Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We visited the core of the Hindi Hinterland, the "City of Patna," the capital and largest city of Bihar, the country's third most populous state.</li>
<li>While the trip paints an opportunistic and optimistic picture of Bihar, the situation of unemployment is something that still warrants attention.</li>
<li>Focus companies: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-vision-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40299:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Vision (AVL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>  , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fino-payments-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35042:1" rel="noopener">Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We visited the core of the Hindi Hinterland, the "City of Patna," the capital and largest city of Bihar, the country's third most populous state.
While the trip paints an opportunistic and optimistic picture of Bihar, the situation of unemployment is something that still warrants attention.
Focus companies: Aditya Vision (AVL IN) , Eicher Motors (EIM IN)  , Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) and Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN). 


Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

<ul>
<li>The Indian Market (~$4 trillion) has now overtaken Hong Kong as the 4th most-valued stock market after the US, China, and Japan. </li>
<li>We recently concluded an exploratory trip to Patna, the capital, and also the largest city of the state of Bihar, Summarized thoughts on companies focused in this insight. </li>
<li>Multiple stocks covered in the Insight. The future of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/easy-trip-planners-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34149:1" rel="noopener">Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN)</a>, especially if it's banking on franchisee expansion, could go the other way around.</li>
</ul>


The Indian Market (~$4 trillion) has now overtaken Hong Kong as the 4th most-valued stock market after the US, China, and Japan. 
We recently concluded an exploratory trip to Patna, the capital, and also the largest city of the state of Bihar, Summarized thoughts on companies focused in this insight. 
Multiple stocks covered in the Insight. The future of Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN), especially if it's banking on franchisee expansion, could go the other way around.


[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebixcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36390:1" rel="noopener">EbixCash (EBIXC IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix Inc (EBIX US)</a> and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July. </li>
<li>In <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ebixcash-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:108206" rel="noopener">EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case</a></em></strong>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining revenue visibility and deteriorating cash generation.</li>
</ul>



EbixCash (EBIXC IN), a subsidiary of Ebix Inc (EBIX US) and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July. 
In EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining revenue visibility and deteriorating cash generation.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebixcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36390:1" rel="noopener">EbixCash (EBIXC IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix Inc (EBIX US)</a> and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July.   </li>
<li>EbixCash’s Forex operations have emerged as a leader in India’s airport Forex business. Also, EbixCash’s inward remittance business in India is the clear market leader.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving balance sheet, and declining leverage.</li>
</ul>



EbixCash (EBIXC IN), a subsidiary of Ebix Inc (EBIX US) and India’s largest end-to-end financial exchange, is seeking to launch an Rs60 billion (US$730 million) in July.   
EbixCash’s Forex operations have emerged as a leader in India’s airport Forex business. Also, EbixCash’s inward remittance business in India is the clear market leader.
The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving balance sheet, and declining leverage.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Fino Payments Bank Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We initiate coverage on Fino Payments Bank (Fino) with BUY rating and TP of Rs475. Fino is uniquely positioned to capture growing opportunities in rural India, led by deep-rural products like MATM (~51% market share as on Aug’21) &amp; AEPS, tailor-made CASA accounts for under served population, and payment app called “FinoPay” targeting rural population</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We initiate coverage on Fino Payments Bank (Fino) with BUY rating and TP of Rs475. Fino is uniquely positioned to capture growing opportunities in rural India, led by deep-rural products like MATM (~51% market share as on Aug’21) &amp; AEPS, tailor-made CASA accounts for under served population, and payment app called “FinoPay” targeting rural populationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A unique business model; niche position in untapped rural India

India

Fino Payments Bank Limited operates as a bank. The Bank offers saving accounts, loans, debit, credit cards, insurance, investments, mortgages, and online banking services. Fino Payments Bank serves customers in India.

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Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN)

Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...

Pranav Bhavsar

EbixCash IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining...

Arun George

EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving...

Arun George

A unique business model; niche position in untapped rural India

We initiate coverage on Fino Payments Bank (Fino) with BUY rating and TP of Rs475. Fino is uniquely positioned to capture growing opportunities in...

ICICI Securities Limited

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

​Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 14] Namaste India 🙏 | EASEMYTR IN | Easy Trip's Ghost Franchise?

​Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...

Pranav Bhavsar

EbixCash IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on margin pressure due to rising operating costs, a related party being the largest customer, declining...

Arun George

EbixCash IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on fast-paced growth, growth runaway from the post-COVID recovery, declining contract assets, improving...

Arun George

A unique business model; niche position in untapped rural India

We initiate coverage on Fino Payments Bank (Fino) with BUY rating and TP of Rs475. Fino is uniquely positioned to capture growing opportunities in...

ICICI Securities Limited

Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...

Indian stock market surpasses Hong Kong to become the 4th most valuable market. Insight on Easy Trip Planners suggests franchisee expansion may...