Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corp / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. </li>
<li>Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).</li>
<li>Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to show signs of bottoming as it has held above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand. 
Major 1+ year resistance on the EEM-US is at $42, and a breakout would mean the bottom is in (and would be a buy signal).
Favor EM over EAFE due to 2.5-year downtrend reversal in the EAFE vs. EM ratio. Top Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors: Energy, Technology, Consumer Discretionary, Financials


MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $2,146 million), Financials (inflows of $1,619 million), Consumer Staples (inflows of $1,100 million) led the inflows while led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring, Luxshare, Longi Green, Wus Printed, Yonyou Network.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $2,146 million), Financials (inflows of $1,619 million), Consumer Staples (inflows of $1,100 million) led the inflows while led the outflows.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring, Luxshare, Longi Green, Wus Printed, Yonyou Network.


Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,104.6 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media Information Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,104.6 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media Information Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology led the inflows while Consumer Staples, Financials led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism, Longi Green, Ping An, Zijin Mining, Haitian Flavoring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology led the inflows while Consumer Staples, Financials led the outflows.
We highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism, Longi Green, Ping An, Zijin Mining, Haitian Flavoring.


Northbound Flows Monthly (June): Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by foreign investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows  for CATL, Kunlun Tech, BJ-SH HSR, CCB, Mindray, Longi, Wuliangye, Gree, Moutai, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by foreign investors.
We highlight inflows  for CATL, Kunlun Tech, BJ-SH HSR, CCB, Mindray, Longi, Wuliangye, Gree, Moutai, Midea.


Northbound Flows Monthly (May): $1.7bn Outflows

China

Focus Media Information Technology Co., Ltd. engages in media network for advertisements including within cinemas, posters and advertising displays in commercial offices or buildings.

Focus Media Information Technology Co, Ltd. (002027 CH)

Focus Media Information Technology Co, Ltd.

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Focus Media Information Technology Co, Ltd. (002027 CH)

MSCI Emerging Market Index Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE; Top EM Buys Highlighted

MSCI EM Index $EEM Testing 1+ Year Resistance; Favor EM over EAFE $EFA. Top EM Country Overweights: Taiwan, India, Greece; Attractive EM Sectors:...

Vermilion Research

Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (June): Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlight flows for Midea, Foxconn, CATL, Wuxi Apptec, Sany Heavy, China Tourism,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (May): $1.7bn Outflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for May and highlight flows for CATL, Kunlun Tech, BJ-SH HSR, CCB, Mindray, Longi, Wuliangye,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)