Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Currently seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlight: Currently seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (18 Aug)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlight: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (11 Aug)

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Big capex plans for Google and good numbers for SK Hynix setting strong tone for AI related.</li>
<li>Momo names slid yesterday, although Ishiba heading for door may pressure heavies further.</li>
<li>Autos squeezed hard yesterday, but there should be more upside for names with elevated SI still.</li>
</ul>


Big capex plans for Google and good numbers for SK Hynix setting strong tone for AI related.
Momo names slid yesterday, although Ishiba heading for door may pressure heavies further.
Autos squeezed hard yesterday, but there should be more upside for names with elevated SI still.


Japan Morning Connection: US Liking JP and Expected EU Trade Deals, Expect Flows Back in Tech

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to raise US$1.2bn by offloading their entire stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor</a> by way of a secondary offering.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> stock is flat since the announcement of the placement but has underperformed its peers and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>With the placement being less than 5% of the number of shares outstanding, there is unlikely to be any immediate passive inflow which could pressure the stock.</li>
</ul>


Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to raise US$1.2bn by offloading their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor by way of a secondary offering.

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) stock is flat since the announcement of the placement but has underperformed its peers and the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX). 
With the placement being less than 5% of the number of shares outstanding, there is unlikely to be any immediate passive inflow which could pressure the stock.


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Likely to Price Today; 7-8% Underperformance Vs Peers/TOPIX

<ul>
<li>Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to offload their entire stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuki-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:732:1" rel="noopener">Suzuki Motor (7269 JP)</a> by way of a secondary offering.</li>
<li>With the size of the secondary offering less than 5% of the number of shares, there could be no index buying in the short-term and that will pressure the stock.</li>
<li>If the overallotment option is exercised and the seller of the shares is currently considered as non-float, there could be small passive buying in the short-term.</li>
</ul>


Tokio Marine &amp; Nichido Fire Insurance and Sompo Japan Insurance are looking to offload their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) by way of a secondary offering.
With the size of the secondary offering less than 5% of the number of shares, there could be no index buying in the short-term and that will pressure the stock.
If the overallotment option is exercised and the seller of the shares is currently considered as non-float, there could be small passive buying in the short-term.


Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Limited Index Buying & Weak Markets Could Pressure Stock

Japan

Subaru Corp manufactures passenger cars, buses, motor vehicle parts, and industrial machinery.  The Company also produces aircraft parts and supplies it to defense agency and Boeing Co.  The Company sells its passenger cars under the Subaru brand name.

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Subaru Corp (7270 JP)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (18 Aug)

Statistical methodology identifies seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors. Update on previously flagged opportunities,...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (11 Aug)

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Japan Morning Connection: US Liking JP and Expected EU Trade Deals, Expect Flows Back in Tech

With reversal from momentum and Ishiba's resignation, defense names may drop further. Autos may have plenty more upside despite big moves yesterday.

Andrew Jackson

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Likely to Price Today; 7-8% Underperformance Vs Peers/TOPIX

Suzuki Motor has underperformed its peers by 6.8% and the TOPIX by 7.8% since the placement announcement. Suzuki has a near zero exposure to the...

Brian Freitas

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Limited Index Buying & Weak Markets Could Pressure Stock

Two large holders are looking to sell their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor. That is US$1.17bn including overallotment and 4.87% of shares out. That...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (18 Aug)

​Statistical methodology identifies seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors. Update on previously flagged opportunities,...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (11 Aug)

​Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Japan Morning Connection: US Liking JP and Expected EU Trade Deals, Expect Flows Back in Tech

With reversal from momentum and Ishiba's resignation, defense names may drop further. Autos may have plenty more upside despite big moves yesterday.

Andrew Jackson

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Likely to Price Today; 7-8% Underperformance Vs Peers/TOPIX

Suzuki Motor has underperformed its peers by 6.8% and the TOPIX by 7.8% since the placement announcement. Suzuki has a near zero exposure to the...

Brian Freitas

Suzuki Motor (7269 JP) Placement: Limited Index Buying & Weak Markets Could Pressure Stock

Two large holders are looking to sell their entire stakes in Suzuki Motor. That is US$1.17bn including overallotment and 4.87% of shares out. That...

Brian Freitas

Statistical methodology identifies seven pair trade opportunities across two markets and two sectors. Update on previously flagged opportunities,...

Statistical methodology identifies nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.