Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
  <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/fire-rock-holdings-ltd">Fire Rock</a> is navigating a strategic pivot towards international markets, particularly Southeast Asia and South America, to mitigate reliance on the highly regulated and competitive Chinese gaming landscape.</li>
  <li>The company's financial performance has deteriorated significantly, with revenue growth being overshadowed by widening net losses and negative operating cash flow in recent years, raising concerns about profitability and cash burn.</li>
  <li>High uncertainty clouds the outlook due to a combination of intense industry competition, a challenging regulatory environment in its home market, and significant recent management turnover.</li>
</ul><p><em>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.</em></p>


  
Fire Rock is navigating a strategic pivot towards international markets, particularly Southeast Asia and South America, to mitigate reliance on the highly regulated and competitive Chinese gaming landscape.
  The company's financial performance has deteriorated significantly, with revenue growth being overshadowed by widening net losses and negative operating cash flow in recent years, raising concerns about profitability and cash burn.
  High uncertainty clouds the outlook due to a combination of intense industry competition, a challenging regulatory environment in its home market, and significant recent management turnover.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Index Rebalance

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 8 July.</li>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a>'s index inclusion is a surprise, the impact from passive fund trading is not a lot. Nothing much one can do on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> will drop 16.12 points at the close on 8 July. Something for traders to watch out for over the next week.</li>
</ul>



Bilibili (9626 HK) will replace Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close of trading on 8 July.
While Bilibili (9626 HK)'s index inclusion is a surprise, the impact from passive fund trading is not a lot. Nothing much one can do on Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK). 
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) will drop 16.12 points at the close on 8 July. Something for traders to watch out for over the next week.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Bilibili Replaces Sunac Next Week

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.</li>
<li>Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.
There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.
Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

China CITIC Financial Asset Management / Index Rebalance

China CITIC Financial Asset Management (2799 HK)

<ul>
<li>We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.
Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After one month from the March batch of Hong Kong Connect inclusion, we provide an analysis on the stock inclusion for 19 stocks. </li>
<li>We analysed the inclusion by performance post announcement, performance post inclusion, inflows and analyst coverage.</li>
<li>We observed outperformance post the HSCI announcement but not the actual inclusion despite the fact that southbound inflows has a significant impact on the trading volume. </li>
</ul>


After one month from the March batch of Hong Kong Connect inclusion, we provide an analysis on the stock inclusion for 19 stocks. 
We analysed the inclusion by performance post announcement, performance post inclusion, inflows and analyst coverage.
We observed outperformance post the HSCI announcement but not the actual inclusion despite the fact that southbound inflows has a significant impact on the trading volume. 


HK Connect: March '22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis

Singapore

Fire Rock is an investment holding company that develops, publishes, and operates browser and mobile games. It designs, programs, and licenses its self-developed game products to other operators globally, and also self-operates games in various markets. Headquartered in Shenzhen, China, the company was founded in 2011.

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Fire Rock (1909 HK)

Primer: Fire Rock (1909 HK) - Aug 2026

Fire Rock is navigating a strategic pivot towards international markets, particularly Southeast Asia and South America, to mitigate reliance on...

αSK Primers

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Bilibili Replaces Sunac Next Week

Bilibili (9626) replaces Sunac (1918) in the HSCEI at the close on 8 July. Bilibili's inclusion is a surprise but there is little impact of passive...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

We see 28 potential adds and 9 close adds for the HSCI in September. There are 22 potential deletes on market cap, liquidity and prolonged...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

We forecast 7 adds to the HSCI in June. For the September rebalance, we forecast 19 adds & 19 deletes (7 on mkt cap, 4 on liquidity, 8 on long...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect: March '22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis

We provide post-event analysis for the March 7th stock inclusion. We analyzed performance for key milestones dates, impact on trading volume and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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