Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Although the Fed paused rate hikes in July 2023, the dollar remained strong buoyed by the US economy outperforming other advanced economies.  </li>
<li>A strong dollar usually benefits domestic businesses and small caps but hurts export-focused companies and large caps in the US.</li>
<li>The current account deficits of emerging nations have been worsening due to the strong dollar and rising energy prices.</li>
</ul>


Although the Fed paused rate hikes in July 2023, the dollar remained strong buoyed by the US economy outperforming other advanced economies.  
A strong dollar usually benefits domestic businesses and small caps but hurts export-focused companies and large caps in the US.
The current account deficits of emerging nations have been worsening due to the strong dollar and rising energy prices.


Dominant Dollar (Part 1): Strong Greenback Deters EM Equities

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

<ul>
<li>China's Local Government Financing Vehicles remain a major obstacle to faster GDP growth and confirm that the country is quickly reaching its debt limits.</li>
<li>A lack of liquidity has kept Chinese stocks from rallying even though central authorities have deployed a massive amount of targeted stimulus measures</li>
<li>My new Bitcoin price projection is between USD 224K and USD 288K, two to seven years from now. </li>
</ul>


China's Local Government Financing Vehicles remain a major obstacle to faster GDP growth and confirm that the country is quickly reaching its debt limits.
A lack of liquidity has kept Chinese stocks from rallying even though central authorities have deployed a massive amount of targeted stimulus measures
My new Bitcoin price projection is between USD 224K and USD 288K, two to seven years from now. 


Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>We have used the 2007 = 2023 analogy a few times already this year and we continue to find coincidental evidence that looks a lot like the emerging pressures built up in the quarters preceding the financial crisis.</li><li>The outcome of 2024 is still up in the air, but credit indicators do not look pretty ahead of next year when we combine the impulse in China, the US and the Euro area in an aggregate model and judging from the central bank behavior, we see a lot of similarities to 2007 across the BoJ, the Fed and the ECB.</li><li>Let’s briefly explain why in this central bank watch piece! </li></ul>

We have used the 2007 = 2023 analogy a few times already this year and we continue to find coincidental evidence that looks a lot like the emerging pressures built up in the quarters preceding the financial crisis.The outcome of 2024 is still up in the air, but credit indicators do not look pretty ahead of next year when we combine the impulse in China, the US and the Euro area in an aggregate model and judging from the central bank behavior, we see a lot of similarities to 2007 across the BoJ, the Fed and the ECB.Let’s briefly explain why in this central bank watch piece! 

G3 Central Bank Watch: More Fuel to the 2007 = 2023 Analogy

Global Commodities, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Global Commodities

<ul>
<li>US equities were on a tear last week. Asian equities were buoyant but less muted. </li>
<li>Commodity majors were on a retreat. Gold, Silver, Oil, and Copper retreated on geopolitical conflicts that appears to be contained.</li>
<li>SLOOS reported tighter standards and weaker demand for commercial and industrial  loans to firms of all sizes over the third quarter.</li>
</ul>


US equities were on a tear last week. Asian equities were buoyant but less muted. 
Commodity majors were on a retreat. Gold, Silver, Oil, and Copper retreated on geopolitical conflicts that appears to be contained.
SLOOS reported tighter standards and weaker demand for commercial and industrial  loans to firms of all sizes over the third quarter.


[TW2] The Week That Was in Markets in 11 Charts (W/E 11th Nov 2023)

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>HSI has been our top short bet where we locked in some short gains at 18,100/300 and now see this bounce as an opportunity to re set the HSI short.</li>
<li>Underlying weakness in China A shares sets the tone for HK.</li>
<li>Trend and price resistance at 19,300/500 stand out as a key turn zone with a little help from an SPX give back sequence.</li>
</ul>


HSI has been our top short bet where we locked in some short gains at 18,100/300 and now see this bounce as an opportunity to re set the HSI short.
Underlying weakness in China A shares sets the tone for HK.
Trend and price resistance at 19,300/500 stand out as a key turn zone with a little help from an SPX give back sequence.


China

The FTSE China A50 Index includes the largest 50 A Share Chinese companies by total market cap. 

FTSE China A50 Index (XIN9I INDEX)

Dominant Dollar (Part 1): Strong Greenback Deters EM Equities

The strong dollar post-Fed rate pause in July 2023 benefits US economy but hurts export-focused businesses and emerging nations' current account...

Mint Finance

China Blues, Bitcoin Booms!

China's economic woes are far from over, and Local Government Financing Vehicles are struggling. On the bright side, my Bitcoin price projection is...

Jeroen Blokland

G3 Central Bank Watch: More Fuel to the 2007 = 2023 Analogy

The outcome of 2024 is still up in the air, but credit indicators do not look pretty ahead of next year when we combine the impulse in China, the...

Steno Research

[TW2] The Week That Was in Markets in 11 Charts (W/E 11th Nov 2023)

Each Monday, we take stock of key news in markets across major economies & firms. US equity markets rallied strongly while commodity majors...

Mint Finance

Dominant Dollar (Part 1): Strong Greenback Deters EM Equities

​The strong dollar post-Fed rate pause in July 2023 benefits US economy but hurts export-focused businesses and emerging nations' current account...

Mint Finance

China Blues, Bitcoin Booms!

China's economic woes are far from over, and Local Government Financing Vehicles are struggling. On the bright side, my Bitcoin price projection is...

Jeroen Blokland

G3 Central Bank Watch: More Fuel to the 2007 = 2023 Analogy

The outcome of 2024 is still up in the air, but credit indicators do not look pretty ahead of next year when we combine the impulse in China, the...

Steno Research

[TW2] The Week That Was in Markets in 11 Charts (W/E 11th Nov 2023)

Each Monday, we take stock of key news in markets across major economies & firms. US equity markets rallied strongly while commodity majors...

Mint Finance

HSI Trailing A Share Weakness

HSI has been our top short bet where we locked in some short gains at 18,100/300 and now see this bounce as an opportunity to re set the HSI short.

Thomas Schroeder

The strong dollar post-Fed rate pause in July 2023 benefits US economy but hurts export-focused businesses and emerging nations' current account...