Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay unusually weak relative to CFR India prices for the time of year.</li><li>Persistent US price-discount to CFR India prices coincides with steady flow of heavy-grade base oils shipments from US to India and especially to Pakistan.</li><li>Arbitrage shipments highlight persistent surplus of heavy-grade base oils in US market.</li></ul>

US Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay unusually weak relative to CFR India prices for the time of year.Persistent US price-discount to CFR India prices coincides with steady flow of heavy-grade base oils shipments from US to India and especially to Pakistan.Arbitrage shipments highlight persistent surplus of heavy-grade base oils in US market.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 26 May

<ul><li>Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices stay high relative to feedstock/gasoil prices.</li><li>Firm margins point to ongoing supply-tightness even with completion of most plant maintenance work.</li><li>Firm margins suggest supply-tightness continues to outweigh signs of more muted demand, incentivizing refiners to boost output of heavy grades.</li></ul>

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices stay high relative to feedstock/gasoil prices.Firm margins point to ongoing supply-tightness even with completion of most plant maintenance work.Firm margins suggest supply-tightness continues to outweigh signs of more muted demand, incentivizing refiners to boost output of heavy grades.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 26 May

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Taishin Financial Holding / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see five ADDs and five DELs.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$2.55bn with multiple expected ADDs having 10x ADV or more to trade.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see five ADDs and five DELs.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$2.55bn with multiple expected ADDs having 10x ADV or more to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: Final Expectations; Trade Successful; New Sector-Neutral Idea

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to weaken in face of seasonal slowdown in consumption and rise in supply.</li><li>Drop in lube demand likely to gather pace from start of Q3 2025.</li><li>Drop in demand could be larger than usual because of weaker-than-expected economic growth.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to weaken in face of seasonal slowdown in consumption and rise in supply.Drop in lube demand likely to gather pace from start of Q3 2025.Drop in demand could be larger than usual because of weaker-than-expected economic growth.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 26 May

<ul><li>Global base oils prices hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices even as they edge lower.</li><li>Firm base oils values point to tight supply-demand fundamentals, incentivize refiners to maintain high output.</li><li>Base oils values hold firm ahead of typical seasonal slowdown in demand in coming weeks in Asia, and from start of Q3 in Europe/US.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices even as they edge lower.Firm base oils values point to tight supply-demand fundamentals, incentivize refiners to maintain high output.Base oils values hold firm ahead of typical seasonal slowdown in demand in coming weeks in Asia, and from start of Q3 in Europe/US.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 19 May

Taiwan

Formosa Petrochemical Corp. refines crude oil and markets petroleum and petrochemical products.  The Company operates refineries and naphtha cracking plants that provide products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil, naphtha, ethylene, and liquefied petroleum gas.  FPCC also owns three utility centers and generates electricity.

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Formosa Petrochemical (6505 TT)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 26 May

US Group II heavy-grade base oils prices stay unusually weak relative to CFR India prices for the time of year. Persistent US price-discount to...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 26 May

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices stay high relative to feedstock/gasoil prices. Firm margins point to ongoing supply-tightness even with...

Base Oil News

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: Final Expectations; Trade Successful; New Sector-Neutral Idea

There are a couple of changes to our expected ADDs list. Expected DELs remain unchanged. We see an interesting sector-neutral trade involving...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 26 May

Asia’s base oils demand likely to weaken in face of seasonal slowdown in consumption and rise in supply. Drop in lube demand likely to gather pace...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 19 May

Global base oils prices hold firm vs feedstock/competing fuel prices even as they edge lower. Firm base oils values point to tight supply-demand...

Base Oil News

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