Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump in crude oil prices.</li><li>US Group I brightstock export price flips to rare discount to CFR India price in recent weeks.</li><li>Ongoing weakness of US export prices points to weaker-than-usual domestic demand.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump in crude oil prices.US Group I brightstock export price flips to rare discount to CFR India price in recent weeks.Ongoing weakness of US export prices points to weaker-than-usual domestic demand.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 April

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices.</li><li>Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2 2025.</li><li>That dynamic could change in coming weeks if economic growth slows, compounding typical seasonal dip in demand from end of second quarter.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices.Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2 2025.That dynamic could change in coming weeks if economic growth slows, compounding typical seasonal dip in demand from end of second quarter.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 7 April

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the region.</li><li>Concern about weaker demand cuts fundamentals-related support that could cushion against impact of falling crude oil prices.</li><li>Concern about more muted demand and expected improvement in base oils supply in coming weeks would contrast with increasingly high base oils margins caused by lower crude oil prices.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the region.Concern about weaker demand cuts fundamentals-related support that could cushion against impact of falling crude oil prices.Concern about more muted demand and expected improvement in base oils supply in coming weeks would contrast with increasingly high base oils margins caused by lower crude oil prices.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 7 April

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

The Shanghai Commerical & Sa / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect five changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2025 index rebal event.
We expect five changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: US$2.1bn One-Way; 17% Turnover; Sector-Neutral Trade Ideas

<ul><li>US base oils export price-discount to US domestic prices stays narrower in Q1 2025 vs year-earlier.</li><li>Narrower export price-discount points to more manageable supply surplus at end-2024 and early this year, when domestic demand faced seasonal slowdown.</li><li>More manageable supply surplus follows firm export volumes through H2 2024 and early this year.</li></ul>

US base oils export price-discount to US domestic prices stays narrower in Q1 2025 vs year-earlier.Narrower export price-discount points to more manageable supply surplus at end-2024 and early this year, when domestic demand faced seasonal slowdown.More manageable supply surplus follows firm export volumes through H2 2024 and early this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 31 March

Taiwan

Formosa Petrochemical Corp. refines crude oil and markets petroleum and petrochemical products.  The Company operates refineries and naphtha cracking plants that provide products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, fuel oil, naphtha, ethylene, and liquefied petroleum gas.  FPCC also owns three utility centers and generates electricity.

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Formosa Petrochemical (6505 TT)

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 April

US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 7 April

Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices. Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 7 April

Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the...

Base Oil News

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun25: US$2.1bn One-Way; 17% Turnover; Sector-Neutral Trade Ideas

We expect one-way flows of 2.1bn which translates to a turnover of 17%. There are multiple names with 10x ADV or more to trade. Some of the outflow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 31 March

US base oils export price-discount to US domestic prices stays narrower in Q1 2025 vs year-earlier. Narrower export price-discount points to more...

Base Oil News

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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