Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Cities that stand out on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-house-prices-keep-rising-13-8-y-y-in-august-vs-12-4-in-july-soufun-100-cities-index" target="_blank">strong house price growth</a> (for new home sales) across China typically vary from those that record strongest GFA (gross floor area) sales volumes growth. In the other notes we have addressed the price growth dynamics and here we look at the pure GFA volume growth combining 12-month and 3-month period volume growth, drawing on the underlying data from SouFun-CREIS and the latest complete July data.Among major cities, Qingdao, Jinan, Zhengzhou, Hohhot, Taiyuan, Harbin and…

Cities that stand out on strong house price growth (for new home sales) across China typically vary from those that record strongest GFA (gross floor area) sales volumes growth. In the other notes we have addressed the price growth dynamics and here we look at the pure GFA volume growth combining 12-month and 3-month period volume growth, drawing on the underlying data from SouFun-CREIS and the latest complete July data.Among major cities, Qingdao, Jinan, Zhengzhou, Hohhot, Taiyuan, Harbin and…

China Property: Where The Strong Volumes Are

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Having first introduced the three red line guidance in late 2020, the government has begun shifting its stance, and relaxing some of its regulatory oversight.</li>
<li>In this note, we looked at recent news developments and how some larger developers fared against the three red lines criterion.</li>
<li>Of the large developers we looked at, there are a few names which stand out which could potentially do a capital raising given their financial standing. </li>
</ul>


Having first introduced the three red line guidance in late 2020, the government has begun shifting its stance, and relaxing some of its regulatory oversight.
In this note, we looked at recent news developments and how some larger developers fared against the three red lines criterion.
Of the large developers we looked at, there are a few names which stand out which could potentially do a capital raising given their financial standing. 


Chinese Developers’ Overview - Shift in Sentiment but a Few Still Needs Some Equity

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Nameson Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunny Optical Technology Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/genting-bhd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Genting Bhd</a></li><li><a href='/entities/shui-on-land-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Shui On Land</a></li><li><a href='/entities/health-and-happiness-h-h-int' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Health And Happiness (H&H)</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Nameson HoldingsSunny Optical Technology GroupGenting BhdShui On LandHealth And Happiness (H&H)and more...

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Fantasia finally announced the long-awaited debt restructuring plan.</li><li>In brief, USD1.3bn, about 1/3, of the outstanding USD bonds will be converted into equity of Fantasia, and the remaining USD2.7bn will be exchanged into 8 tranches of new bonds with maturities ranging from 2-6.5 years.</li><li>The coupon rates range from 5-8% for cash coupon and 7-10% for coupon with PIK. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fantasia finally announced the long-awaited debt restructuring plan.In brief, USD1.3bn, about 1/3, of the outstanding USD bonds will be converted into equity of Fantasia, and the remaining USD2.7bn will be exchanged into 8 tranches of new bonds with maturities ranging from 2-6.5 years.The coupon rates range from 5-8% for cash coupon and 7-10% for coupon with PIK. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fantasia - Facts and Thoughts on Debt Restructuring

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-28320'>Azure Power Global Ltd</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-1909'>China Hongqiao</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-9757'>Fantasia Holdings Group Co</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-433'>Fosun International</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Azure Power Global LtdChina HongqiaoFantasia Holdings Group CoFosun International

Morning Views Asia: Azure Power Global Ltd, China Hongqiao, Fantasia Holdings Group Co

China

Fantasia Holdings Group Co. Ltd. is a Chinese property developer engaged in property development, investment, and operation services, including residential and commercial projects, property management, and hotel operations. The company also provides property agency, tourism, entertainment, and interior design services. It was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, People's Republic of China.

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Fantasia (1777 HK)

China Property: Where The Strong Volumes Are

Cities that stand out on strong house price growth (for new home sales) across China typically vary from those that record strongest GFA (gross...

Robert Ciemniak

Chinese Developers’ Overview - Shift in Sentiment but a Few Still Needs Some Equity

Country Garden Holdings just launched a primary placement to raise US$300m, at a fixed 17.7% discount to last close. Proceeds will be used to repay...

Clarence Chu

Weekly Wrap - 21 Jul 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Fantasia - Facts and Thoughts on Debt Restructuring

In brief, USD1.3bn, about 1/3, of the outstanding USD bonds will be converted into equity of Fantasia, and the remaining USD2.7bn will be exchanged...

CMB International

Morning Views Asia: Azure Power Global Ltd, China Hongqiao, Fantasia Holdings Group Co

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

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