Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Ai plays generally down, with AMAT after mkt dulling sentiment further, despite looking conservative.</li>
<li>Kioxia numbers look decent, but QoQ guidance is down on FX, with no follow through for Sandisk in the US.</li>
<li>Woeful price action for Kyocera yesterday despite an activist win, with the market still cautious over management bungling.</li>
</ul>


Ai plays generally down, with AMAT after mkt dulling sentiment further, despite looking conservative.
Kioxia numbers look decent, but QoQ guidance is down on FX, with no follow through for Sandisk in the US.
Woeful price action for Kyocera yesterday despite an activist win, with the market still cautious over management bungling.


Japan Morning Connection: Market Rotation Away from Tech as Big Winners Take a Breather

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> at JPY4,000 per share, a 33.7% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The Nikkei earlier reported on the offer. The offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent transactions. </li>
<li>The offer could be considered light as it is below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range. However, the shareholder structure suggests a done deal.  </li>
</ul>



NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) has recommended a tender offer from NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) at JPY4,000 per share, a 33.7% premium to the last close.
The Nikkei earlier reported on the offer. The offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading ranges, peer multiples and precedent transactions. 
The offer could be considered light as it is below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation range. However, the shareholder structure suggests a done deal.  


NTT DATA (9613 JP): NTT (9432 JP) Tender Offer at JPY4,000

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Negligible float, highly manipulatable, 150x+ forward earnings - yes, investors can afford NOT to have <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-inc-919fd60b-ad2a-4c5f-b333-167a849b67b0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9029:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet (4784 JP)</a> in their portfolio.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hongkong-land-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15465:1" rel="noopener">Hongkong Land (HKL SP)</a> stamps its "recycling capital" motto and sells nine floors of One Exchange Square to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> for HK$6.3bn (US$810mn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>asks <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minebea-mitsumi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5032:1" rel="noopener">Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)</a> whether they intend to change the consideration terms. Minebea says it is "proceeding with its consideration". </li>
</ul>


Negligible float, highly manipulatable, 150x+ forward earnings - yes, investors can afford NOT to have GMO Internet (4784 JP) in their portfolio.

Hongkong Land (HKL SP) stamps its "recycling capital" motto and sells nine floors of One Exchange Square to HKEX (388 HK) for HK$6.3bn (US$810mn).

Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)asks Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP) whether they intend to change the consideration terms. Minebea says it is "proceeding with its consideration". 


Last Week in Event SPACE: GMO Internet, Hongkong Land, Shibaura Electronics, Millennium & Copthorne

<ul>
<li>The precondition for Paloma Rheem Holdings’ tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitsu-general-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2025:1" rel="noopener">Fujitsu General (6755 JP)</a> is satisfied. The offer is from 28 April to 28 May.</li>
<li>Despite an arguably light offer and less than ideal process, this is a done deal due to a lack of opposition and no competing offer. </li>
<li>At the last close and for a 5 June payment, the gross and annualised spreads are 1.3% and 14.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The precondition for Paloma Rheem Holdings’ tender offer for Fujitsu General (6755 JP) is satisfied. The offer is from 28 April to 28 May.
Despite an arguably light offer and less than ideal process, this is a done deal due to a lack of opposition and no competing offer. 
At the last close and for a 5 June payment, the gross and annualised spreads are 1.3% and 14.1%, respectively.


Fujitsu General (6755 JP): Done Deal as Precondition Satisfied

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Asymmetric return opportunity in a short position in Japan - downside vs upside potential is skewed to the downside.</li>
<li>The weak JPY hasn’t helped the overall market and rising risk of a reversal similar to August 2024</li>
<li>We look at some sectors and stocks that are good short candidates</li>
</ul>


Asymmetric return opportunity in a short position in Japan - downside vs upside potential is skewed to the downside.
The weak JPY hasn’t helped the overall market and rising risk of a reversal similar to August 2024
We look at some sectors and stocks that are good short candidates


Tactical Trading - Time to Sell Japan. Again.

Japan

Fujitsu Ltd manufactures semiconductor, computer, and communication equipment. The Company provides comprehensive information technology, network and telecommunication solutions, and Internet services.

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Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Market Rotation Away from Tech as Big Winners Take a Breather

Consumer staples and utilities up as market rotated towards defensive. Despite activist win, the market is still cautious with Kyocera.

Andrew Jackson

NTT DATA (9613 JP): NTT (9432 JP) Tender Offer at JPY4,000

While below the midpoint of the target IFA’s DCF valuation, the offer represents an all-time high and is attractive compared to historical trading...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: GMO Internet, Hongkong Land, Shibaura Electronics, Millennium & Copthorne

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Fujitsu General (6755 JP): Done Deal as Precondition Satisfied

Despite an arguably light offer and less than ideal process, this is a done deal due to a lack of opposition and no competing offer. The gross...

Arun George

Tactical Trading - Time to Sell Japan. Again.

It's the perfect storm for the Japanese market. Tariffs, JPY, rising rates and inflation, with growth weakening. The 2,800 level on Topix has been...

Rikki Malik

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