European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since mid-November, spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (9 have tightened, 10 widened).</li>
<li>Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen (still the most interesting situation).</li>
<li>Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs, Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-November, spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (9 have tightened, 10 widened).
Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen (still the most interesting situation).
Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs, Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: December‘23 Report

<ul>
<li>Since mid-June, share price spreads have generally widened across the European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares, with 6 tightening and 13 widening.</li>
<li>The premium of non-voting, less liquid Handelsbanken B shares vs. A has widened to 59.2%; the discount of Grifols B has widened (Brookfield’s approach remains tentative and non-committal).</li>
<li>Recommended trades long preferred/short ords: Atlas Copco, BMW, Grifols, MFE Media-for-Europe. Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Handelsbanken, Henkel.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-June, share price spreads have generally widened across the European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares, with 6 tightening and 13 widening.
The premium of non-voting, less liquid Handelsbanken B shares vs. A has widened to 59.2%; the discount of Grifols B has widened (Brookfield’s approach remains tentative and non-committal).
Recommended trades long preferred/short ords: Atlas Copco, BMW, Grifols, MFE Media-for-Europe. Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Handelsbanken, Henkel.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: July '25 Report

Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils prices edge lower vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, stay well below recent highs in Q2 2025.</li><li>Lower base oils margins coincide with time of year when supply-demand fundamentals typically weaken.</li><li>Even at lower levels, base oils margins hold at levels that curb incentive for refiners to adjust output.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices edge lower vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, stay well below recent highs in Q2 2025.Lower base oils margins coincide with time of year when supply-demand fundamentals typically weaken.Even at lower levels, base oils margins hold at levels that curb incentive for refiners to adjust output.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 14 July

<ul><li>Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold unusually firm versus vacuum gasoil at start of Q3 2025.</li><li>Europe’s Group II base oils price-differentials hold unusually firm vs Group I and Group III base oils at start of Q3 2025.</li><li>Europe’s Group II base oils price-premium to Asia/US prices trends higher from early-Q2 2025.</li></ul>

Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold unusually firm versus vacuum gasoil at start of Q3 2025.Europe’s Group II base oils price-differentials hold unusually firm vs Group I and Group III base oils at start of Q3 2025.Europe’s Group II base oils price-premium to Asia/US prices trends higher from early-Q2 2025.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 14 July

<ul><li>US Group II base oils price-premium to heating oil edges lower, stays in narrow range since start of Q2 2025.</li><li>Base oils price-premium stays rangebound even with expected improvement in supply and slowdown in demand in coming weeks.</li><li>US base oils supply could rise more swiftly in coming weeks following completion of plant-maintenance work.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils price-premium to heating oil edges lower, stays in narrow range since start of Q2 2025.Base oils price-premium stays rangebound even with expected improvement in supply and slowdown in demand in coming weeks.US base oils supply could rise more swiftly in coming weeks following completion of plant-maintenance work.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 14 July

Germany

FUCHS SE manufactures lubricants and related specialty products. The Company refines and produces industrial and automotive lubricants, hydraulic oils, greases, and polishing products, as well as biodegradable oils. FUCHS markets its products worldwide.

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FUCHS (FPE GR)

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: December‘23 Report

Since mid-November, spreads have generally widened across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (9 have tightened, 10...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: July '25 Report

Since mid-June, share price spreads have generally widened across the European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares, with 6 tightening...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 14 July

Global base oils prices edge lower vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, stay well below recent highs in Q2 2025. Lower base oils margins coincide...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 14 July

Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold unusually firm versus vacuum gasoil at start of Q3 2025. Europe’s Group II base oils price-differentials...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 14 July

US Group II base oils price-premium to heating oil edges lower, stays in narrow range since start of Q2 2025. Base oils price-premium stays...

Base Oil News

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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