Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Palm oil prices are up 177% since May 2020 and 66% since June of last year. Palm oil touched a record high of RM5,700/mt the 31 January.</li>
<li>Yet while palm oil has enjoyed a meteoric price rise, the performance of listed palm oil plays has bifurcated.  </li>
<li>Valuations appear largely constrained by environmental, social, and governance concerns, resulting in plantation stocks trading below their historical averages.</li>
</ul>


Palm oil prices are up 177% since May 2020 and 66% since June of last year. Palm oil touched a record high of RM5,700/mt the 31 January.
Yet while palm oil has enjoyed a meteoric price rise, the performance of listed palm oil plays has bifurcated.  
Valuations appear largely constrained by environmental, social, and governance concerns, resulting in plantation stocks trading below their historical averages.


CPO Plays Lag Palm Oil Prices As ESG Issues Weigh

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Johor Plantations Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johor-plantations-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40828:1" rel="noopener">Johor Plantations Group (2368120D MK)</a> is looking to raise around US$180m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO.</li>
<li>Johor Plantations Group (JPG) is an upstream oil palm plantation firm operating predominantly in Johor, Malaysia.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Johor Plantations Group (2368120D MK) is looking to raise around US$180m in its upcoming Malaysia IPO.
Johor Plantations Group (JPG) is an upstream oil palm plantation firm operating predominantly in Johor, Malaysia.
In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.


Johor Plantations Pre-IPO - Assets in Prime Yield Stage But Industry Isn’t Really Expected to Grow

Independent Analyst

Niklas Olausson

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The El Nino is progressing, albeit slowly, in a volatile fashion. There is no significant impact yet on Southeast Asia's oil palm areas although YTD, rainfall is already lower YoY. </li>
<li>For edible oils, heat waves and drought continue to underpin elevated yield risks, with current focus on soybeans (U.S. and China), rapeseed (Canada) and olive oil (the Mediterranean.) </li>
<li>The Plantation sector and CPO price have gained some traction, but it is early days. Maintain a bullish stance. Report contains new data on earnings mixes, maturity profiles and yields.   </li>
</ul>


The El Nino is progressing, albeit slowly, in a volatile fashion. There is no significant impact yet on Southeast Asia's oil palm areas although YTD, rainfall is already lower YoY. 
For edible oils, heat waves and drought continue to underpin elevated yield risks, with current focus on soybeans (U.S. and China), rapeseed (Canada) and olive oil (the Mediterranean.) 
The Plantation sector and CPO price have gained some traction, but it is early days. Maintain a bullish stance. Report contains new data on earnings mixes, maturity profiles and yields.   


Southeast Asia Plantations: Where Things Stand with the Weather, Still Bullish

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), TA Securities Holdings Berhad

TA Securities Holdings Bhd

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-kepong-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17039:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK)</a> made an offer to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a>/IJMC’s entire stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12967:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Plantations (IJMP MK)</a>/IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. The offer price is a 26% premium to the unaffected price of RM2.46 per share (prior to the trading halt on 8 June).</p><p>IJMC is IJMP’s largest shareholder and owns 494.9 million shares, representing 56.2% of outstanding shares. The proposed acquisition implies a cost of RM1.53 billion ($371.7 million). KLK’s offer is subject to IJMC’s acceptance and execution of the definitive agreement (SPA) on or before 5.00 p.m. on 11 June 2021 or such a mutually extended date, failing which the offer will lapse. IJMC has stated that is agreeable to finalise the terms with KLK to meet the offer deadline. </p><p>IJMP is listed on the Main Markets of Bursa Malaysia. In Malaysia, the threshold for triggering a mandatory general offer (MGO) is the offeror and concert parties owning 33% or more of the voting shares. If the SPA becomes unconditional, KLK will be required to extend a mandatory general offer to acquire all the remaining IJMP shares for a cash offer price of RM3.10 per share, subject to potential dividend adjustments.  </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>A key condition precedent for the SPA is approval by both IJMC and KLK shareholders at their respective EGMs. We think that the deal should gain EGM approval as it is attractive to both IJMC and KLK shareholders. Overall, at the last close price, the downside risk is low (trading close to break price) with a good probability of upside (SPA becoming unconditional).  </p></div>

Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK) made an offer to acquire Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)/IJMC’s entire stake in Ijm Plantations (IJMP MK)/IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. The offer price is a 26% premium to the unaffected price of RM2.46 per share (prior to the trading halt on 8 June).IJMC is IJMP’s largest shareholder and owns 494.9 million shares, representing 56.2% of outstanding shares. The proposed acquisition implies a cost of RM1.53 billion ($371.7 million). KLK’s offer is subject to IJMC’s acceptance and execution of the definitive agreement (SPA) on or before 5.00 p.m. on 11 June 2021 or such a mutually extended date, failing which the offer will lapse. IJMC has stated that is agreeable to finalise the terms with KLK to meet the offer deadline. IJMP is listed on the Main Markets of Bursa Malaysia. In Malaysia, the threshold for triggering a mandatory general offer (MGO) is the offeror and concert parties owning 33% or more of the voting shares. If the SPA becomes unconditional, KLK will be required to extend a mandatory general offer to acquire all the remaining IJMP shares for a cash offer price of RM3.10 per share, subject to potential dividend adjustments.  A key condition precedent for the SPA is approval by both IJMC and KLK shareholders at their respective EGMs. We think that the deal should gain EGM approval as it is attractive to both IJMC and KLK shareholders. Overall, at the last close price, the downside risk is low (trading close to break price) with a good probability of upside (SPA becoming unconditional).  

IJM Plantations’ Potential MGO from Kuala Lumpur Kepong

Malaysia

FGV Holdings Bhd is an agricultural and agri-commodities company. The Company owns and operates an oil palm plantation producing oil palm and rubber plantation products, soybean and canola products, oleochemial products and sugar products.

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FGV Holdings Bhd (FGV MK)

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David Blennerhassett

Johor Plantations Pre-IPO - Assets in Prime Yield Stage But Industry Isn’t Really Expected to Grow

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Clarence Chu

Southeast Asia Plantations: Where Things Stand with the Weather, Still Bullish

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Niklas Olausson

Earnings Lifted by High CPO Prices

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TA Securities Holdings Bhd

IJM Plantations’ Potential MGO from Kuala Lumpur Kepong

KLK MK made an offer to acquire IJMC’s entire stake in IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. If the SPA...

Arun George

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