Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.</li>
<li>Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.</li>
<li>Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.</li>
</ul>


So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.
Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.
Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.


OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in June as AI-related stocks bump (mostly) old-economy stocks from the index. </li>
<li>Following the changes, Information Technology stocks will make up over 91% of the index with Financials next at 6.5%. The Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary sectors will have no representation.</li>
<li>Among stocks with large short interest (in terms of float), shorts have been decreasing in the forecast adds and increasing in the forecast deletes.</li>
</ul>


There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in June as AI-related stocks bump (mostly) old-economy stocks from the index. 
Following the changes, Information Technology stocks will make up over 91% of the index with Financials next at 6.5%. The Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary sectors will have no representation.
Among stocks with large short interest (in terms of float), shorts have been decreasing in the forecast adds and increasing in the forecast deletes.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: AI-Related Stocks Taking Over

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization on the Taiwan Stock Exchange. The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>Today is the base date for final ranks for the June 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We have presented our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 indices in this insight. There are also very important consequences for the TDIV index.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization on the Taiwan Stock Exchange. The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
Today is the base date for final ranks for the June 2026 index rebal event.
We have presented our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 indices in this insight. There are also very important consequences for the TDIV index.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun26: TDIV DELs Rise from 3 to 4 as Anticipated; Final Expectations

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on China Steel, Formosa Plastics, Yuanta Financial, Nan Ya Plastics, Formosa Chemicals &amp; Fibre, TSMC, Wiwynn.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on China Steel, Formosa Plastics, Yuanta Financial, Nan Ya Plastics, Formosa Chemicals &amp; Fibre, TSMC, Wiwynn.


MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Apr): China Steel, Formosa Plastics, Yuanta Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 1st. The aggregated short interest was USD39.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CTBC Financial, Winbond Electronics, King Yuan Electronics, Cathay Financial, ASE Industrial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 1st. The aggregated short interest was USD39.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CTBC Financial, Winbond Electronics, King Yuan Electronics, Cathay Financial, ASE Industrial.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): CTBC Financial, Winbond Electronics, King Yuan Electronics

Taiwan

Formosa Plastics Corporation manufactures and markets plastics materials and chemical fiber products. The Company's products include PVC (Polyvinyl Chloride) resins, high density polyethylene, tairylan acrylic fiber, acrylic acid and ester, carbon fiber, caustic soda, PVC modifier, and calcium carbonate.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Formosa Plastics (1301 TT)

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun26: TDIV DELs Rise from 3 to 4 as Anticipated; Final Expectations

In our last insight, we flagged TDIV member Makalot Industrial (1477 TT) as being close to the T100 deletion border. It has now crossed the border...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Apr): China Steel, Formosa Plastics, Yuanta Financial

We analyzed MS-Taiwan's consensus for Apr 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in China Steel, Formosa Plastics, Yuanta Financial, Nan Ya Plastics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): CTBC Financial, Winbond Electronics, King Yuan Electronics

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in CTBC Financial, Winbond Electronics, King Yuan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: AI-Related Stocks Taking Over

There could be 4 changes for the Top50 ETF. There is big flow for the forecast adds and big impact for the forecast deletes. Some of the stocks...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun26: TDIV DELs Rise from 3 to 4 as Anticipated; Final Expectations

In our last insight, we flagged TDIV member Makalot Industrial (1477 TT) as being close to the T100 deletion border. It has now crossed the border...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Apr): China Steel, Formosa Plastics, Yuanta Financial

We analyzed MS-Taiwan's consensus for Apr 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in China Steel, Formosa Plastics, Yuanta Financial, Nan Ya Plastics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 1st): CTBC Financial, Winbond Electronics, King Yuan Electronics

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in CTBC Financial, Winbond Electronics, King Yuan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun26: TDIV DELs Rise from 3 to 4 as Anticipated; Final Expectations