Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023.
Of the 33 pair trades, 2/3 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past year and 1/3 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 33 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.</li>
<li>The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.
The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>F&amp;F Holdings is a single-subsidiary PURE STUB PLAY with no operating assets. It currently trades at a 54.30% discount to its NAV, and its 20-day MA sigma sits below -2.0.</li>
<li>The pair is currently in a substantial diversion. The passive inflow caused by F&amp;F's KOSPI 200 inclusion appears to have caused a flow imbalance.</li>
<li>F&amp;F is becoming a primary target for KOSPI 200's post-rebalancing shorting events. Then, we can consider using F&amp;F Holdings as a long hedge, in addition to outright shorting for F&amp;F.</li>
</ul>


F&amp;F Holdings is a single-subsidiary PURE STUB PLAY with no operating assets. It currently trades at a 54.30% discount to its NAV, and its 20-day MA sigma sits below -2.0.
The pair is currently in a substantial diversion. The passive inflow caused by F&amp;F's KOSPI 200 inclusion appears to have caused a flow imbalance.
F&amp;F is becoming a primary target for KOSPI 200's post-rebalancing shorting events. Then, we can consider using F&amp;F Holdings as a long hedge, in addition to outright shorting for F&amp;F.


Korea Stub Trades: F&F Holdings Pair in a Substantial Diversion with F&F's KOSPI 200 Inclusion

<ul>
<li>We should pay attention to the following three stocks: F&amp;F, Iljin Hysolus, and K Car. They all have recently seen a drastic increase in the loan balance.</li>
<li>Their passive flow sizes relative to ADTVs are the lowest among the additions. It seems that those with relatively little passive impact are targeted.</li>
<li>Also, their projected earnings are highly volatile, and they all face overvaluation issues, whereas the other four names have more clear projections for earnings.</li>
</ul>


We should pay attention to the following three stocks: F&amp;F, Iljin Hysolus, and K Car. They all have recently seen a drastic increase in the loan balance.
Their passive flow sizes relative to ADTVs are the lowest among the additions. It seems that those with relatively little passive impact are targeted.
Also, their projected earnings are highly volatile, and they all face overvaluation issues, whereas the other four names have more clear projections for earnings.


Post KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Shorting Event: Watch Iljin Hysolus, F&F, & K Car

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced the additions and deletions to KOSPI200 today.</li>
<li>There were no major surprises with regards to the additions and deletions.</li>
<li>SK Discovery is a potential buy candidate and Hana Tour Service is a potential sell candidate post the announcement of KOSPI200 additions and deletions.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced the additions and deletions to KOSPI200 today.
There were no major surprises with regards to the additions and deletions.
SK Discovery is a potential buy candidate and Hana Tour Service is a potential sell candidate post the announcement of KOSPI200 additions and deletions.


Additions & Deletions to KOSPI 200 and Trading Strategies Post Announcement

South Korea

F&F Co.,Ltd operates clothing production businesses. The Company produces coats, shirts, jackets, and other apparels. F&F conducts businesses in South Korea.

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F&F / New (383220 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities in 1Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 1Q 2023. We highlight 33 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

There are significant flows and impact on some stocks that have float changes at the upcoming KOSPI2 rebalance. With over 5 days ADV to buy,...

Brian Freitas

Korea Stub Trades: F&F Holdings Pair in a Substantial Diversion with F&F's KOSPI 200 Inclusion

This post investigates potential stub trade opportunities involving the F&F Holdings pair, generally considered a pure stub play in Korea.

Sanghyun Park

Post KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Shorting Event: Watch Iljin Hysolus, F&F, & K Car

This post investigates the latest loaned share balance trend of the KOSPI 200 new members to figure out which are being targeted for post...

Sanghyun Park

Additions & Deletions to KOSPI 200 and Trading Strategies Post Announcement

SK Discovery is a potential buy candidate and Hana Tour Service is a potential sell candidate post the announcement of KOSPI200 additions and...

Douglas Kim

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