Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>The February PPI report is anticipated to show a MoM rise of +0.3% and a YoY increase of +1.1% (compared to January's +0.3% MoM and +0.9% YoY).</li><li>The consensus expects better growth of +0.8% MoM and +1% YoY (vs. January at 0.8% MoM and +0.6% YoY).</li><li>We recommend stocks with positive news stories: TACC, ICHI, and BCP.</li></ul>

The February PPI report is anticipated to show a MoM rise of +0.3% and a YoY increase of +1.1% (compared to January's +0.3% MoM and +0.9% YoY).The consensus expects better growth of +0.8% MoM and +1% YoY (vs. January at 0.8% MoM and +0.6% YoY).We recommend stocks with positive news stories: TACC, ICHI, and BCP.

Keep a Close Watch on US PPI and Retail Sales

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>If we consider 2023 as a banner year for AI technology, 2024 is set to be another solid year for both infrastructure investments and downstream demand continue to thrive.</li><li>We reaffirm our positive stance on optical transceiver players, specifically in light of their ongoing capacity expansion and production ramp-up of the high data rate optical modules, e.g., 400G/800G products.</li><li>Among those players we favor Innolight (300308 CH, BUY) and TFC (300394 CH, NR), both of which have leveraged the AI wave effectively through 2023 and stayed on strong trajectory into 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

If we consider 2023 as a banner year for AI technology, 2024 is set to be another solid year for both infrastructure investments and downstream demand continue to thrive.We reaffirm our positive stance on optical transceiver players, specifically in light of their ongoing capacity expansion and production ramp-up of the high data rate optical modules, e.g., 400G/800G products.Among those players we favor Innolight (300308 CH, BUY) and TFC (300394 CH, NR), both of which have leveraged the AI wave effectively through 2023 and stayed on strong trajectory into 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi – Market Outlook on Optical Transceivers

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to increase, with the resistance at 1,380/1,385 points (5/10-day EMA) and the support at 1,366 points (this year's low)/1,355 points.</li><li>The market mostly expects the Fed to maintain the policy interest rate at 5.5%.</li><li>We expect the Fed to raise its 2023E GDP growth projection from +2.1% YoY previously to +2.6% YoY due to the stronger-than-expected US economy, with 9M23 GDP growth of +3.0% YoY (1Q23 at +2.0% QoQ, 2Q23 at +2.1% QoQ and 3Q23 at +5.2% QoQ).</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to increase, with the resistance at 1,380/1,385 points (5/10-day EMA) and the support at 1,366 points (this year's low)/1,355 points.The market mostly expects the Fed to maintain the policy interest rate at 5.5%.We expect the Fed to raise its 2023E GDP growth projection from +2.1% YoY previously to +2.6% YoY due to the stronger-than-expected US economy, with 9M23 GDP growth of +3.0% YoY (1Q23 at +2.0% QoQ, 2Q23 at +2.1% QoQ and 3Q23 at +5.2% QoQ).

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. December 13, 2023

<ul><li>Nvidia released FY3Q24 results with quarterly revenue at US$18.1bn, up 34% QoQ and 206% YoY. GPM was 74.0%, up 3.9ppts QoQ.</li><li>Net profit was US$9.2bn, up 50% QoQ and 1,274% YoY.</li><li>According to the company’s guidance, 4Q24 revenue is expected to reach US$20bn (+/-2%), implying 10% QoQ and 231% YoY growth; GAAP GPM is expected to increase to 74.5% (+/- 50bps). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nvidia released FY3Q24 results with quarterly revenue at US$18.1bn, up 34% QoQ and 206% YoY. GPM was 74.0%, up 3.9ppts QoQ.Net profit was US$9.2bn, up 50% QoQ and 1,274% YoY.According to the company’s guidance, 4Q24 revenue is expected to reach US$20bn (+/-2%), implying 10% QoQ and 231% YoY growth; GAAP GPM is expected to increase to 74.5% (+/- 50bps). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Microsoft unveiled two major custom-designed chips for cloud computing at its Ignite developer conference on 15 Nov 2023, Maia 100 AI accelerator and Cobalt 100 CPU.</li><li>Maia 100 was specifically designed with consideration of Azure hardware. It will be mainly used for AI tasks and generative AI for maximized utilization of hardware.</li><li>It will power some of Microsoft’s largest internal AI workloads running on Azure. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Microsoft unveiled two major custom-designed chips for cloud computing at its Ignite developer conference on 15 Nov 2023, Maia 100 AI accelerator and Cobalt 100 CPU.Maia 100 was specifically designed with consideration of Azure hardware. It will be mainly used for AI tasks and generative AI for maximized utilization of hardware.It will power some of Microsoft’s largest internal AI workloads running on Azure. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cayman Islands

Fabrinet is a specialized Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) company that provides advanced optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The company focuses on complex, quality-critical production, including optical communication components, industrial lasers, automotive components, medical devices, and sensors. Fabrinet was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Pathumthani, Thailand.

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Fabrinet (FN US)

Keep a Close Watch on US PPI and Retail Sales

The February PPI report is anticipated to show a MoM rise of +0.3% and a YoY increase of +1.1% (compared to January's +0.3% MoM and +0.9%...

Krungthai XSpring

Semi – Market Outlook on Optical Transceivers

If we consider 2023 as a banner year for AI technology, 2024 is set to be another solid year for both infrastructure investments and downstream...

CMB International

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. December 13, 2023

Technically, the SET Index is expected to increase, with the resistance at 1,380/1,385 points (5/10-day EMA) and the support at 1,366 points (this...

Krungthai XSpring

Technology (Hardware/Semi) - 23 Nov 2023

Nvidia released FY3Q24 results with quarterly revenue at US$18.1bn, up 34% QoQ and 206% YoY. GPM was 74.0%, up 3.9ppts QoQ. Net profit was...

CMB International

Technology (Hardware/Semi)

Microsoft unveiled two major custom-designed chips for cloud computing at its Ignite developer conference on 15 Nov 2023, Maia 100 AI accelerator...

CMB International

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