Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> in June but there are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade is US$17.4bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/communication-services-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27534:1" rel="noopener">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energy-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27537:1" rel="noopener">Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE US)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33361:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visa-inc-class-a-shares" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8707:1" rel="noopener">Visa</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/live-nation-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6893:1" rel="noopener">Live Nation Entertainment</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener">Broadcom</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tko-group-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40463:1" rel="noopener">TKO Group Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dell-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32189:1" rel="noopener">Dell Technologies</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/omnicom-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15775:1" rel="noopener">Omnicom Group</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) in June but there are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index.
The round-trip trade is US$17.4bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US) and Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE US). 
The largest flows are expected in Exxon Mobil, Alphabet, Chevron Corp, Visa, Blackstone, Live Nation Entertainment, Meta, Broadcom, TKO Group Holdings, Dell Technologies and Omnicom Group.


Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 30/May, U.S. crude inventories fell by 4.3m barrels (vs. expectations of a 2.9m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.</li>
<li>The EIA reported a 122 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 111 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 4.7% above the five-year average but 10% below year-ago levels.</li>
<li>JPMorgan sees Reliance earnings rebounding on better margins; Saudi Aramco cuts Asia crude prices after OPEC+ supply hike.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 30/May, U.S. crude inventories fell by 4.3m barrels (vs. expectations of a 2.9m barrel decline). Meanwhile, gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose more than expected.
The EIA reported a 122 Bcf storage build, while analysts forecasted a 111 Bcf increase. Storage levels are 4.7% above the five-year average but 10% below year-ago levels.
JPMorgan sees Reliance earnings rebounding on better margins; Saudi Aramco cuts Asia crude prices after OPEC+ supply hike.


[ETP 2025/23] WTI Rises on Supply Disruptions, Henry Hub Gains on Summer Demand Outlook

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

<ul><li>Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially in Europe and Asia.</li><li>Firm price differentials point to strong supply-demand fundamentals, incentivize refiners to supply more volumes for those markets.</li><li>Demand would need to hold firm to absorb any such pick-up in supplies.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially in Europe and Asia.Firm price differentials point to strong supply-demand fundamentals, incentivize refiners to supply more volumes for those markets.Demand would need to hold firm to absorb any such pick-up in supplies.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 2 June

<ul><li>US domestic Group I SN 500 price rises to premium to Group II N600 price in May 2025 for first time in more than four years.</li><li>In Middle East, CFR UAE Group I SN 500 price discount to Group II N500 shrinks to narrowest in more than seven months.</li><li>In Asia, FOB Asia Group I SN 500 price strengthens vs Group II N500 in May 2025 to firmest level in six months.</li></ul>

US domestic Group I SN 500 price rises to premium to Group II N600 price in May 2025 for first time in more than four years.In Middle East, CFR UAE Group I SN 500 price discount to Group II N500 shrinks to narrowest in more than seven months.In Asia, FOB Asia Group I SN 500 price strengthens vs Group II N500 in May 2025 to firmest level in six months.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 2 June

<ul><li>US Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs VGO since mid-April 2025.</li><li>Steady price differentials contrast with surge in margins in Q2 2024.</li><li>Steadier margins so far in Q2 2025 coincide with time of year when supply-demand fundamentals are likely to be tighter than usual.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs VGO since mid-April 2025.Steady price differentials contrast with surge in margins in Q2 2024.Steadier margins so far in Q2 2025 coincide with time of year when supply-demand fundamentals are likely to be tighter than usual.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June

United States

Exxon Mobil Corporation operates petroleum and petrochemicals businesses on a worldwide basis.  The Company's operations include exploration and production of oil and gas, electric power generation, and coal and minerals operations. Exxon Mobil also manufactures and markets fuels, lubricants, and chemicals.

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Exxon Mobil (XOM US)

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

Capping changes for the Select Sector indices and Equal Weight Index will result in a round-trip trade of US$17.4bn. There are some stocks with...

Brian Freitas

[ETP 2025/23] WTI Rises on Supply Disruptions, Henry Hub Gains on Summer Demand Outlook

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. EIA reports storage build slightly above forecast....

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 2 June

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially in Europe and Asia. Firm price differentials point to...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 2 June

US domestic Group I SN 500 price rises to premium to Group II N600 price in May 2025 for first time in more than four years. In Middle East, CFR...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June

US Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs VGO since mid-April 2025. Steady price differentials contrast with surge in margins in Q2...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance Preview: US$17bn Round-Trip Trade

Capping changes for the Select Sector indices and Equal Weight Index will result in a round-trip trade of US$17.4bn. There are some stocks with...

Brian Freitas

[ETP 2025/23] WTI Rises on Supply Disruptions, Henry Hub Gains on Summer Demand Outlook

​US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. EIA reports storage build slightly above forecast....

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 2 June

Global base oils prices mostly hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, especially in Europe and Asia. Firm price differentials point to...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 2 June

US domestic Group I SN 500 price rises to premium to Group II N600 price in May 2025 for first time in more than four years. In Middle East, CFR...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 2 June

US Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs VGO since mid-April 2025. Steady price differentials contrast with surge in margins in Q2...

Base Oil News

US crude inventories fell more than expected, while gasoline and distillate stockpiles rose. EIA reports storage build slightly above forecast....