External broker reports(aggregated public sources), International Securities

International Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

International Securities’ equity research analysis and advisory have been a vital source of market intelligence for our distinguished clients over the years. The equity research team’s main objective is to cover listed equities and to provide thoughtful, insightful, differentiated and timely research that can help clients make informed decisions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect FAB to report shareholder’s profit of AED3.45bn in 1Q24e, down 6.5% YoY and down 5.4% QoQ, as a result of the implementation of new UAE corporate tax.</li><li>Net interest income should improve QoQ, but non-interest income could fall YoY and QoQ.</li><li>Net interest income should grow 3.9% QoQ to AED4.9bn, led by a growing loan book and a slight improvement in NIMs. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect FAB to report shareholder’s profit of AED3.45bn in 1Q24e, down 6.5% YoY and down 5.4% QoQ, as a result of the implementation of new UAE corporate tax.Net interest income should improve QoQ, but non-interest income could fall YoY and QoQ.Net interest income should grow 3.9% QoQ to AED4.9bn, led by a growing loan book and a slight improvement in NIMs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Growing UAE economy should provide the necessary impetus for the UAE banks to grow locally, whilst the option to expand globally remains open</li><li>UAE banks remain undervalued within the wider GCC market despite better-than-expected performance in FY23, as the impact of the new UAE corporate tax and NIMs contraction as a result of fall in interest rates worry investors</li><li>We remain optimistic on UAE banks as we see earnings to stabilize at current levels after absorbing the impact of UAE corporate tax in FY24 and NIM contraction in FY25; maintain ‘Buy’ on FAB, ENBD and ADCB, and ‘Hold’ on ADIB and DIB</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growing UAE economy should provide the necessary impetus for the UAE banks to grow locally, whilst the option to expand globally remains openUAE banks remain undervalued within the wider GCC market despite better-than-expected performance in FY23, as the impact of the new UAE corporate tax and NIMs contraction as a result of fall in interest rates worry investorsWe remain optimistic on UAE banks as we see earnings to stabilize at current levels after absorbing the impact of UAE corporate tax in FY24 and NIM contraction in FY25; maintain ‘Buy’ on FAB, ENBD and ADCB, and ‘Hold’ on ADIB and DIBContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>We expect ADNOC Drilling to post 4Q23e profits of USD263mn, up 2% QoQ and 13% YoY.</li>
<li>Our 4Q23e result would take FY23e profit to USD967mn, up 21% YoY and towards the high end of the management’s guided range of USD850mnUSD1bn.</li>
<li>We expect total rig count to reach 129 rigs, compared to 124 rigs and 115 rigs in 3Q23 and 4Q22, respectively.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


We expect ADNOC Drilling to post 4Q23e profits of USD263mn, up 2% QoQ and 13% YoY.
Our 4Q23e result would take FY23e profit to USD967mn, up 21% YoY and towards the high end of the management’s guided range of USD850mnUSD1bn.
We expect total rig count to reach 129 rigs, compared to 124 rigs and 115 rigs in 3Q23 and 4Q22, respectively.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>EMEA Financials are the largest Regional Sector underweight in global EM, with just 11.6% of managers positioned ahead of the MSCI EM index.</li>
<li>Moderate but uneven recovery underway, with buying in Greece, Saudi, Kuwait and Poland Financials.</li>
<li>Despite being the sector's predominant country holding, South African Financials are experiencing a halt in growth; nonetheless, FirstRand and Standard Bank continue to be key holdings.</li>
</ul>


EMEA Financials are the largest Regional Sector underweight in global EM, with just 11.6% of managers positioned ahead of the MSCI EM index.
Moderate but uneven recovery underway, with buying in Greece, Saudi, Kuwait and Poland Financials.
Despite being the sector's predominant country holding, South African Financials are experiencing a halt in growth; nonetheless, FirstRand and Standard Bank continue to be key holdings.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 41 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-abu-dhabi-bank-pjsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28945:1" rel="noopener">First Abu Dhabi Bank</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-chartered-plc-f07a1272-e0fc-49e2-8090-1a08715a40a1" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22649:1" rel="noopener">Standard Chartered</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26785:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihara-science-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9870:1" rel="noopener">Ihara Science (5999 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iwasaki-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13072:1" rel="noopener">Iwasaki Electric (6924 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/halcyon-agri-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18191:1" rel="noopener">Halcyon Agri (HACL SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 41 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Newmont/Newcrest; First Abu Dhabi Bank/Standard Chartered,  Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP); Ihara Science (5999 JP), and Iwasaki Electric (6924 JP).
Key updates took place for: Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), and Halcyon Agri (HACL SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newmont/Newcrest, StanChart, Boustead Proj., Ihara, Iwasaki

United Arab Emirates

First Abu Dhabi Bank PJSC provides banking services. The Bank offers deposits, personal loans, e-banking, trade finance, foreign exchange, and other banking services. First Abu Dhabi Bank serves customers worldwide.

First Abu Dhabi Bank PJSC (FAB UH)

1Q24 Quarterly Result Previews

We expect FAB to report shareholder’s profit of AED3.45bn in 1Q24e, down 6.5% YoY and down 5.4% QoQ, as a result of the implementation of new UAE...

International Securities

UAE Banks: Keep calm and carry on

Growing UAE economy should provide the necessary impetus for the UAE banks to grow locally, whilst the option to expand globally remains open

International Securities

4Q23 Quarterly Result Previews

Our 4Q23e result would take FY23e profit to USD967mn, up 21% YoY and towards the high end of the management’s guided range of USD850mnUSD1bn.

International Securities

EMEA Financials: Uneven Recovery

EMEA Financials are the largest Regional Sector underweight in global EM. Moderate but uneven recovery underway, with buying in Greece, Saudi,...

Steven Holden

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Newmont/Newcrest, StanChart, Boustead Proj., Ihara, Iwasaki

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett