Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Full Truck Alliance   / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)</a> , a digital freight platform in China, has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the NYSE. According to news media outlets, the company plans to raise around US$ 1.5bn through the IPO.The company’s platform connects shippers with truckers and according to the CIC report, Full Truck Alliance was the world’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value (GTV) in 2020.In this insight, we will be discussing the company’s business model, revenues and profit margins.

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) , a digital freight platform in China, has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the NYSE. According to news media outlets, the company plans to raise around US$ 1.5bn through the IPO.The company’s platform connects shippers with truckers and according to the CIC report, Full Truck Alliance was the world’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value (GTV) in 2020.In this insight, we will be discussing the company’s business model, revenues and profit margins.

Full Truck Alliance IPO: In Early Stage of Monetisation

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)</a> (FTU),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.In our earlier note, we spoke about the positive aspects of the deal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/full-truck-alliance-pre-ipo-the-positives-category-leader" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader</a>. In this note, we'll talk about the not so positive aspects.

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) (FTU),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.In our earlier note, we spoke about the positive aspects of the deal, Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader. In this note, we'll talk about the not so positive aspects.

Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Mixed Bag

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)</a>, known as Manbang in China, is the world’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value (GTV) in 2020, according to CIC. FTA was formed in 2017 through the merger of Yunmanman and Huochebang, which were founded in 2013 and 2011, respectively. FTA is seeking to raise $1.5 billion through an NYSE listing, according to press reports. FTA is backed by SoftBank Vision Fund (22.2% of the outstanding shares), Sequoia Capital (7.2%), Hillhouse and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. FTA joins peer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foru-worldwide-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33314:1" rel="noopener">ForU Worldwide (FOYO US)</a> which also recently filed for a $500 million Nasdaq IPO. Confusingly, ForU notes that it is the largest technology-driven road freight transportation platform in China as measured by revenue in 2020, according to CIC. However, comparing FTA and ForU based on reported revenue is an apples-to-oranges comparison due to differing revenue recognition policies. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/foru-worldwide-ipo-initiation-not-foru" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51888" rel="noopener">ForU Worldwide IPO Initiation: Not ForU</a>, we opined that ForU faces several challenges and the financials on a normalised basis appears to be middling at best.    <div class="content-highlight">At first sight, FTA recent results look stunning due to fast-paced growth, improving margin and cash generation. However, a closer look, suggests that FTA has less than ideal disclosure, a regulatory overhang and potential corporate governance issues. In an environment where sentiment on high-growth stocks and in particular Chinese US tech listings is weak, IPO hopefuls should not provide ready ammunition to the bears. Consequently, we cannot recommend FTA wholeheartedly and inclined to watch this IPO unfold from the sidelines.   </div>

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US), known as Manbang in China, is the world’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value (GTV) in 2020, according to CIC. FTA was formed in 2017 through the merger of Yunmanman and Huochebang, which were founded in 2013 and 2011, respectively. FTA is seeking to raise $1.5 billion through an NYSE listing, according to press reports. FTA is backed by SoftBank Vision Fund (22.2% of the outstanding shares), Sequoia Capital (7.2%), Hillhouse and Tencent (700 HK). FTA joins peer ForU Worldwide (FOYO US) which also recently filed for a $500 million Nasdaq IPO. Confusingly, ForU notes that it is the largest technology-driven road freight transportation platform in China as measured by revenue in 2020, according to CIC. However, comparing FTA and ForU based on reported revenue is an apples-to-oranges comparison due to differing revenue recognition policies. In ForU Worldwide IPO Initiation: Not ForU, we opined that ForU faces several challenges and the financials on a normalised basis appears to be middling at best.    At first sight, FTA recent results look stunning due to fast-paced growth, improving margin and cash generation. However, a closer look, suggests that FTA has less than ideal disclosure, a regulatory overhang and potential corporate governance issues. In an environment where sentiment on high-growth stocks and in particular Chinese US tech listings is weak, IPO hopefuls should not provide ready ammunition to the bears. Consequently, we cannot recommend FTA wholeheartedly and inclined to watch this IPO unfold from the sidelines.   

Full Truck Alliance IPO Initiation: A Less than Perfect Delivery

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/full-truck-alliance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33429:1" rel="noopener">Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)</a> (FTU),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.Full Truck Alliance (FTA) was formed in 2017 via a merger of Yunmanman and Huochebang, which had been operational since 2013 and 2011, respectively. It is the largest digital freight platform in China and the world, as per CIC. In 2020, 71.7m orders were fulfilled on the platform, with a gross transaction value (GTV) of RMB173.8bn (US$26.6bn), by 2.8m truckers. It had 1.3m active shippers in Dec 2020. Approximately 20% of all China’s heavy-duty and medium-duty truckers fulfilled shipping orders on its platform in 2020, according to CIC.FTA is the leader in its category and appears to be well ahead of other competitors, as per CIC. The company has been working on various means of monetising its user base. While 2020 wasn’t a great year for revenue growth, the company did manage to turn a profit and was cash flow positive as well.

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US) (FTU),  China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US listing. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.Full Truck Alliance (FTA) was formed in 2017 via a merger of Yunmanman and Huochebang, which had been operational since 2013 and 2011, respectively. It is the largest digital freight platform in China and the world, as per CIC. In 2020, 71.7m orders were fulfilled on the platform, with a gross transaction value (GTV) of RMB173.8bn (US$26.6bn), by 2.8m truckers. It had 1.3m active shippers in Dec 2020. Approximately 20% of all China’s heavy-duty and medium-duty truckers fulfilled shipping orders on its platform in 2020, according to CIC.FTA is the leader in its category and appears to be well ahead of other competitors, as per CIC. The company has been working on various means of monetising its user base. While 2020 wasn’t a great year for revenue growth, the company did manage to turn a profit and was cash flow positive as well. 

Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader

China

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. operates as a software company. The Company develops digital freight and logistics platform.

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Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)

Full Truck Alliance IPO: In Early Stage of Monetisation

FTA is currently at early stages of monetisation as evident by the lower number of MAUs and paying users of the platform which currently accounts...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still a Mixed Bag

Full Truck Alliance (YMM US), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US listing....

Sumeet Singh

Full Truck Alliance IPO Initiation: A Less than Perfect Delivery

FTA is seeking to raise $1.5 billion through an NYSE listing, according to press reports. We cannot recommend FTA wholeheartedly and inclined to...

Arun George

Full Truck Alliance Pre-IPO - The Positives - Category Leader

Full Truck Alliance, China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, aims to raise up to US$1.5bn via a US listing. It is...

Sumeet Singh

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