Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Leading full-service brokerage firm in Vietnam. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Established in 1988, FPT’s main business is in software, information and system integration, telecommunications, and education.</li><li>With a presence in 26 countries and territories, FPT operates 178 offices and branches worldwide.</li><li>It also boasts a technology infrastructure that spans 59 of Vietnam’s 63 provinces and cities. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Established in 1988, FPT’s main business is in software, information and system integration, telecommunications, and education.With a presence in 26 countries and territories, FPT operates 178 offices and branches worldwide.It also boasts a technology infrastructure that spans 59 of Vietnam’s 63 provinces and cities. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FPT Corporation - Piloting New Growth Initiatives

<ul><li>9M24 results in line with expectation: In 9M24 and 3Q24, FPT Corporation enjoyed strong financial performance, with revenue reaching VND45,241bn (+19.3% YoY) and pre-tax profit (PBT) (+19.8% YoY) reaching VND8,111bn.</li><li>The IT Services segment drove growth, with global IT operations contributing FPT group’s 50.1% of revenue and 45% of PBT, achieving robust gains (revenue: +28.6% YoY, PBT: +25.6% YoY).</li><li>Meanwhile, domestic IT saw modest revenue growth of 8.3% YoY with a PBT decline of 21% YoY. </li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

9M24 results in line with expectation: In 9M24 and 3Q24, FPT Corporation enjoyed strong financial performance, with revenue reaching VND45,241bn (+19.3% YoY) and pre-tax profit (PBT) (+19.8% YoY) reaching VND8,111bn.The IT Services segment drove growth, with global IT operations contributing FPT group’s 50.1% of revenue and 45% of PBT, achieving robust gains (revenue: +28.6% YoY, PBT: +25.6% YoY).Meanwhile, domestic IT saw modest revenue growth of 8.3% YoY with a PBT decline of 21% YoY. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FPT Corp (FPT VN / TRADING BUY) - 9M24 Update - Global Revenue Overtakes Domestic in 9M24

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>On October 21, the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HSX) will release the changes to the constituent stocks and calculation factors for VNDiamond Index baskets with these adjustments, effective from November 4, 2024.</li><li>Consequently, November 1, 2024 will be the last trading day for ETFs, following the VN-Diamond Index’s rebalancing of their portfolios</li><li>HSX has approved Decision No. 502/QD-SGDHCM, which replaces version 2.1 with version 3.0 of the "Vietnam Diamond Index" construction and management rules, effective from the October 2024 review period.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

On October 21, the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HSX) will release the changes to the constituent stocks and calculation factors for VNDiamond Index baskets with these adjustments, effective from November 4, 2024.Consequently, November 1, 2024 will be the last trading day for ETFs, following the VN-Diamond Index’s rebalancing of their portfoliosHSX has approved Decision No. 502/QD-SGDHCM, which replaces version 2.1 with version 3.0 of the "Vietnam Diamond Index" construction and management rules, effective from the October 2024 review period.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Forecast VNDiamond Index Review in 4Q24 - Sep 26, 2024

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Vietnam has achieved a significant milestone, with over one-third of Asia Ex-Japan funds now invested in the country for the first time in our holdings history.</li>
<li>Average fund weights hit a new high of 1.01% last month, as an additional 5.1% of funds opened exposure in 2024.</li>
<li>Notable fund-level activity in 2024 includes new positions from JP Morgan and Fidelity, with the most optimistic investors assigning over a 10% weight to Vietnam.</li>
</ul>


Vietnam has achieved a significant milestone, with over one-third of Asia Ex-Japan funds now invested in the country for the first time in our holdings history.
Average fund weights hit a new high of 1.01% last month, as an additional 5.1% of funds opened exposure in 2024.
Notable fund-level activity in 2024 includes new positions from JP Morgan and Fidelity, with the most optimistic investors assigning over a 10% weight to Vietnam.


Vietnam:  2024 Rotation Drives Record Fund Ownership

Vietnam

FPT Corp is an information and communication technology company. The Company provides services in mobile distribution, systems integration, software outsourcing and development, Internet and e-media content, and computer assembly.

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FPT Corp (FPT VN)

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

FPT Corporation - Piloting New Growth Initiatives

Established in 1988, FPT’s main business is in software, information and system integration, telecommunications, and education.

Mirae Asset Securities

FPT Corp (FPT VN / TRADING BUY) - 9M24 Update - Global Revenue Overtakes Domestic in 9M24

In 9M24 and 3Q24, FPT Corporation enjoyed strong financial performance, with revenue reaching VND45,241bn (+19.3% YoY) and pre-tax profit (PBT)...

Mirae Asset Securities

Forecast VNDiamond Index Review in 4Q24 - Sep 26, 2024

On October 21, the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HSX) will release the changes to the constituent stocks and calculation factors for VNDiamond...

Mirae Asset Securities

Vietnam: 2024 Rotation Drives Record Fund Ownership

Vietnam has achieved a significant milestone, with over one-third of Asia Ex-Japan funds now invested in the country for the first time in our...

Steven Holden

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