Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q324 revenue growth exceeded guidance, rising 33.9% Y/Y vs guidance of 22-25%</li>
<li>Improved revenue mix and effective OpEx control contributed to higher margins</li>
<li>Now close to US$10/ADS, we would wait for an opportunity to buy closer to US$8</li>
</ul>


Q324 revenue growth exceeded guidance, rising 33.9% Y/Y vs guidance of 22-25%
Improved revenue mix and effective OpEx control contributed to higher margins
Now close to US$10/ADS, we would wait for an opportunity to buy closer to US$8


Full Truck Alliance Q324 Results: Great Numbers, But Limited Upside Here | BUY Closer to US$8

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.</li>
<li>The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hong-kong-the-glass-is-half-full-time-to-buy-beta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:134396" rel="noopener">Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta</a> .</li>
<li>The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.</li>
</ul>


Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.
The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta .
The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.


Equity Capital Markets

Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In a new filing with HKEX, we can see Lalatech's revenue growth slow</li>
<li>The company's grip on CoR loosened, but OpEx growth in H1 was minimal</li>
<li>Given improving market conditions, we believe Lalatech may finally sell shares</li>
</ul>


In a new filing with HKEX, we can see Lalatech's revenue growth slow
The company's grip on CoR loosened, but OpEx growth in H1 was minimal
Given improving market conditions, we believe Lalatech may finally sell shares


Lalatech IPO | Review of H124 Financials & Operating Stats | Strike While the Iron Is Hot-Ish?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.</li><li>We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.</li><li>Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Pop Mart’s total revenue increased by 62% YoY due to the promising overseas market.</li>
<li>Tongcheng’ revenue grew by 48% YoY in 2Q24, as new businesses are successful.</li>
<li>Alibaba’s Freshippo plans to set up frontline warehouses, which is a way back to online.</li>
</ul>


Pop Mart’s total revenue increased by 62% YoY due to the promising overseas market.
Tongcheng’ revenue grew by 48% YoY in 2Q24, as new businesses are successful.
Alibaba’s Freshippo plans to set up frontline warehouses, which is a way back to online.


China Consumption Weekly (26Aug2024): 2Q24 Rev Up By - PopMart 62%, Zeekr 58%, Tongcheng 48%, Etc.

China

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. operates as a software company. The Company develops digital freight and logistics platform.

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Full Truck Alliance (YMM US)

Full Truck Alliance Q324 Results: Great Numbers, But Limited Upside Here | BUY Closer to US$8

Full Truck Alliance's shares shot up 15% on November 20 after the company reported another set of impressive results. We still like the company but...

Tracking Traffic

HK/China: THE BIG SHORT (SQUEEZE)

Even though HK/China tech names have surged, short positions have not covered. The large underweight position in HK/China by international funds...

David Mudd

Lalatech IPO | Review of H124 Financials & Operating Stats | Strike While the Iron Is Hot-Ish?

Lalatech's top-line growth moderated in H124, and gross margin dipped slightly. But tight OpEx control remains in place. We believe the company may...

Tracking Traffic

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and...

CMB International

China Consumption Weekly (26Aug2024): 2Q24 Rev Up By - PopMart 62%, Zeekr 58%, Tongcheng 48%, Etc.

Alibaba’s Freshippo plans to set up frontline warehouses, which is a way back to online. Many small caps' revenues grew strongly in 2Q24.

Ming Lu

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