Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on ICICI Bank, Vedanta, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, HDFC Bank, Hindustan Petroleum, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories, Jindal Steel &amp; Power.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-India in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on ICICI Bank, Vedanta, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, HDFC Bank, Hindustan Petroleum, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories, Jindal Steel &amp; Power.


MS-India Index Earning Revision (Jul): ICICI Bank, Vedanta, Mahindra & Mahindra, HDFC Bank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Auto: BAL’s Q2 earnings were ahead of estimates, led by better-than-expected margin (17.2% vs estimate of 15.5%), and was driven by improved mix within exports, favorable currency, and lower staff costs</li><li>Domestic 2W demand has failed to revive in H1 and the outlook for H2 remains weak, given the erratic rainfall which has hurt rural sentiment</li><li>Also, while inventory destocking with distributors in key export markets is now over, demand from Africa is likely to remain tepid, given: 1) sharp devaluation of Naira relative to USD; 2) lack of adequate availability of USD in some markets; 3) government’s proposal of putting a blanket ban on motorcycles in Nigeria</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Auto: BAL’s Q2 earnings were ahead of estimates, led by better-than-expected margin (17.2% vs estimate of 15.5%), and was driven by improved mix within exports, favorable currency, and lower staff costsDomestic 2W demand has failed to revive in H1 and the outlook for H2 remains weak, given the erratic rainfall which has hurt rural sentimentAlso, while inventory destocking with distributors in key export markets is now over, demand from Africa is likely to remain tepid, given: 1) sharp devaluation of Naira relative to USD; 2) lack of adequate availability of USD in some markets; 3) government’s proposal of putting a blanket ban on motorcycles in NigeriaContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Shree Cement, Tata Elxsi, Federal Bank

<ul><li>A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial intermediaries</li><li>However, lenders (banks and NBFCs) are likely to have navigated Q2FY23 relatively comfortably, through a combination of real-time transmission and shorter resets</li><li>With the RBI keeping a hawk's eye view on the reset frequency, we believe that lenders are witnessing the final stages of "easy money" as they begin exercising discretion on incremental EBLR transmission in order to better navigate the growth-asset quality trade-off</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial intermediariesHowever, lenders (banks and NBFCs) are likely to have navigated Q2FY23 relatively comfortably, through a combination of real-time transmission and shorter resetsWith the RBI keeping a hawk's eye view on the reset frequency, we believe that lenders are witnessing the final stages of "easy money" as they begin exercising discretion on incremental EBLR transmission in order to better navigate the growth-asset quality trade-offContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.</li><li>To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.</li><li>The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed elevated commodity prices, which had changed the inflation dynamics significantly.To curb the prevailing inflation problem, all central banks including the RBI have adopted a path of aggressive policy tightening.The RBI increased the repo rate by 50bps in Sep’22 MPC, marking a total policy rate hike of 190bps to 5.9%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The systemic credit growth continues to remain robust and at a multi-year high, supported by continued growth in the Retail and SME segment.</li><li>Corporate loans show gradual signs of revival. With the festive season beginning slightly early, a small part of the credit growth from festive demand (which is expected to be healthy) will be reflected in Q2FY23.</li><li>Even as credit growth continues to gather pace, deposit growth continues to lag on a systemic level and discussion around deposit accretion to support the robust credit growth will remain in focus.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The systemic credit growth continues to remain robust and at a multi-year high, supported by continued growth in the Retail and SME segment.Corporate loans show gradual signs of revival. With the festive season beginning slightly early, a small part of the credit growth from festive demand (which is expected to be healthy) will be reflected in Q2FY23.Even as credit growth continues to gather pace, deposit growth continues to lag on a systemic level and discussion around deposit accretion to support the robust credit growth will remain in focus.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BFSI Q2fy23 Result Preview – yet Another Strong Quarter!

India

Federal Bank is a major Indian private sector commercial bank offering a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services, including retail banking, wholesale banking, and treasury operations. It provides products such as savings and current accounts, loans, credit and debit cards, insurance, and wealth management. The bank is headquartered in Aluva, Kochi, Kerala, India, and was founded on April 23, 1931.

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Federal Bank (FB IN)

MS-India Index Earning Revision (Jul): ICICI Bank, Vedanta, Mahindra & Mahindra, HDFC Bank

We analyzed MS-India's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in ICICI Bank (ICICIBC IN), Vedanta (VEDL IN), Mahindra & Mahindra (MM...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Shree Cement, Tata Elxsi, Federal Bank

BAL’s Q2 earnings were ahead of estimates, led by better-than-expected margin (17.2% vs estimate of 15.5%), and was driven by improved mix within...

HDFC Securities

Leveraged Financials: The final stages of “easy money”

A combination of structural and cyclical factors have resulted in shrinking liquidity buffers and rising cost of funding across financial...

HDFC Securities

Consolidate Q2FY23 Result Preview

Q2FY23 marked a cool-off in the key commodity prices including the base metals and the crude oil as against the Q1FY23 period that witnessed...

Axis Direct

BFSI Q2fy23 Result Preview – yet Another Strong Quarter!

The systemic credit growth continues to remain robust and at a multi-year high, supported by continued growth in the Retail and SME segment.

Axis Direct

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