SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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 <div class='content-caption'>REIT Watch 4 July</div>
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The iEdge S-Reit Index held resilient for the first half of 2022, generating flat total returns compared to the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index (a benchmark for global Reits) which declined 18 per cent.

During the period, the S-Reits and property trusts sector in Singapore saw S$359 million of net institutional outflows and S$447 million of net retail inflows.

Hospitality was the best performing sub-segment in H1 2022. The 5 hospitality trusts averaged 17 per cent total returns and garnered S$62 million of net institutional inflows.

Aside from hospitality trusts, diversified S-Reits and some industrial and retail S-Reits were also among the top performing S-Reits in the first half of 2022. The 9 trusts which outperformed the broader iEdge S-Reit Index in H1 2022 include Frasers Hospitality Trust (+52.2 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (+12.5 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (+11.3 per cent), CDL Hospitality Trusts (+11.3 per cent), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (+11.2 per cent), Suntec Reit (+10.3 per cent), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (+6.6 per cent), Sabana Industrial Reit (+5.9 per cent) and Frasers Centrepoint Trust (+1.7 per cent).

Lendlease Global Commercial Reit was the only S-Reit which received both net institutional and retail inflows for the first half of 2022. It saw S$5 million of net institutional inflows and S$11 million of net retail inflows.

While the first quarter of the year was largely driven by hospitality trusts and the reopening theme, performance was mixed in Q2 2022. The 5 best performing trusts in Q2 2022 include Frasers Hospitality Trust (+32.3 per cent), ParkwayLife Reit (+3.6 per cent), Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (+2.6 per cent), Dasin Retail Trust (+1.6 per cent) and Ascott Residence Trust (+0.9 per cent).

The iEdge S-Reit Index dipped 1.3 per cent in total returns in Q2 2022 while the sector as a whole saw S$173 million of net institutional outflows and S$282 million of net retail inflows. ESR-Logos Reit was the only S-Reit which received both net institutional and retail inflows for Q1 2022. It saw S$2 million of net institutional inflows and S$10 million of net retail inflows.

Inflows into the 5 SGX-listed Reit exchange traded funds (ETFs) hit a record in June 2022, with S$60 million of inflows over the month. This topped the previous record inflow of S$34 million in March 2020, near the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. Across H1 2022, the 5 ETFs received S$113 million of inflows and saw combined asset under management (AUM) rising S$63 million, hitting S$874 million as at end June. 

REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/s-reits-shelter-from-the-storm-in-h1-2022">read </a>the original version.
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    REIT Watch 4 July


The iEdge S-Reit Index held resilient for the first half of 2022, generating flat total returns compared to the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index (a benchmark for global Reits) which declined 18 per cent.

During the period, the S-Reits and property trusts sector in Singapore saw S$359 million of net institutional outflows and S$447 million of net retail inflows.

Hospitality was the best performing sub-segment in H1 2022. The 5 hospitality trusts averaged 17 per cent total returns and garnered S$62 million of net institutional inflows.

Aside from hospitality trusts, diversified S-Reits and some industrial and retail S-Reits were also among the top performing S-Reits in the first half of 2022. The 9 trusts which outperformed the broader iEdge S-Reit Index in H1 2022 include Frasers Hospitality Trust (+52.2 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (+12.5 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (+11.3 per cent), CDL Hospitality Trusts (+11.3 per cent), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (+11.2 per cent), Suntec Reit (+10.3 per cent), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (+6.6 per cent), Sabana Industrial Reit (+5.9 per cent) and Frasers Centrepoint Trust (+1.7 per cent).

Lendlease Global Commercial Reit was the only S-Reit which received both net institutional and retail inflows for the first half of 2022. It saw S$5 million of net institutional inflows and S$11 million of net retail inflows.

While the first quarter of the year was largely driven by hospitality trusts and the reopening theme, performance was mixed in Q2 2022. The 5 best performing trusts in Q2 2022 include Frasers Hospitality Trust (+32.3 per cent), ParkwayLife Reit (+3.6 per cent), Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (+2.6 per cent), Dasin Retail Trust (+1.6 per cent) and Ascott Residence Trust (+0.9 per cent).

The iEdge S-Reit Index dipped 1.3 per cent in total returns in Q2 2022 while the sector as a whole saw S$173 million of net institutional outflows and S$282 million of net retail inflows. ESR-Logos Reit was the only S-Reit which received both net institutional and retail inflows for Q1 2022. It saw S$2 million of net institutional inflows and S$10 million of net retail inflows.

Inflows into the 5 SGX-listed Reit exchange traded funds (ETFs) hit a record in June 2022, with S$60 million of inflows over the month. This topped the previous record inflow of S$34 million in March 2020, near the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. Across H1 2022, the 5 ETFs received S$113 million of inflows and saw combined asset under management (AUM) rising S$63 million, hitting S$874 million as at end June. 

REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits - shelter from the storm in H1 2022

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 46 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deals this week: Cooke's rejected Offer for Tasmanian salmon producer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>
</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>
</li>
</ul>


There are 46 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deals this week: Cooke's rejected Offer for Tasmanian salmon producer Tassal (TGR AU)

Key updates took place for: Link Administration (LNK AU), Link Net (LINK IJ), and Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Tassal, Toshiba, Link Admin, Link Net

<ul>
<li>For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$8bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in June was ~32%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$8bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in June was ~32%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>The highest spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excelpoint-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1774:1" rel="noopener">Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
The highest spreads are Sezzle Inc (SZL AU), Link Administration (LNK AU), 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU), Resapp Health (RAP AU).
Lowest gross spreads are Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP), AKM Industrial (1639 HK), Irongate Group (IAP AU), Giordano International (709 HK), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU), Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP).


Merger Arb Mondays (27 Jun) - Ramsay Health, Link Admin, Link Net, True/DTAC, ResApp, Giordano

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

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 <div class='content-caption'>REIT Watch 27 Jun</div>
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In Q2 2022 to date, the Straits Times Index (STI) has generated an 8 per cent decline in total returns, while the FTSE Developed Index declined 16 per cent. The iEdge S-Reit Index maintained resilience with a 2 per cent decline in total returns, while the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index (a benchmark for global Reits) declined 15 per cent.

For the quarter-to-date, Singapore stocks have seen S$1.05 billion of net institutional outflows, reducing the 2022 year-to-date (YTD) net institutional inflow to S$74 million.

The technology sector has continued to weigh on global stocks, with hospitality and real estate also lagging. Banks, technology, and Reits have now booked the most net institutional outflows across the sectors in 2022 YTD. In the YTD, STI’s total returns have maintained at 1 per cent and iEdge S-Reit Index has declined 0.8 per cent. The FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index declined 18 per cent in the YTD.

From an SGX Research market update last week, the 20 stocks among the most actively traded Singapore stocks that booked the highest net institutional inflows in the YTD proportionate to their current market capitalisation included 5 S-Reits. These 20 stocks averaged 22 per cent total returns in the YTD. The 5 S-Reits were Ascott Residence Trust, Suntec Reit, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Frasers Hospitality Trust, and Keppel Reit. These 5 S-Reits averaged 18 per cent total returns in the YTD and saw combined net institutional inflows exceeding S$300 million.

Over the past 5 trading sessions through to Jun 23, institutional investors were net buyers of Singapore stocks with S$116 million of net inflows, following S$166 million in net outflows for the preceding 5 sessions. The top 5 stocks with the highest net institutional inflows were DBS, Singtel, CapitaLand Investment, Digital Core Reit and Hongkong Land.

Digital Core Reit in its Q1 2022 business update reported a 2 per cent increase in distributable income versus its IPO forecast. In April 2022, Digital Core Reit’s fifth-largest customer, a privately held IT service provider in Toronto, filed for bankruptcy protection. The Reit manager expects to be able to back-fill this capacity, given the tight market conditions in Toronto and updated that the customer event is not expected to impact distribution per unit.

In terms of director acquisitions over the past week, United Hampshire US Reit (UHReit) Management’s non-independent non-executive director David Tuvia Goss on Jun 20 and 22 acquired 500,000 units of UHReit : ODBU 0% at an average price of 60.9 US cents per unit.

UHReit is the first US grocery-anchored shopping centre and self-storage Reit to list in Singapore, and back in May reported Q1 2022 distributable income of US$8.1 million, 7.9 per cent higher than Q1 2021. UHReit completed its inaugural acquisitions of Colonial Square on Nov 12, 2021 and Penrose Plaza on Nov 24, 2021, with both acquisitions contributing positively to Q1 2022 distributable income.

REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/five-s-reits-drawing-net-institutional-inflows-in-2022-year-to-date">read </a>the original version.
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    REIT Watch 27 Jun


In Q2 2022 to date, the Straits Times Index (STI) has generated an 8 per cent decline in total returns, while the FTSE Developed Index declined 16 per cent. The iEdge S-Reit Index maintained resilience with a 2 per cent decline in total returns, while the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index (a benchmark for global Reits) declined 15 per cent.

For the quarter-to-date, Singapore stocks have seen S$1.05 billion of net institutional outflows, reducing the 2022 year-to-date (YTD) net institutional inflow to S$74 million.

The technology sector has continued to weigh on global stocks, with hospitality and real estate also lagging. Banks, technology, and Reits have now booked the most net institutional outflows across the sectors in 2022 YTD. In the YTD, STI’s total returns have maintained at 1 per cent and iEdge S-Reit Index has declined 0.8 per cent. The FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index declined 18 per cent in the YTD.

From an SGX Research market update last week, the 20 stocks among the most actively traded Singapore stocks that booked the highest net institutional inflows in the YTD proportionate to their current market capitalisation included 5 S-Reits. These 20 stocks averaged 22 per cent total returns in the YTD. The 5 S-Reits were Ascott Residence Trust, Suntec Reit, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Frasers Hospitality Trust, and Keppel Reit. These 5 S-Reits averaged 18 per cent total returns in the YTD and saw combined net institutional inflows exceeding S$300 million.

Over the past 5 trading sessions through to Jun 23, institutional investors were net buyers of Singapore stocks with S$116 million of net inflows, following S$166 million in net outflows for the preceding 5 sessions. The top 5 stocks with the highest net institutional inflows were DBS, Singtel, CapitaLand Investment, Digital Core Reit and Hongkong Land.

Digital Core Reit in its Q1 2022 business update reported a 2 per cent increase in distributable income versus its IPO forecast. In April 2022, Digital Core Reit’s fifth-largest customer, a privately held IT service provider in Toronto, filed for bankruptcy protection. The Reit manager expects to be able to back-fill this capacity, given the tight market conditions in Toronto and updated that the customer event is not expected to impact distribution per unit.

In terms of director acquisitions over the past week, United Hampshire US Reit (UHReit) Management’s non-independent non-executive director David Tuvia Goss on Jun 20 and 22 acquired 500,000 units of UHReit : ODBU 0% at an average price of 60.9 US cents per unit.

UHReit is the first US grocery-anchored shopping centre and self-storage Reit to list in Singapore, and back in May reported Q1 2022 distributable income of US$8.1 million, 7.9 per cent higher than Q1 2021. UHReit completed its inaugural acquisitions of Colonial Square on Nov 12, 2021 and Penrose Plaza on Nov 24, 2021, with both acquisitions contributing positively to Q1 2022 distributable income.

REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - Five S-Reits drawing net institutional inflows in 2022 year to date

Singapore

Frasers Hospitality Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Trust owns, operates and invests in hotels and serviced residences.

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Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)

REIT Watch - S-Reits - shelter from the storm in H1 2022

The iEdge S-Reit Index held resilient for the first half of 2022, generating flat total returns compared to the FTSE EPRA...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Tassal, Toshiba, Link Admin, Link Net

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A: June 2022 Roundup

For the month of June, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$12bn. The...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (27 Jun) - Ramsay Health, Link Admin, Link Net, True/DTAC, ResApp, Giordano

This week, the highest gross spreads are Sezzle (74.8%), Link Admin (49.1%), VNET (27.8%), Alliance Aviation (26.0%), Ramsay (22.4%), ResApp...

Arun George

REIT Watch - Five S-Reits drawing net institutional inflows in 2022 year to date

In Q2 2022 to date, the Straits Times Index (STI) has generated an 8 per cent decline in total returns, while the FTSE...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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