Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.</li>
<li>At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.
At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a> is a Southeast Asian conglomerate that has been handicapped by its listing in the Hong Kong market over the last several years.</li>
<li>As Southeast Asian markets (Indonesia and Philippines) begin to re-rate on the back of a more accommodating Fed policy, First Pacific is beginning to participate in the uptrend.</li>
<li>Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC), the second largest piece of the company's NAV has been active in acquiring more infrastructure assets since being privatized last year.</li>
</ul>



First Pacific Co (142 HK) is a Southeast Asian conglomerate that has been handicapped by its listing in the Hong Kong market over the last several years.
As Southeast Asian markets (Indonesia and Philippines) begin to re-rate on the back of a more accommodating Fed policy, First Pacific is beginning to participate in the uptrend.
Metro Pacific Investments Corp (MPIC), the second largest piece of the company's NAV has been active in acquiring more infrastructure assets since being privatized last year.


BUY: First Pacific Company (142 HK): Right Stock Trapped in the Wrong Market

Shanghai Electric Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Long-Only portfolio launched on October 1st with objective to generate alpha in the Hong Kong market.</li>
<li>Stocks are chosen from single stock insights as well as sector and weekly publications.</li>
<li>Positions will be adjusted once a month and the cash position will vary based on market conditions.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Long-Only portfolio launched on October 1st with objective to generate alpha in the Hong Kong market.
Stocks are chosen from single stock insights as well as sector and weekly publications.
Positions will be adjusted once a month and the cash position will vary based on market conditions.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back in October 2023, a consortium including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific (142 HK)</a> took <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> private. First Pac's 46.2% share at delisting was worth ~US$1.25bn.</li>
<li>Following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20799:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui (8031 JP)</a>-backed Mit-Pacific's possible stake in a tollway operator held by MPIC, First Pac's 43.2% holding in MPIC, including the 47.5% stake in Meralco, is potentially worth ~US$3.21bn.</li>
<li>The question is whether this recent development from Mitsui has any bearing. First Pac's discount to NAV is elevated versus its historical trading range. </li>
</ul>


Back in October 2023, a consortium including First Pacific (142 HK) took Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) private. First Pac's 46.2% share at delisting was worth ~US$1.25bn.
Following Mitsui (8031 JP)-backed Mit-Pacific's possible stake in a tollway operator held by MPIC, First Pac's 43.2% holding in MPIC, including the 47.5% stake in Meralco, is potentially worth ~US$3.21bn.
The question is whether this recent development from Mitsui has any bearing. First Pac's discount to NAV is elevated versus its historical trading range. 


First Pacific (142 HK): Even More Value In The Stub

<ul>
<li>The proposed spin-off - from 49.9%-held MPIC - and listing of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maynilad-water-services-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44852:1" rel="noopener">Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH)</a> completed on the 7th November. </li>
<li>Priced at PHP 15/share, Maynilad closed yesterday at PHP 14.82/share, down 1.2%. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a>'s indirect/direct holding in Maynilad is estimated at 19.1%, accounting for ~6% of NAV. </li>
</ul>


The proposed spin-off - from 49.9%-held MPIC - and listing of Maynilad Water Services (MYNLD PH) completed on the 7th November. 
Priced at PHP 15/share, Maynilad closed yesterday at PHP 14.82/share, down 1.2%. 

First Pacific Co (142 HK)'s indirect/direct holding in Maynilad is estimated at 19.1%, accounting for ~6% of NAV. 


First Pacific (142 HK)'s Full Value As Maynilad Commences Trading

Hong Kong

First Pacific is a Hong Kong-based investment management and holding company with operations across Asia. Its principal investments are in consumer food products, telecommunications, infrastructure, and natural resources. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

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First Pacific (142 HK)

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