Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's March performance was -11.25%, compared with -7.75% for the benchmark index.  The Hang Seng Index lost 6.92% for the month.</li>
<li>Performance was hurt by its exposure to the oil equipment and fertilizer sectors, which normally benefit from higher energy prices. China imposed price and export restrictions in the energy sector.</li>
<li>At the end of March, we positioned the portfolio to better cope with the difficulties in China's economy and in the global market due to persistently high energy prices.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's March performance was -11.25%, compared with -7.75% for the benchmark index.  The Hang Seng Index lost 6.92% for the month.
Performance was hurt by its exposure to the oil equipment and fertilizer sectors, which normally benefit from higher energy prices. China imposed price and export restrictions in the energy sector.
At the end of March, we positioned the portfolio to better cope with the difficulties in China's economy and in the global market due to persistently high energy prices.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Since 2025, four H-share IPOs of the A-shares have been trading below their listing price.  They are either of slow growth or a light HA discount.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44279:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian (3288 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kin-yat-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13688:1" rel="noopener">Fibocom Wireless (638 HK)</a> are burdened by slow earnings, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45945:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (9927 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:942:1" rel="noopener">Joyson Electronics (699 HK)</a> are weighted down by light discount. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-longcheer-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36881:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Longcheer Technology (603341 CH</a><a target="_blank" rel="noopener"> )</a>'s H-share IPO appears attractive, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foods" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45241:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foods (MUYUAN HK)</a> may need a steeper discount given its weaker earnings.</li>
</ul>


Since 2025, four H-share IPOs of the A-shares have been trading below their listing price.  They are either of slow growth or a light HA discount.

Foshan Haitian (3288 HK) and Fibocom Wireless (638 HK) are burdened by slow earnings, while Seres Group (9927 HK) and Joyson Electronics (699 HK) are weighted down by light discount. 

Shanghai Longcheer Technology (603341 CH )'s H-share IPO appears attractive, while Muyuan Foods (MUYUAN HK) may need a steeper discount given its weaker earnings.


HK Strategy: What to Avoid in the H-Share IPO of A-Shares?

<ul>
<li>For the 16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year, the average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount is 9.1pp, with growth prospects remaining the key driver. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45390:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (6613 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortior-technology-shenzhen-co-ltd-e8c112a6-e6de-44cc-812a-084509c2cf7c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45496:1" rel="noopener">Fortior Technology (1304 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sicc-co-ltd-e5b2bacc-ed46-4d8e-bfb1-ff952e730eae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45752:1" rel="noopener">SICC (2631 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd-8806deaf-04c9-4411-b1ee-92e813b9c5e0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45955:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy (6031 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">CIG Shanghai (6166 HK)</a> are high-growth names with discount reduction.</li>
<li>Opportunities exist in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45945:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (9927 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:942:1" rel="noopener">Ningbo Joyson Electronic (699 HK)</a> as they are expected to post 30%+ EPS CAGR, yet the discount has widened. </li>
</ul>


For the 16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year, the average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount is 9.1pp, with growth prospects remaining the key driver. 

Lens Technology (6613 HK), Fortior Technology (1304 HK), SICC (2631 HK), Sany Heavy (6031 HK), and CIG Shanghai (6166 HK) are high-growth names with discount reduction.
Opportunities exist in Seres Group (9927 HK) and Ningbo Joyson Electronic (699 HK) as they are expected to post 30%+ EPS CAGR, yet the discount has widened. 


HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As

<ul>
<li>Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Stocks with the best growth are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-goldwind-science-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10112:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-equipment-intl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11104:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">CTG Duty Free (1880 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK)</a>.. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">CNBM (3323 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric (2727 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods (2648 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-ports-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:360:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> may upgrade. </li>
</ul>


Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.
Stocks with the best growth are Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK), Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK), Dongfang Electric (1072 HK), CTG Duty Free (1880 HK), and Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK).. 

CICC (3908 HK), CNBM (3323 HK), Shanghai Electric (2727 HK), Sinotrans (598 HK), Anjoy Foods (2648 HK), Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK), and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) may upgrade. 


China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

<ul>
<li>YTD, the share prices of the H-share IPOs of A-shares increased by an average of 30.2%, and the H-A discount narrowed by 14.8pp, but the range is wide.</li>
<li>The growth outlook, as reflected by the 3-year EPS CAGR, is the key driver for the performance and reduction in H-A share discounts.</li>
<li>Market cap, absolute PER multiples, and even relative PER ratios are not the major factors supporting their post-IPO performance.</li>
</ul>


YTD, the share prices of the H-share IPOs of A-shares increased by an average of 30.2%, and the H-A discount narrowed by 14.8pp, but the range is wide.
The growth outlook, as reflected by the 3-year EPS CAGR, is the key driver for the performance and reduction in H-A share discounts.
Market cap, absolute PER multiples, and even relative PER ratios are not the major factors supporting their post-IPO performance.


HK Strategy: How to Play the Future H IPOs of the As

China

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company Ltd. is a leading Chinese public company primarily engaged in the production and sale of condiments, food, and agricultural products. It is recognized as the world's largest manufacturer of soy sauce, with key products including soy sauce, oyster sauce, flavoring sauce, vinegar, and various compound seasonings. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food (3288 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food (3288 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (March 2026)

Guoquan Food announced that management sold a 4.74% stake at a discounted price of $3.8 to boost the liquidity of the shares. We viewed the move...

David Mudd

HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As

16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year have seen an average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount of 9.1pp, driven by growth prospects. Opportunities...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: How to Play the Future H IPOs of the As

H-share IPOs of A-shares have seen a 30.2% increase in share prices YTD, with a growth outlook driving performance and narrowing H-A discounts....

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (March 2026)

Guoquan Food announced that management sold a 4.74% stake at a discounted price of $3.8 to boost the liquidity of the shares. We viewed the move...

David Mudd

HK Strategy: What to Avoid in the H-Share IPO of A-Shares?

​Four H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 are trading below the listing price due to slow growth or a light discount. Meanwhile, Shanghai Longcheer...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: An Update on Playing the Future H IPOs of the As

​16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year have seen an average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount of 9.1pp, driven by growth prospects. Opportunities...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

​Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: How to Play the Future H IPOs of the As

​H-share IPOs of A-shares have seen a 30.2% increase in share prices YTD, with a growth outlook driving performance and narrowing H-A discounts....

Osbert Tang, CFA

Four H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 are trading below the listing price due to slow growth or a light discount. Meanwhile, Shanghai Longcheer...

16 H-share IPOs of A-shares this year have seen an average YTD narrowing in the H-A discount of 9.1pp, driven by growth prospects. Opportunities...

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

H-share IPOs of A-shares have seen a 30.2% increase in share prices YTD, with a growth outlook driving performance and narrowing H-A discounts....