Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

Frasers Centrepoint Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As discussed, Singapore 3M Sora has steeply declined from 3.034% in January to 1.563% in September. </li>
<li>Based on % floating rate debt, currency mix, and debt expiry profile, FCT SP will benefit the most among most S-REIT peers</li>
<li>FCT SP fundamentals remain solid, recording a 0.5% DPU growth and 9% rental reversion across its retail portfolio, in 1H 2025</li>
</ul>


As discussed, Singapore 3M Sora has steeply declined from 3.034% in January to 1.563% in September. 
Based on % floating rate debt, currency mix, and debt expiry profile, FCT SP will benefit the most among most S-REIT peers
FCT SP fundamentals remain solid, recording a 0.5% DPU growth and 9% rental reversion across its retail portfolio, in 1H 2025


FCT SP: One of the Top Beneficiaries from Singapore Rate Steep Decline

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Nicholas Tan

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Frasers Centrepoint Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a>  aims to raise around US$153m in order to partly fund its full acquisition of Northpoint City South Wing.</li>
<li>This will complement the company’s operations of the Northpoint City North Wing and consolidate the entire Northpoint City under its ownership.</li>
<li>In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)  aims to raise around US$153m in order to partly fund its full acquisition of Northpoint City South Wing.
This will complement the company’s operations of the Northpoint City North Wing and consolidate the entire Northpoint City under its ownership.
In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Frasers Centrepoint Trust Placement: Not a Whole Lot of DPU Accretion

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&amp;A and recovery in physical real estate market</li>
<li>3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations</li>
<li>The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle</li>
</ul>


We think Singapore REITs are positioned for a re-rating on the back of multiple catalysts: interest rate decline, accelerated M&amp;A and recovery in physical real estate market
3M SORA has declined sharply from 3.034% in January to 1.32% in November.  The steep decline in rates will boost earnings and result in more favorable REIT valuations
The physical market in Singapore is also recovering, especially in the office and residential market.  We think CICT, FCT, and UOL are well positioned to benefit from this cycle


LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>The upcoming Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System and the ease of cross-border movements could impact Singapore’s retail sector as more consumers may choose to spend across the border.</li>
<li>DFI Retail CEO cited this as rationale for exiting Singapore based grocery retail business under Cold Storage and Giant's brands. Sheng Siong group said it will carefully monitor this development.</li>
<li>Singapore retail prices for branded consumer discretionary and staples are between 30%-50% higher than in Malaysia. With greater ease of commute and shipping, this price differential may not be sustainable.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System and the ease of cross-border movements could impact Singapore’s retail sector as more consumers may choose to spend across the border.
DFI Retail CEO cited this as rationale for exiting Singapore based grocery retail business under Cold Storage and Giant's brands. Sheng Siong group said it will carefully monitor this development.
Singapore retail prices for branded consumer discretionary and staples are between 30%-50% higher than in Malaysia. With greater ease of commute and shipping, this price differential may not be sustainable.


Singapore Retail Sector: Will It Be Impacted by Improved Connectivity with Malaysia?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-straits-times-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35880:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP)</a> will need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a> at the close of trading on 15 March.</li>
<li>Other global index trackers will need to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> at the close on 15 March.</li>
<li>There will be around US$55m to sell across both lines and varying liquidity has opened up a huge spread between the listings.</li>
</ul>


The SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP) will need to sell Emperador (EMI SP) at the close of trading on 15 March.
Other global index trackers will need to sell Emperador (EMP PM) at the close on 15 March.
There will be around US$55m to sell across both lines and varying liquidity has opened up a huge spread between the listings.


STTF Index Rebalance: The Widening Emperador Spread

Singapore

Frasers Centrepoint Trust is a retail real estate investment trust focused on growing unitholder value through asset management, financial management and strategic investments.  The trust invests in retail properties in Singapore and overseas.

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Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)

FCT SP: One of the Top Beneficiaries from Singapore Rate Steep Decline

Besides CICT, we think FCT SP will benefit the most from 3M SORA decline, based on debt currency mix, proportion of floating rate debt, and debt...

Jacob Cheng

Frasers Centrepoint Trust Placement: Not a Whole Lot of DPU Accretion

Frasers Centrepoint aims to raise around US$153m in order to partly fund its full acquisition of Northpoint City South Wing. In this note, we...

Nicholas Tan

LONG Singapore REITs: Capturing the Yield Compression Cycle and Asset Recycling Renaissance

We think Singapore REITs are well positioned for a re-rating, on the back of steep interest rate decline, accelerated M&As and recovery in the...

Jacob Cheng

Singapore Retail Sector: Will It Be Impacted by Improved Connectivity with Malaysia?

Singapore's branded consumer retail margins and retail rental yield are at risk when easier border crossing access to Malaysia could prompt more...

Devi Subhakesan

STTF Index Rebalance: The Widening Emperador Spread

The STTF ETF will need to sell Singapore listed Emperador at the close on 15 March. Global passive portfolios will be selling Emperador in the...

Brian Freitas

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