IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>’s pre-conditional tender offer from MBK Partners is at JPY11,751 per share. The gross spread has increased to 9.9% due to several concerns.</li>
<li>The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the precondition, the fallout from the Homeplus saga and breaching the long stop date (16 January 2026).</li>
<li>While these concerns have merit, there are mitigating factors. The risk/reward is favourable as the upside (9.9% spread) exceeds the downside (6.3% to my estimated deal break price). </li>
</ul>



Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)’s pre-conditional tender offer from MBK Partners is at JPY11,751 per share. The gross spread has increased to 9.9% due to several concerns.
The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the precondition, the fallout from the Homeplus saga and breaching the long stop date (16 January 2026).
While these concerns have merit, there are mitigating factors. The risk/reward is favourable as the upside (9.9% spread) exceeds the downside (6.3% to my estimated deal break price). 


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Stocks advanced on Wednesday as a sharp 32,000 drop in ADP private payrolls reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week</li>
<li>JFE Holdings (5411 JP) will invest ¥270bn for a 50% stake in Bhushan Power &amp; Steel, targeting expansion to 10mtpa by 2030 through tech transfer and ore access.</li>
<li>Fanuc (6954 JP) is shifting toward open, AI-enabled automation through ROS 2 integration and expanded Nvidia partnerships, enhancing interoperability and positioning the company to capture long-term smart-factory growth.</li>
</ul>


Stocks advanced on Wednesday as a sharp 32,000 drop in ADP private payrolls reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week
JFE Holdings (5411 JP) will invest ¥270bn for a 50% stake in Bhushan Power &amp; Steel, targeting expansion to 10mtpa by 2030 through tech transfer and ore access.
Fanuc (6954 JP) is shifting toward open, AI-enabled automation through ROS 2 integration and expanded Nvidia partnerships, enhancing interoperability and positioning the company to capture long-term smart-factory growth.


Ohayo Japan | Payroll Drop Drives Fed-Cut Bets as Financials Rally and AI Stocks Lag

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Strong numbers for Credo after-hours sets a better tone for connectivity related plays.</li>
<li>FA plays may be back in focus on news Yaskawa and Softbank as well as Fanuc and NVDA announce AI focused tie-ups.</li>
<li>Expect a weakish start in Japan but tech weakness yesterday may soften blow.</li>
</ul>


Strong numbers for Credo after-hours sets a better tone for connectivity related plays.
FA plays may be back in focus on news Yaskawa and Softbank as well as Fanuc and NVDA announce AI focused tie-ups.
Expect a weakish start in Japan but tech weakness yesterday may soften blow.


Japan Morning Connection: Crypto Selloff Spooks Risk Assets Although Most Recover in the PM

<ul>
<li>MS downgrades PC makers on risk high memory prices eat into margins.</li>
<li>China angst against Takaichi TW comments will cause JP rails, hotels etc. to fall further.</li>
<li>Advantest CEO meeting yesterday unlikely enough to appease investor demands after huge run.</li>
</ul>


MS downgrades PC makers on risk high memory prices eat into margins.
China angst against Takaichi TW comments will cause JP rails, hotels etc. to fall further.
Advantest CEO meeting yesterday unlikely enough to appease investor demands after huge run.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Skittish Ahead of NVDA but Memory Continues to Run

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sany Heavy Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>, raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and valuation in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing.
Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
We have looked at the past performance and valuation in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading - Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

Japan

FANUC CORPORATION manufactures factory automation (FA) systems and equipments, and robots. The Company's products include computerized numerically-controlled (CNC) equipment, servo motors, laser systems, industrial robots, wire-cut electric discharge machines, and CNC drill.  Fanuc participates in a joint venture with General Electric in the FA field.

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Fanuc Corp Unsp Adr (FANUY US)

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

The wide gross spread reflects three concerns. While these concerns have merit, there are mitigating factors. The risk/reward is favourable.

Arun George

Ohayo Japan | Payroll Drop Drives Fed-Cut Bets as Financials Rally and AI Stocks Lag

Stocks rise on expectations of Fed rate cut after sharp drop in ADP private payrolls; JFE Holdings invests in Bhushan Power & Steel; Fanuc...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Crypto Selloff Spooks Risk Assets Although Most Recover in the PM

Some rotation into defensive sectors in response to crypto weakness. AI connectivity name Credo is surging post-mkt, setting a better mood for JP...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Skittish Ahead of NVDA but Memory Continues to Run

JP SPE rebound momentum likely to drop out following the shaky lead overnight. JR rails and hotel names may trade down following tensions with...

Andrew Jackson

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading - Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

The wide gross spread reflects three concerns. While these concerns have merit, there are mitigating factors. The risk/reward is favourable.

Arun George

Ohayo Japan | Payroll Drop Drives Fed-Cut Bets as Financials Rally and AI Stocks Lag

​Stocks rise on expectations of Fed rate cut after sharp drop in ADP private payrolls; JFE Holdings invests in Bhushan Power & Steel; Fanuc...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Crypto Selloff Spooks Risk Assets Although Most Recover in the PM

Some rotation into defensive sectors in response to crypto weakness. AI connectivity name Credo is surging post-mkt, setting a better mood for JP...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Skittish Ahead of NVDA but Memory Continues to Run

JP SPE rebound momentum likely to drop out following the shaky lead overnight. JR rails and hotel names may trade down following tensions with...

Andrew Jackson

Sany Heavy Industries A/H Trading - Strong Insti, Weak Retail. Pricing Still Tight

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), raised around US$2.0bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Stocks rise on expectations of Fed rate cut after sharp drop in ADP private payrolls; JFE Holdings invests in Bhushan Power & Steel; Fanuc...