK)

Razer Inc (1337 HK): SAMR Done. Now For The Vote

I think this has been oversold. Your downside to the undisturbed price is 17% versus 29% upside. I'd buy here, and buy up to ~$2.60/share or 8.5%...

David Blennerhassett

2021 Year in Review - Forensic Accounting in Equity Research

As a forensic accountant doing equity research, I strive to publish differentiated insights that augment investment research. I look back at 2021's...

Jason Yap, CFA

Cybersecurity/ Evergrande/ Covid/ Environment/ Hong Kong

In my weekly digest, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and...

Diana Choyleva

Weekly Wrap - 07 Jan 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

China Evergrande Group – Razing Cain

EVERGRANDE: Danzhou City is forcing Evergrande to demolish 39 buildings for various violations. Mainland Chinese banks no doubt will write down...

Thomas J. Monaco

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