Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Via 49.9%-held MPIC, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific Co (142 HK)</a> is spinning off Maynilad, a provider of water and wastewater services in the Greater Manila Area, on the Philippine Stock Exchange</li>
<li>Maynilad will tentatively have a market cap of US$2.7bn. Other key investors include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dmci-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8026:1" rel="noopener">DMCI Holdings (DMC PM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marubeni-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7463:1" rel="noopener">Marubeni Corp (8002 JP)</a>. Listing is expected in July.</li>
<li>I see First Pac's discount to NAV at ~30%, around its narrowest level in a decade. </li>
</ul>


Via 49.9%-held MPIC, First Pacific Co (142 HK) is spinning off Maynilad, a provider of water and wastewater services in the Greater Manila Area, on the Philippine Stock Exchange
Maynilad will tentatively have a market cap of US$2.7bn. Other key investors include DMCI Holdings (DMC PM) and Marubeni Corp (8002 JP). Listing is expected in July.
I see First Pac's discount to NAV at ~30%, around its narrowest level in a decade. 


StubWorld: First Pacific (142 HK) Looking Stretched

<ul>
<li>Back in October 2023, a consortium including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-pacific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:173:1" rel="noopener">First Pacific (142 HK)</a> took <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> private. First Pac's 46.2% share at delisting was worth ~US$1.25bn.</li>
<li>Following <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20799:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui (8031 JP)</a>-backed Mit-Pacific's possible stake in a tollway operator held by MPIC, First Pac's 43.2% holding in MPIC, including the 47.5% stake in Meralco, is potentially worth ~US$3.21bn.</li>
<li>The question is whether this recent development from Mitsui has any bearing. First Pac's discount to NAV is elevated versus its historical trading range. </li>
</ul>


Back in October 2023, a consortium including First Pacific (142 HK) took Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) private. First Pac's 46.2% share at delisting was worth ~US$1.25bn.
Following Mitsui (8031 JP)-backed Mit-Pacific's possible stake in a tollway operator held by MPIC, First Pac's 43.2% holding in MPIC, including the 47.5% stake in Meralco, is potentially worth ~US$3.21bn.
The question is whether this recent development from Mitsui has any bearing. First Pac's discount to NAV is elevated versus its historical trading range. 


First Pacific (142 HK): Even More Value In The Stub

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.</li>
<li>At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.
At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Electric Group Company / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Long-Only portfolio launched on October 1st with objective to generate alpha in the Hong Kong market.</li>
<li>Stocks are chosen from single stock insights as well as sector and weekly publications.</li>
<li>Positions will be adjusted once a month and the cash position will vary based on market conditions.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Long-Only portfolio launched on October 1st with objective to generate alpha in the Hong Kong market.
Stocks are chosen from single stock insights as well as sector and weekly publications.
Positions will be adjusted once a month and the cash position will vary based on market conditions.


<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio returned -2.89% in November versus +1.72% for its benchmark index. The HK Alpha portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 33% to 45% since inception.</li>
<li>The portfolio continues to generate 57% of its returns from alpha (idiosyncratic returns) while maintaining a Sharpe ratio of 2.19 YTD.</li>
<li>We have sold positions in the materials and industrials sectors and added positions in telecom, gold, and insurance industries at the end of November.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio returned -2.89% in November versus +1.72% for its benchmark index. The HK Alpha portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 33% to 45% since inception.
The portfolio continues to generate 57% of its returns from alpha (idiosyncratic returns) while maintaining a Sharpe ratio of 2.19 YTD.
We have sold positions in the materials and industrials sectors and added positions in telecom, gold, and insurance industries at the end of November.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (November 2025)

Hong Kong

First Pacific Company Limited is an investment holding company with operations located in Asia-Pacific. The Company principally invests in consumer food products, infrastructure, natural resources, and telecommunications.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

First Pacific Co (142 HK)

StubWorld: First Pacific (142 HK) Looking Stretched

MPIC's deep value is being extrapolated. However, this development adds yet another listed company. First Pac''s valuations appear full. The...

David Blennerhassett

First Pacific (142 HK): Even More Value In The Stub

First Pac's NAV discount has narrowed, and trading around multi-year lows. There is clear value in the NAV. And trading volume is up. But absent a...

David Blennerhassett

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

Due to the sudden escalation of US/China tensions we have decided to reduce AI and other risk exposure in the Hong Kong Alpha portfolio at the open...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO - Introduction

We have launched a Hong Kong portfolio with the aim to outperform HK indexes and generate alpha. Stocks are chosen from those highlighted in our...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (November 2025)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio returned -2.89% in November versus +1.72% for its benchmark index. The HK Alpha portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)