Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

As a response to my note yesterday on where we are in energy's long bottoming out process, we had a good long reply from a long time energy transport industry executive, who kindly shared his feedback and insight. Further detailed below.&nbsp;

As a response to my note yesterday on where we are in energy's long bottoming out process, we had a good long reply from a long time energy transport industry executive, who kindly shared his feedback and insight. Further detailed below.&nbsp;

Further Insight on History of Big Misses in Oil and Energy (Long Response)

The Horrible Very Bad Day for MLPs and Energy... The Story ContinuesThe rebound/sell-off pattern is exactly as expected so far. The amplitudes appear a little greater than anticipated, but on the whole they are not surprising given the years of commodities rallies we experienced on the back of China and easy central bank money. Back on 29 Sept in my note &ldquo;Commodities: The Harder They Come, The Harder They Fall...&rdquo; the main message was be ready to trade the carnage, within an overall classic pattern. This followed an earlier note on the Horrible things that awaited MLPs I wrote back around 6 August.We got these trades, and flagged the trimming of positions that was needed in some of the names we picked. In August it made sense to expect that MLPs were looking bad and we should wait for blood on the streets. And we saw panic selling again in September before rebounds... and in the last week-- sheer panic selling. What follows is a quick review of issues/drivers, especially lessons we have seen in past, and what we can expect going forward.

The Horrible Very Bad Day for MLPs and Energy... The Story ContinuesThe rebound/sell-off pattern is exactly as expected so far. The amplitudes appear a little greater than anticipated, but on the whole they are not surprising given the years of commodities rallies we experienced on the back of China and easy central bank money. Back on 29 Sept in my note &ldquo;Commodities: The Harder They Come, The Harder They Fall...&rdquo; the main message was be ready to trade the carnage, within an overall classic pattern. This followed an earlier note on the Horrible things that awaited MLPs I wrote back around 6 August.We got these trades, and flagged the trimming of positions that was needed in some of the names we picked. In August it made sense to expect that MLPs were looking bad and we should wait for blood on the streets. And we saw panic selling again in September before rebounds... and in the last week-- sheer panic selling. What follows is a quick review of issues/drivers, especially lessons we have seen in past, and what we can expect going forward.

Understanding the Trading Pattern in Energy Related (And the Poor Industry Forecasting Skills)

Our theme has been to expect some mergers in container equipment and transport equipment owners. NOL and Chinese carriers are also exploring options, as discussed in last few months. But today we have a live deal between Triton and TAL Int'l Group which will create the largest container lessor through a "merger of equals". Let's review a few more points and issues.

Our theme has been to expect some mergers in container equipment and transport equipment owners. NOL and Chinese carriers are also exploring options, as discussed in last few months. But today we have a live deal between Triton and TAL Int'l Group which will create the largest container lessor through a "merger of equals". Let's review a few more points and issues.

Container Equipment Mergers Here: TAL Int'l to Merge with Triton

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

Airbus and Boeing, the powerhouses of the aircraft manufacturing industry and the largest duopoly in the world, shared revenues of $407.5 billion in 2014. As the fight for market share trudges along, it is a battle of nerves and steel (or carbon fiber in this matter). The airlines industry today is dynamic and competitive, investing in cost-saving measures rapidly. How are these two manufacturing giants coping up? Let us take a look.

Airbus and Boeing, the powerhouses of the aircraft manufacturing industry and the largest duopoly in the world, shared revenues of $407.5 billion in 2014. As the fight for market share trudges along, it is a battle of nerves and steel (or carbon fiber in this matter). The airlines industry today is dynamic and competitive, investing in cost-saving measures rapidly. How are these two manufacturing giants coping up? Let us take a look.

Flying through turbulent or clear skies: An analysis on Airbus & Boeing

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Expeditors International of Washington delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues falling short of Wall Street expectations but above-par earnings.</li><li>In addition to their impressive brokerage operations, Expeditors has successfully leveraged technology and digital solutions to streamline their processes and enhance customer experience.</li><li>We give Expeditors International of Washington a 'Underperform' rating with a revised target price.</li></ul>

Expeditors International of Washington delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues falling short of Wall Street expectations but above-par earnings.In addition to their impressive brokerage operations, Expeditors has successfully leveraged technology and digital solutions to streamline their processes and enhance customer experience.We give Expeditors International of Washington a 'Underperform' rating with a revised target price.

Expeditors International of Washington: 5 Critical Factors Driving Our Rating On The Stock! – Financial Forecasts

United States

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is a global logistics company. The Company provides air and ocean freight forwarding, vendor consolidation, customs clearance, marine insurance, distribution, and other international logistics services.

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Expeditors Intl Wash (EXPD US)

Further Insight on History of Big Misses in Oil and Energy (Long Response)

As a response to my note yesterday on where we are in energy's long bottoming out process, we had a good long reply from a long time energy...

Charles De Trenck

Container Equipment Mergers Here: TAL Int'l to Merge with Triton

Our theme has been to expect some mergers in container equipment and transport equipment owners. NOL and Chinese carriers are also exploring...

Charles De Trenck

Flying through turbulent or clear skies: An analysis on Airbus & Boeing

Airbus and Boeing, the powerhouses of the aircraft manufacturing industry and the largest duopoly in the world, shared revenues of $407.5 billion...

Ishita Jain

Expeditors International of Washington: 5 Critical Factors Driving Our Rating On The Stock! – Financial Forecasts

Expeditors International of Washington delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues falling short of Wall Street...

Baptista Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Further Insight on History of Big Misses in Oil and Energy (Long Response)

As a response to my note yesterday on where we are in energy's long bottoming out process, we had a good long reply from a long time energy...

Charles De Trenck

Understanding the Trading Pattern in Energy Related (And the Poor Industry Forecasting Skills)

The Horrible Very Bad Day for MLPs and Energy... The Story ContinuesThe rebound/sell-off pattern is exactly as expected so far. The amplitudes...

Charles De Trenck

Container Equipment Mergers Here: TAL Int'l to Merge with Triton

Our theme has been to expect some mergers in container equipment and transport equipment owners. NOL and Chinese carriers are also exploring...

Charles De Trenck

Flying through turbulent or clear skies: An analysis on Airbus & Boeing

Airbus and Boeing, the powerhouses of the aircraft manufacturing industry and the largest duopoly in the world, shared revenues of $407.5 billion...

Ishita Jain

Expeditors International of Washington: 5 Critical Factors Driving Our Rating On The Stock! – Financial Forecasts

Expeditors International of Washington delivered a mixed set of results in its most recent result, with revenues falling short of Wall Street...

Baptista Research