Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Fresnillo plc reported its preliminary results for the fiscal year 2024, revealing a mixed performance that highlights both strengths and challenges faced by the company.</li><li>Production has stabilized across its operations after overcoming significant operational challenges, such as declining ore grades and increased dilution in some mine sites.</li><li>The company also navigated external pressures like inflation and labor reforms in Mexico, impacting its contractor-based workforce model.</li></ul>

Fresnillo plc reported its preliminary results for the fiscal year 2024, revealing a mixed performance that highlights both strengths and challenges faced by the company.Production has stabilized across its operations after overcoming significant operational challenges, such as declining ore grades and increased dilution in some mine sites.The company also navigated external pressures like inflation and labor reforms in Mexico, impacting its contractor-based workforce model.

Fresnillo Plc: Initiation of Coverage- An Insight into Its Strategic CapEx

Materials| Industrials |Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Silver prices have rallied 20% YTD to $35.60/oz, supported by strong industrial demand and a persistent market deficit.</li>
<li>Despite being a small market compared to gold and copper, silver offers niche exposure through major producers like Hindustan Zinc, Fresnillo, and Pan American.</li>
<li>Structural undersupply, driven by green tech and limited new mine capacity, positions silver as a high-beta hedge and a strategic long-term play.</li>
</ul>


Silver prices have rallied 20% YTD to $35.60/oz, supported by strong industrial demand and a persistent market deficit.
Despite being a small market compared to gold and copper, silver offers niche exposure through major producers like Hindustan Zinc, Fresnillo, and Pan American.
Structural undersupply, driven by green tech and limited new mine capacity, positions silver as a high-beta hedge and a strategic long-term play.


Silver Market Snapshot: Rising Prices, Industrial Tailwinds, and Strategic Exposure

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Silver hits 11-year high amidst supply-demand dynamics and geo-political uncertainty.</li>
<li>Rising industrial demand, particularly in green tech, and tightening supply forecast a sustained rally.</li>
<li>Global deficit remains substantial, forecasted to continue, while mine production declines.</li>
</ul>


Silver hits 11-year high amidst supply-demand dynamics and geo-political uncertainty.
Rising industrial demand, particularly in green tech, and tightening supply forecast a sustained rally.
Global deficit remains substantial, forecasted to continue, while mine production declines.


Silver's Record-Breaking Rally: Insights and Analysis

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is one add, one delete, one listing change, plus float and capping changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.1% and that results in a one-way trade of US$240m. There are 31 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>There will be some same way and some opposite flows between the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51)</a> trackers at the close on 15 September.</li>
</ul>


There is one add, one delete, one listing change, plus float and capping changes for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.1% and that results in a one-way trade of US$240m. There are 31 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
There will be some same way and some opposite flows between the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51) trackers at the close on 15 September.


MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: One Add, One Delete, Float, Capping = Big Impact

Mexico

Fresnillo plc is a silver and gold mining and exploration company.  The Company owns and operates silver and gold mines in Mexico.  Fresnillo also holds a portfolio of development and exploration projects located along the silver and gold belts of Mexico.

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Fresnillo PLC (FRES LN)

Fresnillo Plc: Initiation of Coverage- An Insight into Its Strategic CapEx

Fresnillo plc reported its preliminary results for the fiscal year 2024, revealing a mixed performance that highlights both strengths and...

Baptista Research

Silver Market Snapshot: Rising Prices, Industrial Tailwinds, and Strategic Exposure

Silver prices have surged due to industrial demand and market deficit, making it a niche investment opportunity with potential for long-term growth.

Rahul Jain

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Silver's Record-Breaking Rally: Insights and Analysis

Silver, soaring to an 11-year high, rides a wave of global demand fueled by supply deficits, geopolitical tensions, and surging industrial usage.

Sudarshan Bhandari

MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: One Add, One Delete, Float, Capping = Big Impact

There is 1 add and 1 delete for the GDXJ in September. Float + capping changes result in a one-way trade of US$240m. There will be some same-way...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Fresnillo Plc: Initiation of Coverage- An Insight into Its Strategic CapEx

Fresnillo plc reported its preliminary results for the fiscal year 2024, revealing a mixed performance that highlights both strengths and...

Baptista Research

Silver Market Snapshot: Rising Prices, Industrial Tailwinds, and Strategic Exposure

​Silver prices have surged due to industrial demand and market deficit, making it a niche investment opportunity with potential for long-term growth.

Rahul Jain

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Silver's Record-Breaking Rally: Insights and Analysis

Silver, soaring to an 11-year high, rides a wave of global demand fueled by supply deficits, geopolitical tensions, and surging industrial usage.

Sudarshan Bhandari

MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: One Add, One Delete, Float, Capping = Big Impact

There is 1 add and 1 delete for the GDXJ in September. Float + capping changes result in a one-way trade of US$240m. There will be some same-way...

Brian Freitas

Silver prices have surged due to industrial demand and market deficit, making it a niche investment opportunity with potential for long-term growth.