IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanil-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43687:1" rel="noopener">Sanil Electric (062040 KS)</a></strong></em> and <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a></em></strong> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-battery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6513:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa Battery (6937 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10803:1" rel="noopener">Sun Corp (6736 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>.</em></strong> </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Sanil Electric (062040 KS) and Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments: Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Furukawa Battery (6937 JP), Sun Corp (6736 JP), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (28 Jul) - Fancl, Furukawa Battery, Sun Corp, TFC, Canvest, CPMC, GAPack, Arvida

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, Advantage Partners announced the intention to launch a TOB to take over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-battery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6513:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa Battery (6937 JP)</a> at ¥1,400 - a 26% premium to last.  </li>
<li>This will require substantial time to obtain regulatory and foreign investment clearances so it is anticipated the Tender Offer will be launched at end-March 2025. I expect that is conservative.</li>
<li>The price paid to minorities is a premium. But the price paid by the buyer is actually a takeunder. And it gets worse from there. </li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Advantage Partners announced the intention to launch a TOB to take over Furukawa Battery (6937 JP) at ¥1,400 - a 26% premium to last.  
This will require substantial time to obtain regulatory and foreign investment clearances so it is anticipated the Tender Offer will be launched at end-March 2025. I expect that is conservative.
The price paid to minorities is a premium. But the price paid by the buyer is actually a takeunder. And it gets worse from there. 


Furukawa Battery (6937) - Ugly Process in Virtual Take-Under Take-Private

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-battery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6513:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa Battery (6937 JP)</a> recommended a pre-conditional tender offer from Advantage Partners, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-century-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8053:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Century Corp (8439 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furukawa-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5193:1" rel="noopener">Furukawa Electric (5801 JP)</a> consortium at JPY1,400, 22.6% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The precondition is approval under the competition laws of Japan and Thailand. The offer is long-dated and anticipated to commence in March 2025.</li>
<li>While not a knockout bid, the required minority acceptance rate is not onerous. A long-dated offer presents a free option on a bump due to earnings upside or a counteroffer.</li>
</ul>



Furukawa Battery (6937 JP) recommended a pre-conditional tender offer from Advantage Partners, Tokyo Century Corp (8439 JP) and Furukawa Electric (5801 JP) consortium at JPY1,400, 22.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
The precondition is approval under the competition laws of Japan and Thailand. The offer is long-dated and anticipated to commence in March 2025.
While not a knockout bid, the required minority acceptance rate is not onerous. A long-dated offer presents a free option on a bump due to earnings upside or a counteroffer.


Furukawa Battery (6937 JP): Long-Dated Pre-Conditional Offer at JPY1,400

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, Carlyle announced a buyout of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/totoku-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2895:1" rel="noopener">Totoku Electric (5807 JP)</a> at ¥5,660/share, which was a cool 155% premium to Tuesday's close of ¥2,215. The stock was limit up today. </li>
<li>It will be limit up tomorrow, and the next day. And probably the next day. </li>
<li>This is a very interesting outcome. But it is actually not as expensive as it "looks."</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, Carlyle announced a buyout of Totoku Electric (5807 JP) at ¥5,660/share, which was a cool 155% premium to Tuesday's close of ¥2,215. The stock was limit up today. 
It will be limit up tomorrow, and the next day. And probably the next day. 
This is a very interesting outcome. But it is actually not as expensive as it "looks."


Super High Premium Buyout for Totoku Electric (5807) By Carlyle

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<div><p>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed in the First Section, Second Section, MOTHERS Market, and the JASDAQ Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents that are selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.</p></div><div><p>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review will be conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. </p></div><div><p>Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a discussion on the latest adjustments required for the basket portfolio for the 2021 Rebalance based on May-end data. </p></div>

JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed in the First Section, Second Section, MOTHERS Market, and the JASDAQ Market of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents that are selected based on several factors including market capitalization, trading value, operating profits, and ROE.A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. This review will be conducted using the final business day of June as the base date. Quiddity provides quantitative research on pre-event basket strategies surrounding this Index Rebalance event and others. Below is a discussion on the latest adjustments required for the basket portfolio for the 2021 Rebalance based on May-end data. 

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2021: Pre-Event Basket Adjustments for May-End

Japan

Furukawa Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures wires, cables, and metal products. The Company holds patents in optical fiber coating technology and produces optical fiber cables in the United States.  Furukawa Electric's metal products include aluminum cans, air conditioner parts, and shape memory alloys.

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Furukawa Electric (5801 JP)

Weekly Deals Digest (28 Jul) - Fancl, Furukawa Battery, Sun Corp, TFC, Canvest, CPMC, GAPack, Arvida

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Fancl, Furukawa Battery, Sun Corp, Tatsuta, Canvest, CPMC, GAPack, Arvida) and ECM...

Arun George

Furukawa Battery (6937) - Ugly Process in Virtual Take-Under Take-Private

Furukawa Electric is selling Furukawa Battery at weighted average purchase price which is a takeunder. It is a really UGLY calculation/process...

Travis Lundy

Furukawa Battery (6937 JP): Long-Dated Pre-Conditional Offer at JPY1,400

While not a knockout bid, the required minority acceptance rate is not onerous. A long-dated offer presents a free option on a bump due to earnings...

Arun George

Super High Premium Buyout for Totoku Electric (5807) By Carlyle

Carlyle launches 155% premium offer to take out wire maker Totoku Electric, buying it from Furukawa. Sounds juicy but it isn't even that expensive....

Travis Lundy

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2021: Pre-Event Basket Adjustments for May-End

We look at the JPX Nikkei 400 Pre-event Rebalance Trade on a monthly basis, checking what is the most likely portfolio as we approach the base date...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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